Stanford has done well in conference play, notching a 5-3 record and are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. UCLA sits at 5-4 but have lost 3 of their last 4 against PAC-12 opponents. The reverse fixture was won by the Cardinal in double overtime 107-99 in a very contentious game which we believe will add some extra motivation for the Bruins tonight. The Cardinal certainly deserve credit for the win but we feel that the Bruins just took their opponents lightly which certainly won't be the case tonight with every game essentially turning into a must win for them. Thomas Welsh sprained his knee on Thursday night against California and he is officially questionable for tonight. Regardless of the Bruins' center's status, however, we feel UCLA should outclass their opponents tonight!
Long Beach St has won 4 of their last 5 games but we are still shocked to see the 49ers favored by a significant margin on the road. Granted, they are facing one of the poorest overall teams in Division I in CS-Northridge but the 49ers defense leaves a lot to be desired and particularly concerning is their 3 pt defense, allowing opponents to shoot 40.2% from beyond the arc and an even more abysmal 47.3% in their last 5 games. The Matadors are a bottom 25 team in the country but this is one of their most competitive rivalries and they in fact took both games last season and have covered in their last 4 meetings. The 49ers won't be able to make enough stops here in our opinion!
We will gladly take on Oregon again with their in-state rival Oregon St, especially considering it was the Beavers that got the best of the Ducks in the reverse fixtures 76-64. Granted, home court advantage plays a large role here but we feel the Ducks simply haven't dealt with the losses to their starters from a year ago and have struggled to stay afloat in the PAC 12 at just 3-4. The Beavers have an identical record in conference play but have played well against a tough slate of opponents and should have enough firepower to keep this within margin.
The Seahawks have been in good form winning 3 out of their last 5 and 4-1 ATS in that span. But stylistically, this is a bad matchup for the hosts. The Tribe have just 3 losses in conference play with 2 coming against Towson and the other loss to Northeastern. They struggle a little against defensive minded teams but have one of the best scoring offenses in the country and should be able to overmatch the Seahawks, who have struggled due to attrition.
Jacksonville St has made a terrific turnaround under 2nd year head coach Ray Harper but it's apparent that the market is giving the Gamecocks a little too much respect with some of these inflated lines. Particularly concerning is their ATS record in conference play as a favorite, of which they are 2-6 and have in fact lost 4 times as a favorite, with spreads of -10, -5, -9.5 and -11.5! Nevertheless, they do face a very favorable match up against Southeast Missouri St, who bring one of the absolute worst defenses in the entire nation. The Redhawks allow opponents to shoot near 50% from the field and own one of the worst rebounding differentials in the nation as well. This presents the perfect opportunity for the Gamecocks to bounce back from their ugly loss to Tennessee-Martin on Thursday and we believe they will do it by a considerable margin!
Canisius leads the MAAC at 7-1 and are coming off an 84-82 win over Iona last week. Niagara has made a nice turnaround this season and sits a 6-3 in conference play, a stark difference from years past where the Purple Eagles were perennial cellar dwellers. We were high on Niagara coming into the season but tempered our expectations recently to a few undesirable results. Nevertheless, we expect the Purple Eagles to bring their best game here as they find themselves in position to possibly win the conference. Niagara, even in their worst years, would always somehow find a way to play their best against the Golden Griffins, covering in 5 of their last 6 meetings and winning 3 outright as sizable underdogs. The Purple Eagles offense ranks in the top 100 in the nation and we see them opting to push the pace and turning the game into a shootout. On the other side, Canisius should be up for the challenge and have no issues against an extremely porous Purple Eagles defense as well. Algorithms place this total a bit lower but we they are a bit short-sighted here!
Chattanooga ended their 8 game losing streak on Wednesday as they defeated Samford 78-71. Sitting at 1-7 in conference play, the Mocs host VMI, also at 1-7 and tied for last in the Southern Conference. The Keydets used to be one of the fastest paced teams in the country but that has shifted in recent years under 3rd year head coach Dan Earl. The Keydets play more deliberately and possess a defense about on par with the Mocs. We simply can't accept a spread this large on the hosts despite covering in 3 straight games. We don't expect enough possessions and a good enough shooting percentage from a bottom 50 offense for a double digit win!
A look at league positions will have you asking how Vitesse can be the favourite. Afterall, John Van’t Schip’s side are three places above Vitesse, and they have 8 more points in the bag. The hosts come into this on the back of a win against Breda (1-0), but before that they were thrashed by Den Haag (4-0). Furthermore, the Blauwvingers struggled against 13th placed Breda, and prior to that they hadn’t won at home in three. Vitesse are better on the road than they are at home, and they are playing better than current results suggest. With no injuries to worry about, we expect the visitors to get an important win on the board. The reason this isn’t a premium bet is we needed 1.80 for the draw no bet!
We thought long and hard about making this a premium bet, but the price dropped and with it our interest diminished. Sassuolo are just 14th in the league table, but they are beginning to play better. In fact, a recent 1-0 win over Inter was their best effort to date, and we thought they deserved a win against Torino in last weekends match. Just before christmas Atalanta knocked todays opponent out of the cup, and earlier in the season they berate them in the league. Both of those matches ended just 2-1, and to be fair the margins were tight. Reversing stadiums should give the Green/black an advantage, and it that’s the case they can win!
You can often make money in Turkey Super Liga by opposing the big favourites, and that’s especially been the case since Istanbul clubs Besiktas, Fenerbahce and Galatasaray have lost dominance. However, it’s hard to get away from the fact that Gala are 8-1-0 at home, and todays opponent Osmanlispor are the worst travellers in the league (0-1-7). The remaining question is can the hosts cover a 1.5 goal spread, and we believe the answer is an affirmative yes. In fact, we are of the opinion that Fatih Terim’s side is fairly priced based on the facts at hand, and that’s despite missing leading scorer Bafetimbi Gomis. Earlier on in the season the Lions won the reverse fixture (1-3), and last season this fixture ended 2-0. If anything the second placed host has improved since then, while their opponents are very close to the relegation places!
Just to reiterate this is a free pick and not premium. Both of these teams love to attack, and neither of them will be wanting a replay. In fact, that probably applies to first division side Peterborough even more, because at least they are chasing promotion. Whether the Posh are good enough for that remains to be seen, but under Grant McCann they are serious contenders for a play-off place. The Foxes have recovered well from a poor start to the campaign, but qualifying for Europe looks very doubtful. With that in mind the FA cup appears to be an interesting target, so here’s hoping Claude Puel sends out his best XI. Whatever the scenario, we expect goals and plenty of them, so Asian h’cap over 3 is best. ps - If it lands on exact 3, the bet is void and stakes returned.
Our France Premium bets are doing well with +44.43%, you have the option to join this service in our buffet section, or by contacting us at email@example.com. We just want to make it clear that this pick is a FREE BET. St Etienne need to wake up has 16th place in the table is less than satisfactory. Nevertheless, the hosts have the players to climb the table, and at least they beat Toulouse 2-0 when last playing at home. Caen appear to be hitting a brick wall at the moment, albeit we prefer to believe it’s just a matter of rebalancing. Afterall, their once fourth place was clearly exaggerated, and their recent 1-1-5 tells us they are going through a confidence crisis.