Have this one on us - We sent out 3 to subscribers, this is free for site visitors! ------ 19 year old Kaja Juvan needed three sets to get past her two qualification opponents. In the final round of qualifying she needed a long drawn out first set tie breaker to beat Martina Trevisan before progressing to the main draw. The Slovenian has a 79.13% win record on clay, albeit most at a lower level. With that said, earlier this year she beat Venus Williams in Acapulco, so she clearly has some potential. However, Marketa Vondrousova is top 20 and progressing fast. In 2017 the then 18 year old went 60/12, and only injuries slowed her down since. Nevertheless, at this time last year she made it to rank 14, and during that season she only played 10 tournaments. In fact, in 2019 July was her last match, that was after making the final of the French open! Suffice to say, Vondrousova would already have been top 10 without injuries. All her six wins at the French open came in straight sets, with the likes of Sevastova, Konta and Martic amongst her victims. During that same year, she made the quarters of Rome and the final of Istanbul for a 15/3 on clay. Normally we are sceptical about bigger players at smaller tournaments, but this year they are likely to take anything they can get!
They call this the £160 million game, although it’s said to be worth around £135 for Fulham. Getting promotion to the Premier league is every club owners dream, and that surely includes betting syndicate/Brentford owner Matthew Benham. Brentford have lost all 8 of their play-offs since 1990/91, Thomas Frank will be hoping his players can change that bad luck this evening. On thing is certain, the Bees have had the better (3-2-0) of recent encounters with Fulham, and one the last ten meetings the Cottagers won just one (6-3-1). However, after working themselves into an automatic promotion position, Brentford bottled it with two last round defeats against Barnsley (1-2) and Stoke (1-0). And, while they came from a first lead goal down to get past Swansea, they started to wobble in the last ten minutes of that match! After winning 0-2 in Cardiff, it looked like Fulham would qualify for the final with ease. Instead of doing just that, they went on to lose the 2nd fixture 1-2. In that last round play-off match, the Fulham strikers squandered a load of chances. With that in mind, we can be assured Scott Parker will be relieved prolific goalscorer (26) Aleksandar Mitrovic back. The Cottagers have a fully fit squad, meaning both Harry Arter and Ivan Cavaleiro will be available after missing the second leg against the Bluebirds due to knocks. Brentford manager Thomas Frank has no fresh injury concerns. These are one-off matches, and this one is between two bitter rivals. For the neutral it should be fun, and with plenty to gain and nothing to lose teams have to go for it. We wouldn’t want to call the winner, but over 2.5 goals is big odds.
Course and distance form at a track like this is beneficial, so both REDROSEZORRO and SAISON´S D´OR need respecting. TRANCHEE is up 5 pounds for his Wolverhampton win, and he’s yet to win on turf. With that said, he was a really easy winner of that race, and I believe changing stables to David Loughnane will prove very fruitful. I really can’t imagine turf being problematic, and Greatrex takes off a valuable 3 pounds.
Many pundits seem to think DEMON D’AUNOU is an automatic follow-up, he’s not. The 7 year old is up 7 pounds for his Cartmel win, a very different track to here. I like Kim Bailey has a trainer, but I was disappointed with his THIBAULT on his recent return. His jumping left a lot to be desired that day, and stepping up in trip means he has more fences in the way. It’s a good sign when one switches codes so early, that’s the case with REBEL LEADER. That would suggest Harry Whittington´s 6 year old is going to be more of a natural over the big fences, and a mark of 110 means he’s getting weight from the two who head him in the market!
MADAME TANTZY has a big weight, and she was put up 3 pounds for her last time out 2nd. The solution, leg up Georgia Dobbie to take off a valuable 5 pounds. The jockey trainer combination did us a favour with a nice 7/1 (SP) winner yesterday. This one too has been bet in the early exchanges, but like yesterday we expect the market to correct itself once they start betting seriously on the race. Track should suit better, and this jockey is a better judge of pace than her last rider!
If the trainers of PRETTY PICKLE or CAPTAIN CLARET considered their charges ahead of the capper, they would have taken that route. While both should continue to improve, RUSSIAN VIRTUE stands out has a very good bet. The son of TORONADO made a very interesting debut, and he was eased when beaten from the front in a hot Newmarket maiden. Either way, his form stacks nicely, and by winning this David Menuisier´s colt wouldn’t necessarily receive an higher rating than he’s due!
Rajon Rondo and Avery Bradley remain out for the Lakers. The usual names should appear as probable on the injury list but will almost certainly play. For the Jazz, Bojan Bogdanovic remains out and Royce O'Neale is probable. The Jazz were thoroughly dominated by the Thunder on Saturday and as we mentioned, they really miss their 3rd man Bogdanovic who has taken away a sorely needed shooting presence from outside. The Jazz depth continues to struggle and their dribble penetration heavy offense will struggle against the Lakers' rim protection. The Lakers are a bit more versatile with their scoring and should look to stretch the floor to exploit the Jazz's Rudy Gobert's lack of mobility. While the Lakers' shooting isn't the greatest, it should be enough here!
