HERE IS A SECOND FREE BET ON THE HOUSE - Rare for us to bet in Irish h’caps, but from our eyes this appears to be just a two horse race. We believe the two at the head of betting PROSPECTUS and HARETH are the ones to focus on, with the most likely winner being the second favourite. Both of these runners come from jumping were PROSPECTUS has an 8 pound higher racing. Today the selection receives 9 pounds from his opponent, and that’s fazit number one. The next thing that jumps out is HARETH was mainly campaigned on all weather when last seen on the level, and he’s rated twelve pounds higher in that sphere.
WE HAVE FIVE PREMIUM BETS LINED UP WITH A BIT 12/1 SHOT EXPECTED TO WIN. IF YOU WANT THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF BETS THEN YOU NEED TO JOIN OUR PAID SUBSCRIPTION LIST - BETTING.ANALYSTT@GMAIL.COM - IN THE MEANTIME THIS ISN’T QUITE THE SAME ODDS, BUT IT’S ONE OF OUR BETS FOR TODAY: ———THEO’S CHARM was taken out of Fontwell because his trainer thought conditions were too fast. We can’t imagine them being any easier here, we believe Nick Gifford chose the wrong race. In fact, we say that because the track and distance are other negatives. If you are looking for a horse for the forecast it’s got to be KAYF BLANCO. This fella has an habit of coming second, and that’s were we believe he will finish today. PRINCETON ROYALE has been placing, but he’s the winner of six races and he’s certainly honest enough. The big bonus for is getting Harry Teal to take off 7 pounds. With that said, trip,track and ground are other positives.
Prior to last weeks win against Aalborg (2-1), FC Copenhagen were defeated by both league leaders Brondby and Midtjylland. Nevertheless, last years champion have bounced back during the past two months, and seven wins from nine games isn’t a bad return for Stale Solbakken’s side. With six games remaining the hosts will be hoping to make up the four points overtake third placed Nordsjaelland. By doing so they would at least grab a European place for next season, and that in turn would mean more money for new players. Horsens had a great first half to the campaign, but they come into this on the back of nine without a win. Prior to last weeks 2-2 draw with Nordsjaelland the visitors had lost three games on the spin. One of them was a 5-1 in Brondby, thus proving they can easily be exposed! Take FCK to cover the spread!
Both teams are expecting to be without two regular players. For the host Costa and Borriello remain sidelined, while Roma won’t have Kolarov or Defrel available. With five matches remaining Spal are one place and one point above the relegation zone. However, Leonardo Semplici’s side have only won five from their 33 matches, but they come into this on the back of drawing six in a row. AS Roma have taken nearly twice has many points on the road (33) compared to Spal at home (17). Furthermore, they beat todays opponent 2-0 in the reverse fixture, and they come into this on the back of beating Genoa (2-1). However, better than all of that I Giallorossi reverse a 4-1 deficit against Barcelona to progress into the semi final of the champions league. In recent weeks Spal have stopped Fiorentina on the road, and they even held teams such has Atalanta and Juventus. Even a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Napoli tells us how tight the hosts defence has become, and the fact is they only conceded 3 goals over the last seven games. With champions league football approaching, Roma will have half an eye on that match against Liverpool. Spal on the other hand are looking solid and could be hard to break down! Double chance!
When Mikael Debeve took over at Toulouse he initially managed to get two league wins out of his players. However, since then four draws and four defeats have left Les Pitchouns just one place and point above the relegation zone. On a positive note Les Pitchouns have a game in hand, and they do have an excellent record against todays guest Angers. In fact, they already beat the visitors in the reverse match (0-1), and they are 4-2-1 over the last seven meetings. Angers are unbeaten in three, albeit two of those matches ended in draws. Nevertheless, the visitors appear to be safe with five matches remaining, since they are 8 points above the drop zone. We believe Toulouse will be egged on by the crowd and duly win!
Both of these clubs have had dreadful injury problems all season, and they still have and handful of players missing today. For Watford their will be no Tom Cleverley, Younes Kaboul, Nathaniel Chalobah, Gerald Deulofeu or Tommie Hoban, and Sebastien Prödl is still a doubt. In fact, coach Javi Gracia told the press he had several players with a stomach bug, so he will be hoping that they are all fit for today. Crystal Palace are set to be without Scott Dann, Jason Puncheon, Connor Wickham and Bakary Sako. Jeff Schlupp is another who will need to be passed fit, but things are looking good on that score. Other than that, the Eagles have found a bit of form and have pulled five points clear of the relegation zone. To be analytical the visitors have found more confidence since Zaha returned to the side. While not being a prolific scorer, he’s the one Palace player who can take apart most teams. It will be interesting to see if Hodgson will rely on goal shy Benteke again, because he’s said to have criticised his striker this week. Nevertheless, whoever is chosen can do a good job, and we can be sure the Eagles will be trying their best. The Hornets haven’t won in five, and amongst them was a 5-0 defeat to Liverpool. Last weeks 1-0 defeat to Huddersfield came from a lack of concentration, and confidence is at a low. A win today would put them on the same points has Watford, we believe it will happen in this London derby!
