As it stands, Stuttgart are the fourth best host in the league. Tayfun Korkut must be relieved for that, because his side have been very poor travellers. With that said, Stuttgart did win in the last round in Augsburg, albeit against a team which under performed. Frankfurt showed signs of jittering against Augsburg (3-0), but since then they bounced back to beat Mainz. Köln and Leipzig. All in all, it’s been a fantastic season for coach Niko Kovac, and his team are flying high in third place. We could also add that Die Adler lost just once in their last ten, and the punchline is they took more points on the road than at home. The hosts have question marks over the participation of both Akolo and Mangala. Frankfurt on the other hand have no Boateng (suspended) and Willems is out for personal reasons. We like the visitors at these attractive odds with draw no bet!
In an unbelievable turn of events, Drexel mounted a comeback from down 34 to beat Delaware 85-83 on Thursday. This would actually set the record for the largest comeback in NCAA history and we have to wonder if the Dragons' focus is completely here especially given that neither team has much to play for. UNC Wilmington has lost 2 in a row but we can forgive the Seahawks as they faced 2 of the better CAA teams in Charleston and William & Mary. We still like the way the Seahawks have been playing and believe this is a 50/50 game at worst.
Towson has been a major disappointment and was at it again against Northeastern as they let a first half lead get away and ultimately had to fight back to get a push on the spread. Hofstra sits at 11-6 in conference play but the Pride still own a bottom 75 defense. Towson has been slipping down our rankings but perhaps in the final game of the regular season they can live up to expectations in an unfamiliar role as an underdog.
California is a disaster this year and has just 1 win in their last 14 games. Washington has struggled losing 4 of their last 5 but overall, we like the makeup of this team from the players to the coaches and they should take this opportunity to beat up on a team on a down year. Cal is a dreadful 5-10 ATS at home so any home court advantage isn't translating to success this year. Huskies to win by comfortable margin.
Belmont are chasing Murray St for the Ohio Valley Conference regular season title but a loss at Jacksonvile St put them 1 game behind the Racers. Still, the Bruins own the tiebreaker so there is hope and they are heavy favorites tonight but they face a very scrappy Tennessee St team that plays hard nosed defense and does well in the underdog role. Belmont is heavily reliant on the 3 ball and can struggle when the shots aren't falling as they did against Jacksonville St. The Tigers won the reverse fixture outright and while that might be asking for too much here with what's at stake, staying within 11 shouldn't be too difficult.
Ohio Valley Conference leaders Murray St takes on Austin Peay in the final game of the regular season. At 15-2, the Racers hold a slim 1 game lead over Belmont although the Bruins hold the tiebreaker by virtue of winning the head to head matchup. The Governors have impressed this year at 12-5 in conference play but they still have limitations and their defense has let them down, especially form beyond the arc. Racers to clinch the top spot in fashion.
George Washington is in terrific form having won 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5 and are coming off a 103-77 shellacking of Richmond on Wednesday. Saint Louis is dealing with a suspension of one of their starters but have still managed to win 5 of their last 7. Still, this Colonials team has really come alive and the Billikens can get bogged down with trouble scoring. 5.5 seems a touch too high.
Idaho fell to in-state rival Idaho St on Thursday much as we predicted but the Vandals just may have had their sights set on this game against the Wildcats. Weber St saw their 9 game winning streak come to an end against Eastern Washington but 2 losses by Montana opened the door for the Big Sky regular season title. Nonetheless, this will be stiff challenge from the Vandals and despite home court, we see this as a 50/50 game.
Idaho St got the upset over in-state rival Idaho on Thursday but we believe that's exactly what's created some value as they are overpriced here against the visitors. Eastern Washington has won 3 in a row including wins over Big Sky leading Montana and Weber St. The Bengals gave a little extra against the Vandals and had to hang on for dear life down the stretch. We believe they come out flat against a hot Eagles team.
The Jazz have been on an incredible run and closed out the 1st half of the seaosn on an 11 game winning streak. Led by rookie Donovan Mitchell, who incidentally won the dunk contest over the break, the Jazz have put themselves in contention for a playoff spot and their defense has improved drastically with the return of Rudy Gobert. The Blazers have done well with what they have but they do not match up well against the Jazz and much of it was on display just 2 weeks ago in a game the Jazz controlled throughout and won comfortably by 19. We expect more of the same and the Blazers might have some difficulties at elevation after a long layoff.
The Rockets look to be a real threat to the Warriors hopes to repeat and entered the All Star Break as winners of 10 straight and 14 of 15. The Wolves limped into the midseason having lost 3 of 5 and 0-5 ATS in those games, including an 18 point loss to the Rockets. Still, we have to point out that the game was much closer than the score indicated and the extra rest should do wonders for the Wolves who are overworked more than any other team. With revenge on their minds, we believe their chances of winning outright are much better than the odds suggest so we're going for it big on the moneyline.
The major news out of San Antonio is that Kawhi Leonard has been medically cleared to play but the superstar guard has elected not to return to the roster. We won't speculate as to why but the fact remains that the Spurs always employ the next man up mentality and have still compiled a 35-24 record without Leonard for much of the year. Manu Ginobili is off the injury report so with Rudy Gay returning, the Spurs have everyone (aside from Leonard) available tonight. Gay will be on a minutes restriction, however. The Nuggets ended the 1st half of the seaosn on a nice run with wins in 6 of their last 7 including a 117-109 win over the same Spurs just 10 days ago. However, the Nuggets are still a team that's lacking leadership and in our opinion, poorly coached. With Greg Popovich with ample time to prepare and perhaps revenge on their minds from that game, we believe Spurs have a very good chance to win this outright.