We are avoiding giving out too many premium bets for free, but for today we will give a second one. If you really want to bet like a professional, sign-up to our paid service and we will get you on the right track. firstname.lastname@example.org ——— Nantes are known for being quick off the blocks, albeit that wasn’t evident in the first round defeat (1-3) to Monaco. With that said, the Canaries did have a bunch of chances but they couldn’t convert. Pre season friendly results also left a bit to be desired, so new season coach Miguel Cardoso is not having a good start. Dijon opened their campaign with a win in Montpellier. Olivier Dall’Oglio’s side managed to come from behind in that game, and they also missed a penalty. Whichever way you look at it the result was a good one, and we got the impression their was more to come from this maturing team. In our opinion, the hosts traded well with their few comings and goings during the summer. they appear to be a well balanced side, and with home advantage they are the team to be on here.
Have this PREMIUM BET on us ———— You should never take opening day matches has proof of what’s to come. However, Heracles went to 1.12 favourites Ajax and forced a (1-1) draw. Furthermore, the way they went toe to toe with one of the title fav’s was super impressive. Confidence can only be high following that effort, and that’s especially the case has Den Haag flopped on their debut! Whichever way you look at it, there was nothing positive to come out of Den Haag’s home defeat 1-2) to newly promoted FC Emmen. While the stork’s had equal possession and number of chances in that game, the fact is they couldn’t break down a hard working defence. The Heraclieden took 31 of there 42 points at home last season. Suffice to say, they will be expecting to start has big favourites!
The last time Chelsea missed out on the Champions league they ended up winning the Premier. In fact, that was only two season's back under then new coach Conti. We can easily imagine the Blues using a second Eleven for the Europa league, since winning the domestic title is clearly priority number one. In any case, Sarri's men started with a 0-3 away win against Huddersfield, and they managed that without starting several regular players. It will be interesting to see how the end of the Wenger reign plays out at Arsenal this year. New coach Unai Emery was at least allowed to go €73 million into the red for new players, but that didn't help them in last weeks 0-2 loss to Man City! From what we witnessed, the Gunners have plenty to prove, and they have a shitty record at Stamford Bridge.
Poor response to Premier league video last week - so we won't be doing that again in a hurry ---------- Traditionally speaking Cardiff are strong at home, while Newcastle haven't been the best of travellers. However, it's the Magpies who are much more accomplished in the top league. And, despite having a positive trading balance during the summer, we believe Benitez has a strong enough squad to end in the top half of the league. Furthermore, we are of the opposite opinion about the Bluebirds. By that we mean they don't have the right manager for this level, and Vincent Tan wasn't generous enough with his cheque book during the transfer season. Cardiff lost their opening match in Bournemouth 2-0, and that scoreline would have been worse if there opponents had scored a penalty! We also thought Newcastle were a tad unfortunate not to share the points with Tottenham (1-2), hopefully they will rectify that here. Take the added security of ''draw no bet'' is our advice!
We are getting to the climax of Cincinnati, and the winner of this match will find themselves in the final. We believe the defensive qualities of Kiki Bertens will be enough to fend off Petra Kvitova, just like they were at last weeks Montreal. While the 28 year old Czech has been playing better this week, that comment also applies to her opponent. What we can say is both needed three sets to advance yesterday, but it's Bertens who tends to take playing hard matches much better. Odds are interesting too!
Have this one on us!! ——— We don’t make an habit of betting Roger Varian runners, with our main reasoning they are usually over-bet. However, now he’s stepping up to seven furlong we like the look of his VICTORY ANGEL. The four year old is not far off listed class, so 97 doesn’t appear such a bad mark. The son of Acclamation races has though a seventh furlong will suit, and he’s best suited by this type of track. We are further buoyed by second favourite NORMANDY BARRIERE going up 3 pounds without winning, while most of the others have an exposed look!
Starting pitchers are Clayton Richard for the hosts and Zack Godley for the visitors. We certainly didn't expect Clayton Richard to make it the full season as a starter but he appears to be on his way albeit with a 4.98 ERA currently. To be fair, Richard's xFIP is a good bit lower at 4.27 but aside from his previous start against the Angels, Richard has really struggled of late, allwoing 5 runs or more in 3 of his last 5 starts. As a southpaw, Richard is much more suited to facing just left handed batters and true to form, he has an xFIP of 4.51 against righties, over a full run higher than against lefties at 3.40. Against the Diamondbacks, Richard gets a tough assignment against a right handed heavy lineup and one with a collective OPS of .754 against southpaws this year, 8th highest mark in the league. On the other side, Zack Godley enters this game in terrific form but he has pitched much better at home and tends to struggle at Petco with their harder than normal infield. Bullpens are reliable for both sides but we see plenty of fireworks early!
Starting pitchers are Matt Harvey for the hosts and Madison Bumgarner for the visitors. Madison Bumgarner continues to pitch as if it's 2016 but the radar gun does not lie and it's evident that he's lost a few ticks off his velocity in addition to less movement that's resulted in fewer strikeouts. Bumgarner's 7.57 K/9 is the lowest rate since his rookie season and his walk rate of 3.62 BB/9 is the highest of his career. All this has translated into an xFIP of 4.35 which is radically higher than his 2.71 ERA and Bumgarner's splits against right handed batters has been particularly troubling as it sits at 4.60 compared to 3.12 against lefties. With Joey Votto on the DL, it appears Bumgarner catches a break but we believe this just gives the Reds an excuse to stack the lineup with all right handed batters with the exception of Scooter Gennett to exploit this matchup. In any event, Great American Ballpark isn't the easiest ballpark to pitch at with a diminishing fastball. On the other side, Matt Harvey has been a success story as he's been able to reclaim some of his lost velocity but he has struggled pitching in his home ballpark and has been especially susceptible to the long ball here. Both bullpens have some quality at the back end but still rank in the bottom half of the league and in any event, we see both starters having their struggles early.
