The first thing we should mention is Ysaline Bonaventure knew she would be getting a pass into the main round before losing 6-0 6-1 to Allie Kiick in qualifying. Suffice to say, you can remove that result from the database. Prior to that she had beaten Sophie Chang, and her record on the year is 24/17. However, we should also mention that a large portion of those matches were played in qualifying or ITF, and based on what we have witnessed a current rank of 130 appears about right. Anhelina Kalanina is a much improved player this year. In fact, the 21 year old is 31/11, and she won three ITF tournaments. Kalanina looked excellent in two rounds of qualifying, and she gives the impression that she could easily hit through todays opponent!
PAYING IT FORWARD - THIS IS A ONE OFF TO OFFER ALL TENNIS BETS FOR FREE! ————Danielle Collins was excellent on the US circuit earlier in the year. In fact, the 24 year old came through qualification to make the semi final of Miami, and to do that she beat players such has Venus Williams, Vandeweghe, Puig and Vekic. We can also add that she won Newport beach, so the question now as the bubble burst? Whichever way you look at it Collins hasn’t reached the same level since Miami, and her first round win over Danielle Lao wasn’t anything special. Like we anticipated Vera Lapko had no trouble disposing Shuai Zhang, and we were particularly impressed by the 19 year olds focus. And, while we shouldn’t get carried away by the bare form, the chances are their is a lot more to come from the teenager!
TOO GENEROUS - GIVING OUR BETS AWAY FOR FREE! Allie Kiick leads Katie Boulter 2-0 on head to heads, and both of those matches ended in straight sets. However, that was then and this is now, and watching the Brit thrash Alexsandra Krunic in the first round suggests their could be a turnaround here. Whichever way you look at it, Boultier made Krunic look very average indeed. And, looking at recent results from the 22 year old suggests she’s ready to break into the top 100. Afterall, she’s also beaten players such has Schmiedlova, Alexandrova, Brady, Sam Stosur, Wickmayer and Cepede Royg. WTA is all about having the hunger and right mentality, Boultier appears in a good place at the moment and has such we believe she’s a good thing!
NEW FOOTBALL SEASON IS HERE - 1 AUGUST PAY IT FORWARD DAY. WE MOVED TO NEW SERVER AND ADDED SECURITY CERTIFICATES TODAY. THE SEASON STARTS NOW - SUBSCRIBE TODAY AND START BETTING LIKE A PROFESSIONAL ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM If you had witnessed Sturm Graz struggling to beat the newly promoted Hartberg (3-2) at the weekend, you wouldn’t give them a chance against todays opponent Ajax. It has to be said, with the exception of Red Bull salzburg the Austrian league is very average indeed and Sturm will need a miracle to turn this tie around. When we talk about Ajax usually selling their best players, it’s very normal when the big investment is in their highly respected youth academy. With that said, the board of Ajax have taken a very different stance this season, and the fact is they went €24 million into the red for new players. With regards to summer signings, Ajax sold Justin Kluivert to AS Roma for €17 million. However, that money and more was spent on bringing in quality players such has Daley Blind (Man utd - €16M), Dusan Tadic (€11.5m - Southampton), Hassane Bandé (Mechelen €8.3M), and Zakaria Labyad (€6M Utrecht). Whichever way you look at it ‘’quality pure’’, and this young squad have a value about ten times of their opponent. Sure Ajax know they won the first game 2-0 and don’t need to win. All the same, it’s just not the Dutch way to put eleven players behind the ball. With the league due to start in 10 days, Ajax will want to make a statement!
NEW FOOTBALL SEASON IS HERE - 1 AUGUST PAY IT FORWARD DAY. WE MOVED TO NEW SERVER AND ADDED SECURITY CERTIFICATES TODAY. THE SEASON STARTS NOW - SUBSCRIBE TODAY AND START BETTING LIKE A PROFESSIONAL ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM Midtjylland might have beat Esbjerg 3-1 at the weekend, but their wasn’t a lot to like about their game. In fact, the once dominant Wolves had just 42% possession. We should also add that they had luck in being awarded a penalty, and their third goal came deep in injury time. If that’s all Matty Benham’s players can offer, they are going to find it hard to turn this tie around against the Kazakhstan premier league champions. FC Astana have won their domestic championship for the past four seasons, and they currently lead the league by six points. A comfortable win at the weekend wouldn’t taken much out of Roman Grygorchuk’s side. And, despite needing a late winner in the reverse match against Midtjylland, they were by far the most dominant team. The Blue and Yellows have already won an away qualification match, and they appear to be particularly suited to playing on the counter attack. We can also mention the fact they have a very experienced squad (average age 28.4), and their player value would supersede their opponents! PS: Astana won in Slavia Prague and Maccabi in last seasons Europa league group games, and they even drew at Sporting (3-3). Everything points to Astana going through!
