2 teams moving in opposite directions as Indiana visits Illinois in a matchup of Big 10 teams. The Hoosiers sit at 5-3 in conference play and are coming off a 71-68 win over Maryland on Monday. Illinois is still searching for their 1st win in the Big 10 as they sit at 0-8 in conference play. Nevertheless, the Hoosiers haven't been too impressive on the road and the Illini bring an aggressive defense that defends the perimeter well. On the other side, the Hoosiers are absolutely atrocious defending the long ball and this is exactly the type of situation where the hosts get their shooting going. The Illini will be desperate for a win and it is very much achievable against a bit of a fraudulent Hoosiers team!
Nevada has reeled off 7 wins in a row and 10 of their last 11 and returned to the Top 25 for the 2nd time this season. Leading the Mountain West, the Wolfpack visit Wyoming to face a Cowboys team coming off an 85-77 road win over Utah St on Saturday. The first meeting went in the Wolfpack's favor 92-83 but the game was close much of the way and the lead was only extended late on free throws. The Cowboys match up quite well here and will look to push the pace again which generally produces good results at elevation.
Auburn bounced back from their defeat to Alabama with a 79-65 shellacking of Georgia on Saturday in a game the Bulldogs led by 14 at halftime. The Auburn Tigers enter this game at 17-2 and face the Missouri Tigers who have struggled to stay afloat in SEC play at just 3-3 and coming off a 60-49 loss to Texas A&M. Key absences remain the same with Danjel Purifoy out for the visitors and Michael Porter Jr. out for the hosts. While it's true Missouri has been a tough nut to crack at home, the Auburn Tigers will be the best team they have faced this year and bring a relentless group of players that shoot the ball well and push the pace along with creating turnovers. The Missouri Tigers do rebound well but we don't believe this will be too much of an advantage given the lower percentage of misses we expect in this game.
After a ridiculously easy non-conference slate, the Hoyas have predictably struggled against the much tougher Big East and sit at 3-5 in conference play. Depaul has not been any better at 1-6 but this is actually a team we rate better than the hosts and the Blue Demons have played one of the tougher schedules in the country as well. Depaul has proven to be a better team on the road and we believe they will return the favor from the earlier defeat in the reverse fixture.
We hesitated to put this one out earlier as we felt the market would move against us and that is exactly what happened. In our opinion, 4 points is too much with a team that has a bottom 25 defense in the country. That team of course is Niagara and they have shown the ability to score loads of points on anyone this year but we feel they've gotten a bit lucky in games against Monmouth and Saint Peter's and the Purple Eagles were destroyed 104-85 last game at Fairfield. Manhattan has been in good form, winning 3 of their last 4 and we're especially impressed with their defense which ranks in the top 125. We feel the bookies had it right the first time making the hosts about a 2 point favorite.
18 year old Kayla Day did us a favour by beating Mariana Duque-Marino, albeit we have to accept the latter is out of sorts. We believe Day has potential to be a decent player, although to do that she will need to learn how to manage her opponents better. Despite only being the same age, 2015 Wimbledon junior winner Sofya Zhuk is already established than her opponent. In fact, in 2016 the Russian girl went 33-7 and that was followed up by last years 24-16. Zhuk has beaten decent players such has Taylor Townsend to win last seasons Naples (Florida), and she’s also competed well on the main tour. Easy wins this week tell us the Base liner is in solid form and repeating that level should be enough here.
Last years Wimbledon junior winner Claire Liu needs to bring more consistency into her game. However, we should bare in mind that she’s only 17 and she also made the final of last years French open juniors. Suffice to say that suggests the California girl should have a lot more to give, so we are somewhat surprised to see her chalked up behind todays opponent Su Jeong Jang in the betting. While the 22 year old from South Korea is the winner of 6 such tournaments (and ranked higher), we doubt she has the potential of Liu. If Liu can stay in the zone, this looks a great opportunity to advance.
PREMIUM BET FOR FREE - SUBSCRIBE FOR OTHER TWO and more. I’m struggling to understand why BENTELIMAR is ‘’tips on’’ (10/11) to win this 4 horse race. Afterall, it’s an h’cap and he’s giving a fair chunk of weight away. CRACKING FUND is one possible, because at least we know he likes the track. However, he’s h’capped to his best and he’s giving 7 pounds to SOMEWHERE TO BE. What we like about the latter is the booking of Aidan Coleman, and he could improve for first time blinkers. Yes he ran poor last time out, but he’s proven on undulating tracks and stepping up in trip at Towcester might have been beyond his stamina reserves.
If you bet on the exchanges you might want to make this wager on NOTEBOOK once you have seen him start. The seven year old has refused in the past, and he also started slowly last time out. However, when you consider how far he was beaten (2.25L) it’s probably easy to state he would have won that last race had he gone off with the rest. One box this fella certainly ticks is the CD, because both his wins came here. While we wouldn’t want a big bet for obvious reasons, he’s the most likely winner.
Despite their only being 6 runners this is the best race on the card by a mile. Worry with KYLLACHY GALA is he tends to pull and a small field could count against. CALLING OUT is better at the mile. AY AY will need to improve and EASY TIGER is up in grade and 2 pounds higher. MYTHICAL MADNESS lacks tactical speed, so it’s AW specialist PACTOLUS for us. Stuart Williams seven year old is a solid 9/34 on dirt, and he goes particularly well for todays claimer. The form of his latest run is worth slightly more than a mark of 99, and his jockey is allowed the 3 pound deduction today.
After a disastrous loss to Loyola Chicago, it appears the Gators have righted the ship, since going 9-2, and are 6-1 in SEC play. The Gamecocks have had issues with consistency and sit at 3-4 in conference play. This will be a rematch of one of the Elite Eight matchups from a season ago that saw the Gamecocks come out on top 77-70. Frank Martin's team has had the better of Florida in recent years, winning 3 times to just 1 loss since 2016. Both teams bring top defenses to this game but South Carolina rebounds much better and between 2 teams that don't shoot the ball too well, we believe this will make enough of a difference for the visitors!
It's been all downhill for Chattanooga since their 70-67 upset win over Jacksonville St as 10 point underdogs back in late December. Since then, the Mocs have lost 8 straight games and sit dead last in the Southern Conference at 0-7. Samford has lost their last 3 games but sit at a more respectable 3-4 in conference play and have already beaten the Mocs once this year 73-56 back in Homewood. The Mocs made a game of it against Wofford and Mercer in back to back games but we're struggling to find a reason they are favored against a Bulldogs team that has a top 125 offense in the country albeit their defense ranks as one of the absolute worst. Still it's debatable if the Mocs can even take advantage and in these types of matchups between bottom tier teams, we feel the better offensive teams usually win out over the team that doesn't really do much of anything well.