Starting pitchers are Dylan Covey for the hosts and Brad Keller for the visitors. A sliver of form that Covey found midseason appears to have dissipated as he enters this game on the back of 4 consecutive starts allowing 4 runs or more. During that stretch, Covey has allowed 23 runs (20 earned) on 28 hits over 18 innings of work with a poor 11/8 K/BB ratio. Furthermore, Covey's groundball heavy pitching hasn't been ideal with one of the poorest defenses in the league behind him and has led to a high BABIP of .320. The Royals are absolutely a dreadful hitting team but they go against the grain and look to put the ball into play and utilize their team speed and we believe this matches up well against a pitcher that doesn't get many strikeouts and induces ground balls. On the other side, Brad Keller is in many ways similar to Covey in that he has a ground ball rate over 50% in addition to a poor strikeout rate. However, Keller has one of the best defenses behind him and his ability to induce weak contact and limit home runs has helped him to a 3.40 ERA though his xFIP is a bit higher at 4.44. Nevertheless, we believe the Royals have the significant edge in starting pitching here and truthfully, the White Sox aren't really much better offensively either. Bullpens are poor for both sides and even though the Royals' group of relievers are the worst in the league, we don't see enough of an advantage to make this anything but a 50/50 game at worst for the visitors!
Starting pitchers are Tommy Milone for the hosts and Wei-Yin Chen for the visitors. Tommy Milone has logged 4 starts for the Nationals now and our opinion of him hasn't changed much from last time where he labored through 4.1 innings against the Cardinals allowing 2 runs on 10 hits. Milone's fastball is a complete liability at this point as it lacks velocity and has very little movement and we expect him to struggle against a predominanly right handed hitting Marlins team as woeful as they may be. Milone's saving grace has been his impeccable control, allowing just 1 walk in 22.1 IP but we believe this is more than nullified by the ease with which he gives up home runs. On the other side, Wei-Yin Chen appeared to be on a similar path as Milone but some new found velocity midseason has turned Chen into a replacement level pitcher. Chen has done his best work at home and in fact was hit hard here last time facing the Nationals but we believe he still matches up well here against a left handed heavy lineup. The Marlins still own one of the worst bullpens in the league but the Nationals have now suffered injuries to their top 3 relievers in Sean Doolittle, Kelvin Herrera and Ryan Madson leaving a lot of uncertainty in high leverage situations. At these odds, we believe the hosts are worth taking on!
Starting pitchers are Jake Arrieta for the hosts and Jacob deGrom for the visitors. Jacob deGrom is in the midst of an historic season as he tries to end the year with a sub 2.00 ERA and aims for his first Cy Young Award as well. Among qualified pitchers, deGrom has the 9th highest strikeout rate (11.04 K/9), 8th best K/BB ratio (5.42) and the 3rd lowest home run rate (0.45 HR/9) though that is certainly helped a bit by his 6.6% HR/FB ratio. Nevertheless, deGrom is in terrific form and faces a Phillies team that's hitting just .236 on the year, 3rd lowest mark in the league and .001 ahead of both the Padres and Mets. The Phillies have managed a respectable OBP on the strength of their walk rate which is 2nd highest in the league at 9.7% but as would be expected, deGrom has impeccable control and walks just 2.04 batters per 9 innings, 18th best among qualified pitchers. On the other side, Jake Arrieta is no longer the dominant pitcher from a few years ago but he has reinvented himself by tinkering with his mechanics and pitch selection to remain an above replacement level pitcher. Most noticeable is Arrieta's strikeout rate that's diminished to below 7 K/9 but he still does well inducing groundballs and limiting home runs. In any event, this is still a Mets team that's arguably the worst hitting team in the league in spite of some recent offensive outbursts. The Mets bullpen is a liability but we believe both starters put in quality efforts to reduce their exposure to either bullpen.
We have just three premium bets tonight - We took this one much earlier, and it’s not a big price. Nevertheless, the odds we took were over expectancy, and it’s that what counts! - If you would like to test all our football bets over the weekend, we can let you in for saturday and sunday for just €40 ——email@example.com ——— Last seasons Ligue-2 winner Reims opened their campaign with a 0-1 win in Nice. New signing (free transfer) Moussa Doumbia got the winning goal after just two minutes, and what followed was 88 minutes of defensive blocking. In fact, their opponents had a whopping 71% possession, but they couldn’t score from any one of their 19 shots ! What’s interesting with the hosts, they didn’t spend money during the summer. Afterall, under normal circumstances you would expect a newly promoted team to do just that. On the other hand, their wasn’t much coming and going during the transfer season. That means most of the players who won last seasons second division by a whopping fifteen points are available, albeit Jordan Siebatcheu left for Rennes (€9 million) Lyon finished third in last seasons ligue - 1, that in turn means they secured a place in the Champions league. With that in mind, we half expected Bruno Genesio to call for money to bring in new players. However, the club decided it was time to cash in €60 million (sold 8 players), while just investing €8 million on Tanguy Ndombélé. Despite selling rather than buying Lyon held on to their big players such has Nabil Fekir, Memphis Depay, Lucas Tousart and Houssem Aouer. The visitors also looked good in beating Amiens in the first round, and they are the team to beat here. The only question remaining is -1 or -0.5. On this occasion we prefer taking the more conservative route.