NEW FOOTBALL SEASON IS HERE - 1 AUGUST PAY IT FORWARD DAY. WE MOVED TO NEW SERVER AND ADDED SECURITY CERTIFICATES TODAY. THE SEASON STARTS NOW - SUBSCRIBE TODAY AND START BETTING LIKE A PROFESSIONAL ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM The Basel board of directors decided enough was enough and fired coach Raphael Wicky. To be frank, we wondered why the perennial Swiss super league champions didn’t change managers during the summer. Afterall, the last season was bad when they lost a league title they had taken for 8 successive years. Alex Frei took charge of the hosts before the weekends 1-1 draw with newly promoted Xamax. After scoring in that game, the Bebbi appeared to be heading for their first season win. However, an 86th minute equaliser but paid to that, and to be fair it was a 50/50% match and the end result was right. Whether the interim coach is capable of turning things around remains to be seen, but we are not overly optimistic that will happen without financial support. We say that because the club cashed-in over €16 million on player trades during the summer, and they clearly lack quality on the field PAOK won the first leg 2-1, and if anything they will be disappointed with that bare result. The fact is PAOK controlled that match from start to finish, and the goal for their opponents came during a moment of lapsed concentration. Whatever, PAOK have the right to come on more for that first leg match, because unlike their opponents they are playing out of season. The other thing is they should be suited by their opponents having to make the game! Great bet
BLACK SALT wasn’t given the best of rides when finishing third at Ayr. To be fair the son of EQUINIO does make it hard for his jockey by continually missing the break, and he does have an amateur rider on board today. However, Miss Ellie Mackenzie won two from her last four rides, and the gelding appears to like it at this track. Furthermore, his last effort was a good one in the circumstances, and he’s lightly raced enough to improve further.
We really can’t see a big difference between the short priced fav STAR SHIELD and RUNAWAY. Afterall, the jolly finished 3 lengths behind 80 rated BAWAASIL, so that form would be marked 71. RUNWAY was beaten 6 lengths by 111 rated EMARAATY, but she finished ahead of the other 9 runners in that Newcastle race. For the record the third (won twice since) that day is currently rated 82, while the fourth (74), and fifth (79) are also decent types. Working back it’s easy to suggest the fill is worth anything between 71-74, and the fact is she receives 5 pound here - enough of the maths.
HAVE THIS ONE ON US - WANT ONE OF THE LAST TWO SUBSCRIPTION PLACES ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM ——— SAVAANAH won three on the spin, albeit they were uncompetitive races. In fact, the last one was a two horse race and she started the 2/11 favourite. Suffice to say this is going to be tougher, and we would challenge her status has favourite. FOUR WHITE SOCKS is proven on the track, but the one to be on is the highly tried MAGNOLIA SPRINGS. Eve Johnson Houghton’s filly has a really good mark for a winner of a listed, and she did try group racing last time out. Charles Bishop gets on well with the daughter of Sharmadel, and she too is a CD winner.
FREE FOR ALL RACING BETS TODAY - WE ARE GIVING YOU ALL FOUR FOR NADA. WE ARE ALSO OPENING THE DOOR FOR TWO MORE PEOPLE TO SUBSCRIBE - ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM ——— We thought about this one long and hard, because the fact is LIL ROCKERFELLA wouldn’t automatically convert his hurdles rating to a parallel on the flat. Nevertheless, their is no doubt that based on his hurdles number of 153 he would be thrown in here off just 82. Their are also other factors leading to this tip, namely the longer trip (he should get), top jockey, decent ground, and the fact he’s receiving weight from the other principals. Furthermore, he’s a consistent type and is rated 20 pounds higher over hurdles than he was when last seen on the level.
Starting pitchers are Luke Weaver for the hosts and Kyle Freeland for the visitors. Luke Weaver has regressed a bit after a promising start to the season and he carries a very pedestrian 4.70 ERA though his xFIP is slightly better at 4.25. Nevertheless, Weaver has shown noticeably poor splits against left handed bats of which the Rockies should have at least 4 in the lineup tonight, and Weaver hasn't shown the ability to last deep into games with much consistency. This is significant given the poor Cardinals bullpen which was worsened with the trade of Sam Tuivailala. On the other side, Kyle Freeland may have found some limited success at home but we're more concerned with his L/R splits as the Cardinals field a predominantly right handed lineup that should match up well against the southpaw. The Rockies bullpen has been a fair bit better of late and bolstered with new arrival Seung-Hwan Oh but we have doubts Freeland can give them a quality outing here, exposing the Rockies dreadful middle relievers. As dreadful as the Rockies have been hitting on the road, that hasn't been the case this series as they pounded out another 9 hits in a 6-3 win yesterday. We have this at 8.5!
Starting pitchers are Dylan Covey for the hosts and Jake Junis for the visitors. Dylan Covey has been a fair bit better than his 5.40 ERA suggests as his xFIP of 4.42 is close to being in the middle 3rd of 153 pitchers with at least 60 innings of work. This has been a huge improvement for Covey after a poor rookie season and if anything, he has shown an excellent ground ball rate and an ability to limit home runs as a result. Covey gets a dreadful hitting Royals team but there are some factors that work against him as the Royals aren't a power hitting team to begin with and opt to put the ball into play. This has been to Covey's detriment this year as the White Sox have one of the worst defenses behind him and have led to a slightly elevated .311 BABIP that we believe could be higher. It also bears mentioning that despite being one of the worst hitting team against right handers, the Royals have shown some life of late with a .775 OPS in the last week. On the other side, Jake Junis has regressed a bit from a promising rookie campaign and Junis actually has the highest home run rate among pitchers with 60 innings of work at 2.04 HR/9. The White Sox aren't much better against right handers than the Royals but they do have some power with 94 home runs, 14th highest among 30 teams. Junis' fly ball rate and hard contact rate, both above 40% are a concern in that regard! We don't rate the bullpens particularly well though we would say the White Sox's relievers are a fair bit better but only because the Royals' bullpen is the worst in the league. While the relievers did their jobs yesterday, it's not something we would count on with regularity and in any case, we see plenty of fireworks early!