Idaho is fighting for the top spot in the Big Sky at 11-3 with 2 teams Montana and Weber St ahead of them. The Vandals are just 1 game back in the loss column to both teams and needless to say, this is an important game against an in-state rival tonight. Idaho St sits at 7-7 in conference play but have really come on of late, with 6 wins in their last 9 games and saw their modest 2 game winning streak snapped over the weekend against Portland St. Still, this is a much better matchup for the Bengals against a more deliberate Idaho team and the Bengals' 3 pt defense has been stellar. As important as this game is for the Vandals, they might have their sights set on Weber St, who they play in just 2 days. We will be watching this closely in that regard but in any case, this game should have the full attention of the hosts and we can't seeing it be too easy for the Vandals.
Southern Utah can be a dangerous team at home and the Thunderbirds are in good form with a 6-3 record ATS in their last 9 games. Nevertheless, this isn't an ideal matchup as the Vikings bring a top 100 offense and have no qualms turning this game into a shootout. The Vikings have topped 80 points in 5 of their last 6 games and should have no issues against a Southern Utah defense ranked in the bottom 50. Traylin Ferris is questionable for the visitors and leading scorer Deontae North remains but the Vikings have coped well enough without him. We expect the Thunderbirds to put up their share of points but there should be plenty of margin for the Vikings by the end!
4-23 Northern Arizona hosts 6-21 Sacramento St in a battle of two of the worst teams in the Big Sky and all of Division I for that matter. The Lumberjacks had a nice run early in the year where they covered in 6 consecutive games and highlighted it with an outright win over Montana St. Still, they've fallen on hard times and with just 1 win ATS in their last 5. The Hornets have not done much better, losers of their last 6 but this is usually a matchup they do well in, no matter the circumstances. Starting guard Jeff Wu is questionable for the visitors but the Hornets should have no issues from the perimeter against a porous Lumberjacks defense and should have a clear advantage in turnovers.
Detroit was showed some life in their recent road trip as they nearly went a perfect 4-0 ATS but settled for a push against Cleveland St and did manage to win outright at Youngstown St. Gerald Blackshear is questionable for tonight for the hosts after missing the last 5 games and Tariq Jones and Jaleel Hogan remain out due to academic issues. The Panthers have come on strong of late and despite losing to IUPUI last game, I have to take them at these odds.
It's been a disappointing year for Towson in many regards but this is still a team we regard highly despite their poor recent form of 0-7 ATS. Still, the Huskies haven't been much better in that regard at 1-6 ATS during that span though they do have more outright wins. The Huskies got the better of the Tigers just 2 weeks ago but it's typically tough to sweep the season series in the Colonial and in any case, this is always a fierce rivalry and it's hard to imagine the Huskies running away with it.
Despite Delaware losing 9 out of their last 10, these odds look a bit strange to us as the Blue Hens have been playing extremely well with 5 wins ATS in their last 7 and probably deserved more than just 1 win in that span. To be fair, Drexel has been playing well against the market as well with 6 wins ATS in their last 9 but a favorite role is not something they are used to and in fact, were unable to cover last time in that regard, beating James Madison by just 2 against a 2.5 pt spread. The Blue Hens are coming off a confidence building 15 point win over Elon and on top of that, key contributor Austin Williams is questionable for the hosts tonight.
Whichever way you look at it Derby are specialists in blowing promotion. After a slow start to the campaign the Rams fairly flew up the table, and at one stage they looked serious contenders for automatic promotion. However, just one win and five points from their last five matches put a mockers on that. To say the hosts have dropped standards is probably an understatement, and that recent 2-0 defeat at Sheffield Wednesday was their worst performance for some time. Leeds have a reputation for changing managers more often than not, so it was no surprise when Thomas Christiansen was recently replaced by Paul Heckingbottom. The new coach at least managed to get his team back on track at the weekend with a draw against Bristol City, and to achieve that they had to come from two goals down. The good news for Hickingbottom is his team are just 8 points outside the play-off zone, and with this game in hand. Team news couldn’t be much better, although Luke ailing is missing! Take the visitor.
Bristol City are known for their prowess at Ashton Gate, albeit this season they won just 8 from 16 at home. However, an even bigger concern for coach Lee Johnson is the fact that City only won one from their last 8 league matches, and that includes a 3-3 against the struggling Sunderland. Bad news for the host is injuries and missing players. While Josh Brownhill should be ready, Merlon Pack is now suspended. Then comes Pisano, Duric, O’Neil’ Taylor, Hegeler and O’Dowda all sidelined! Fulham are the form team of the league, and after a poor start to the campaign they are flying up the table. Over the past ten league matches the Cottagers are an amazing 8-2-0, and that includes wins against several other promotion candidates. In fact, their was wins in Cardiff (2-4) and Middlesbrough (0-1) during this spell! The visitors are just without Sheyi Ojo, while Cairney needs to prove his fitness. We believe Fulham will continue to progress and gain automatic promotion!
Sevilla are not at the level to be serious contenders for this seasons Champions league, and the same could be said for Manchester United. However, you have to believe that the EPL team are going to get through to the next round. Afterall, they come from a more competitive league, and are at least fighting it out for second. We believe the board of Sevilla let the club down badly by cashing in on players during the summer, and that’s the reason they sit a full 23 points behind league leaders Barcelona. The winners of 3 from the last 4 Europa league titles didn’t finish ahead of much during the group stage. And, while they came from 3 down to level it with Liverpool when they visited, that only happened because their opponents switched off! If United poach a lead they won’t let their opponents back!
Shakhtar Donetsk finished 6 points ahead of Napoli to end second to Manchester City during the group stage. And, while it goes without saying we shouldn’t pay too much attention to the 2-0 over City (already confirmed group winners), their was an impressive 2-1 victory against the Italian league leaders. And, since that team are 16 points clear of Roma in the league table, it does suggest that they won’t fear the visitors. AS Roma pipped Chelsea (goal difference) to claim Group C. However, they were easily beaten in Atletico and also struggled for a long time against group whipping boys Qarabag (1-2). Since then the visitors won just 4 of their 12 games, albeit that includes the last three. We could discuss missing players, but only Florenzi (Roma) stands out has being important. Take the Ukrainian team to get a first leg win!
ONE DAY OFFER ONLY - ALL RACING BETS TO END OF SEASON (10 MONTHS) JUST €300/£270 - THAT’S LESS THAN A POUND PER DAY - PAYPAL ONLY - GET IN TOUCH NOW BETTING.ANALYSTT@GMAIL.COM - RAYVIN BLACK is a course winner, albeit we believe he’s better on a galloping track. Although he’s lightly raced, we are worried that SEYMOUR STAR weight until he was ten to go chasing. It sort of suggests he’s not a natural. TOWN PEAKS has a lot on his plate giving away a double penalty, so ready preference is for COASTAL TIEP. Drying ground, dropping back in trip and racing right handed are key!
ARDEA is a decent type, but odds of 9/2 look short in this grade. HARD STATION needs to prove his fitness, while WARDEN HILL might struggle at this level. It goes without saying that PACHA DU PALDER is the one to beat, but he’s hardly a penalty kick. At the odds the one which stands out is KILFINCHEN BAY. The 10 year old is only rated 6 pounds inferior to the fav, and he’s proven in the past that he can win following a break.