The last kick of the game cost Elfsborg all three points in the last round against Varbergs. Whether Jimmy Thelin´s team deserved a win is a debatable point, because for some reason or other the EfB defence had a bad day at the office! On that note, the coach is likely to recall Joseph Okumu, he missed the last game through injury. Whatever the situation, the boss has options and he’s consequent enough to take the right decision! Sirius have no new injuries or suspensions. In the last round, they where simply outplayed by Malmo (2-5) and somewhat naively thought it was a good tactic to go at that opponent. Like the result suggests, Sirius came off 2nd best! The visitors started the campaign well, but more recently they have won just one from the last five. We distinctly remember this fixture from last season, because the visitors managed just one shot on target and it ended in the net for a 1-1 draw. EfB had 13 goal attempts, and 7 where on target. Anyone watching the game without knowing the scoreline would have said the hosts where two goals superior! That was then and this is now, take Thelin´s team to respond and win!
If you want all the picks for this weeks Palermo, the price is €30. We gave you two nice winners to get started on Sunday, and we will give one for free most days this week. However, if you want the others better be quick email@example.com ———— Back in 2018 Aliaksandra Sasnovich was climbing the ranks and beating decent opposition. During that season, the girl from Belarus peaked at rank 30. Since then the now 26 year old has been in steady demise, and last years record was a negative 21/23. While Sasnovich had a couple of wins in qualification, one was against a player who retired and the other against 172 ranked Komardina. The win/loss record of Lara Arruabarrena over the past 5 seasons is in negative. However, if we just take clay matches she’s 57/43, this is clearly the Spaniards favourite surface. In fact, we would suggest the slower the court the better for this 28 year old, and at least she qualified by two players of note! Arruabarrena is a former finalist of Bogata, a court that plays similar to here!
Rodney Hood and Trevor Ariza both remain out for the Blazers. Jaylen Adams is questionable. For the Celtics, Kemba Walker will continue to be on a minutes restriction. The Blazers were lucky to come away with the win against Memphis in overtime but their play was better than we expected, especially the new look and rotations with Nurkic back in the lineup. Speaking of Nurkic, the Bosnian Beast was phenomenal in his return and head coach Terry Stotts elected to start Zach Collins alonside him and use Whiteside off the bench, going back on comments he made to the contrary. Nevertheless, it was the right decision, and the Blazers look like a complete team with their monster center wreaking havoc. The Celtics played as well as could be expected against the East favourites Milwaukee but this isn't the most ideal matchup against a Portland team with good size in the paint with their bruising centers. Carmelo Anthony looks more natural at the 3 and we like the way this Portland team looks heading into their playoff run. We would take 4.5 points in Boston with fans without hesitation so taking it on what's effectively a neutral court is a no brainer!
Goteborg might have forced a last round draw at city neighbours Hacken, but they didn’t invest much in the game. In fact, from what we have been watching, the Blue/white are coming up well short of expectations. Furthermore, the owners are showing no ambition, and fact is they cashed-in over €5 million from player sales. To be fair to the hosts, in midweek they did get by Malmo in the cup. However, it was 1-1 at the end of normal time, and Goteborg where fortunate to be in that position! Following 4 straight wins Malmo have closed the gap to the top to just two points. The club from the south appear to have the strongest squad in this seasons Allsvenskan, and they are fully focused on collecting the league title! The Blue ones are looking really good at the moment, and Jon Dahl Tomasson will be able to use that cup elimination to get more out of his players!
Sassuolo are seeing it through to the end of the season. In the last round Roberto De Zerbi´s team thrashed Genoa (5-0), and that relegation threatened opponent was supposed to be the motivated side! Going into that match the Neroverdi had suffered unfortunate defeats against Napoli and AC Milan (1-2), games which where really close against supposedly top clubs. On a more upbeat note, prior to that Sassuolo had gone 8 without defeat and beat the likes of Fiorentina and Lazio! Udinese escaped the relegation zone with back to back wins over Juventus and Cagliari. Last week it was back to normal with a loss at home to Lecce, on that occasion they where overawed from a much more determined team! Both managers have missing players. Sassuolo won’t have the services of suspended Obiang, while Romagna, Chinches, Tripadelli and Defrel are all injured. Muldur and Boga are on the doubtful list for the host. No doubts with the visitors, all of Bacao, Nuytinck, Prodl, Mandragora, Jajalo and Teodorczyk are out! Take Sassuolo to claim a solid 8th place with a win today!