Six of the last seven games between these two clubs ended in a draw. However, on this occasion neither side would be happy with a point, so we expect to see an all out assault. Unless something radical happens over the next four games Hamburg are doomed to play next season in the second league. Many would suggest Die Rothosen deserve to be dropped. Afterall, they have been perennial survivalists for several seasons now, and the owners are clearly failing to find the right players. We really can’t imagine the hosts escaping on this occasion, but we do expect them to beat poor traveller Freiburg. The visitors come into this having lost four games in succession, and last weeks 2-0 defeat in Mainz make them favourite for place 16. That in turn would mean a play-off against the third in the second Bundesliga, so at least they would have a chance of escaping the drop.
Second bet for free - We can’t accept new subscribers today (sorry) - We thought QUEST FOR LIFE tried hard last time, so we are not deterred by his five second places and no wins. Nevertheless, this race appears to be more competitive and he would need to improve. BIG ROBIN is a wrong favourite in our book, and he’s easy to take on at these type of odds. Like a lot of Philip Hobbs horses CONTENDED ran poorly following a win. COOLE MIX also under performed last time out, and he doesn’t look altogether reliable. BALLYVIC BORU is bred for testing ground, but all three wins came on going described has good. A couple of runs back and Brian Ellison’s lightly raced six year old was a wide margin winner of a bumper. Despite being very short in the betting for that we thought he was really impressive. In our opinion a mark of 117 appears lenient, so if wind surgery worked he should go very close.
We will give you two from our six for free - Here is one of our early bets - - —— Two short priced winners from his last 25 runners wouldn’t be enough for getting me to want in on the 6/5 about DEFOE. While Roger Varian’s course winner was a big improver last year, we feel like we have seen him peak. Can’t imagine AUTOCRATIC wanting this far, and DANEHILL KODIAC would need to improve significantly . William Haggas should be able to get more out of the impeccably bred CALL TO MIND, and he’s from a family which improve with age. Conditions should be ideal, and he won first time up last season!
WE HAVE BEEN UNBEATABLE IN HUNTER CHASES, SO HERE YOU GO - Can understand were they are coming from in making SHOTOFVODKA favourite. However, he’s hardly prolific, and the ground might be faster than he likes. GALWAY JACK is a horse we like very much, and at the tender age of 13 he’s still going well. With all that said, he’s in the unfortunate position of giving weight to a few of the others, and it’s that which could cost him another win. O MAONLAI shouldn’t be good enough, while ROYALRAISE is better on a right handed track. For us it’s got to be back to back point winner SHIMLA DAWN. The ten year old beat the highly regarded Path to Freedom by a whopping 20 lengths last time. His experienced jockey Emily Todd takes of a useful three pounds, and he’s receiving 8 pounds from GALWAY JACK. Take into consideration he was rated 127 under rules, and he goes best on this type of ground!
HAVE THIS ONE ON THE HOUSE - TOMILY looks a bit high in the weights. GLOBAL APPLAUSE is a class act, but i’m not sure why the trainer would want to take Gerald Mosse for the ride. BLUE DE VEGA should have more to give has a sprinter, while CASPIAN PRINCE will certainly like the ground. However, none of them should be good enough to stop the still progressive A MOMENTOFMADNESS. Charlie Hills gelding won well on the AW at Kempton, and the fact is he’s 4 pounds lower on turf. Baring in mind he only ran in top races last season suggest he’s the one to be on, and of course Buick is the right man to have on board.
ENJOY IT FOR FREE - We always thought Waregem would come good during the Jupiler league - Europa league groups. And, after struggling through much of the campaign Francky Drury’s side have found form to win six from their last eight matches. We believe the Essevee are looking better now than at any time during the main season, and that’s supported by recent big wins against Mouscron (5-1) and Lierse (1-4). The amount of possession and goalscoring opportunities created by the hosts has been impressive indeed, and maybe one of the reasons for that is some of the better players returning to the squad. Their is an argument to suggest Kortrijk are also finishing the season better than they started it. Afterall, De Kerels won three of their four group matches to date, and they only just missed out of the Championship group by one place and two points. The hosts won’t have Doumbia, Hamalainen, Marcq, Bjordal or De Mets available. Nevertheless, none of them are newly missing and they beat Lierse without the same group of players in the last round. Take the rampant Essevee to ram home the goals!