It will certainly be interesting to see how many supporters turn out for this match between Spal vs Atalanta, especially since the forecast is for rain. Some Atalanta Bergamo fans should make this 234km trip, but we doubt the crowd will reach last seasons 12,900!




Some weird results in Italy Serie A this weekend. Inter Milan losing at home to Parma (0-1), and AS Roma only drawing with Chievo (2-2) defied logic. In fact, if you really want to dissect the weekend results, we have a few others which didn’t go according to plan.


AC Milan failed to convert several good goal-scoring opportunities, and they could only draw with Cagliari (1-1). Juventus struggled to beat an average Sassuolo (2-1), plus it was noticeable that the visitors had more possession. Even the normally reliable Napoli needed a 79th minute winner to get past Fiorentina (1-0). Considering these results, it would be easy to conclude smaller clubs are closing the gap.


With that said, matches following International duty often throw up surprises. Maybe that’s not so shocking when we consider national teams take most of their players from the big teams. While, lesser known clubs continue training together and prepare for the next match.




Spal were promoted to Serie A at the end of the 16/17 campaign. Last season they survived by one place and three points. Nevertheless, the hosts were the 13th best home team, and during that same campaign they only lost two of their last 13 league games.


The Gli Spallini started the new season with wins against Bologna (0-1) and Parma (1-0), but in the last round  Leonardo Semplici’s men suffered their first defeat in Torino (1-0). If we are being analytical, we would conclude that Spal have gotten what they deserved and six points is a good return.




What we can tell you is that the owners (Vetroresina S.p.A) of Spal went €20.6 million in to the Red to acquire new players during the summer. And, while they didn’t break the bank for any individual, Semplici added 18 new players to his 29 man squad. We should also add that one big investment was paying todays visitor Atalanta Bergamo €3 million for the loan of Andrea Petagna. The striker is likely to start this evening, and so is another signing from Atalanta in Jasmin Kurtic. Brazilian defender Felipe recovered from a minor injury, and Pasquale Schiattarella is another who could make it back for this match between Spal vs Atalanta.




If we go back to the last term this fixture ended 1-1, and so did the reverse match. With regards to the game here at the Stadio Paolo Mazza, De Roon scored a 78th minute penalty (Atlanta) to secure a deserved draw.  However, the reverse match will be better remembered, because Spal were super dogged in stopping their short odds (1.33) opponent.




The team from Bergamo ended the last campaign seventh, and that meant a place in qualifying for the Europa league. Unfortunately, the Goddess failed to get past FC Copenhagen, so now Gian Piero Gasperini’s side are limited to domestic duties.


With regards to the league to date, the visitors are a balanced 1-1-1. The campaign started with a 4-0 win over Frosinone, and then came an excellent 3-3 in AS Roma. However, before the break Atalanta lost at home to newly promoted Cagliari (0-1). To put that is some sort of perspective, Gasperini’s men failed to land odds of 1.36!




The owners of Atalanta will be disappointed that they didn’t make the cut for the Europa league. Afterall, they went €30 million into the red for new players. One of them was a €14 million loan for Duvan Zapata, the striker has failed to score in three matches to date. 


Atalanta have two doubts for tonight in the shape of Ilicic and Mancini. Palomino and Toloi are said to be fit and ready if selected.




Tonights match referee is Maurizio Mariani wouldn’t be our personal favourite. From his last twenty games in charge, Mariani has given seven penalties and sent off six players. And, while his handing out of yellow cards (43-45) and penalties (4-3) are fairly balanced, red cards show a strong bias (1-5). We have also looked into awarding fouls (58-42%), and like most Italian Referees he favours the home side.




Spal have had plenty of time to prepare for this match, since most of their players stayed at the during the international break. The expected rain will favour defence, and it’s noticeable that the hosts are good at closing out bigger teams. Teams like Juventus (0-0), Inter (1-1) and Fiorentina (1-1) failed to get three points at this stadium last season, and so did Atalanta. With everything considered, we believe the most likely outcome for this match Spal vs Atlanata will end in a draw!


BET: SPAL +0.5 (double chance)


Odds: 1.99 Asianodds


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