BET IS VOID DUE TO POSTPONEMENT Starting pitchers are Lucas Giolito for the hosts and Chris Bassitt for the visitors. Lucas Giolito is arguably the worst starting pitcher in all of baseball this season as he enters this game with a 7.19 ERA and a not too much better xFIP of 6.62. It's a bit puzzling given his above average velocity and stuff but it clearly hasn't translated into the all-important strikeouts of which his 5.05 K/9 is actually less than his walk rate of 5.68 BB/9. However, we're having a hard time accepting him as such an outsider against a pitcher who's making just his 3rd start since 2016 and doesn't have near the draft pedigree of Giolito though Bassitt has obviously fared better thus far. Still, Bassit's career xFIP of 4.63 shows his early success is a bit of a mirage and we don't rate too much of a difference between the two starters. Giolito does face a right handed heavy lineup where he is marginally better against with a 5.65 xFIP whereas the White Sox should have more than a few lefties to exploit the matchup against Bassitt. Neither bullpen inspires much at the moment and while the A's are the better hitting team, we just don't see enough of an advantage to make them clear favourites on the road!
Iran played their part in that ‘’bullshit’’ first game against Morocco, but fortunately for them they got a late winning ‘’own goal’’. Expect the Iranians to go on the floor more than ever this evening has they will try to break up the game against classy Spain. However, despite these antics we can’t imagine an highly talented opponent letting them off the hook, since these players from big Spanish clubs have to face a similar situation each and every week! To be honest, Spain were much better than we had anticipated in the first match. We really believed that their ageing squad would be found out, and it probably was with the late equaliser. Nevertheless, it was hard not to be impressed, and a similar display should see them steamroll tonights opponent. We had Spain at 1.18 and -2, so being able to bet at -1.5 is a massive bonus!
We thought long and hard which Premium football game to give for free today, and we decided on this one for the value factor————— Their is a saying that the cream always rises to the top, and that’s what we expect from Uruguay this evening. While Óscar Tabárez’s side looked short on ideas against Egypt (1-0), they had enough chances in the first half to call them worthy winners. In fact, Edinson Cavani was a bit unfortunate not to get a goal or two, while Luis Suarez missed chances he would normally take. Just mentioning those PSG and Barcelona players should send a chill down the spines of Saudi Arabia. And, that’s especially the case with Juan Antonio Pizzi’s defenders. Aferall, they were easily exposed by Russia, and that team wouldn’t have the same quality has todays opponent. With regards to the handicap bet, their is a danger that La Celeste will get lazy and cruise home. With that said, they might fancy their chances of chasing down Russia’s aggregate. Saudi looked very nervous in the first match against the host nation, and they need to chase this match. Class and need could be key, and two goals advantage appears the minimum! -2 Asian h’cap means that if Uruguay win by exactly two then the bet is void and stakes returned. Understand what we mean by AH!
We have five WTA bets today - You can get them all by joining our profitable paid tipping service. To get started firstname.lastname@example.org. —————We are still kicking ourselves for not tipping Lara Arruabarrena in the first round. Afterall, we thought she would win the battle of Spain against Carla Suarez Navarro, and that’s exactly what she did. Never mind, we can hopefully cash in with the 26 year old here. Arruabarrena has twice defied the odds to beat Sam Stosur, and with the latter beginning to struggle it should go 3-0 here. Surface should also suit the Spaniard better has she won 4 games at Eastbourne last season and all were against the odds!
We have five bets today including this 9/2 shot. Other odds are 16/1, 7/1, 5/1 and 7/2, so if you want them join our highly profitable paid Premium service. email@example.com ————— HYDRANGEA is begging to be taken on under her 5 pound penalty. While she’s officially the best horse in the race, her return run was well below what she achieved last season. Furthermore, Aidan O’Brien has been struggling for winners and he was 0-12 at Ascot yesterday. ARABIAN HOPE would be interesting if her stable was in better form, so it’s got to be ALJAZZI for us. Marco Botti will rely on William Buick in the hope to go one better than last year!
Most matches start early, and from the six we sent out this is the joint latest. Alternative is to subscribe to our paid WTA tennis service and get all our profitable bets. firstname.lastname@example.org ——— Timea Babos would probably have been better going to Mallorca, because the slower conditions would have suited her better. Babos doesn’t have a very good record on grass, and the fact is she’s got a negative balance on this surface over the past seven seasons. Despite being 30 years old, Mihaela Buzarnescu has really found herself over the past over two years. The Romanian showed a bit of form on grass at last weeks Nottingham, so she should have a better feel for a second stint on the surface.
We have five bets sent to subscribers today. If you would like to test a full week for just €25 get in touch email@example.com - COSMIC LAW has a similar level of form compared to SERGEI PROKOFIEV, and he’s 11/1 compared to Aidan O’Brien’s runner at 11/4. We can only believe that’s down to reputation and the fact O’Brien won this race 9 times in previous tears. ADVERTISE was impressive on his debut, but nothing compares to the impression CALYX gave us. John Gosden’s runner looked like the real deal has he easily asserted to win his debut. Their is clearly a lot more to come, and unless we are kidding ourselves he could be a good thing!
We were going to add all three WC games today, but that was until we had seen yesterdays site visitor figures. Maybe we will, maybe we won’t - whatever the case this is our first football bet today! Columbia qualified from the South American group, but boy did they fade at the end. In fact, Los Cafeteros managed just three points from their last four games, and they only had a point to spare in the end. On a positive note, José Pékerman’s team did well in recent friendlies beating the likes of France (2-3) and China (0-4), albeit draws followed against Australia and Egypt. Japan won Group B of Asia, albeit they ended just a point above Saudi Arabia and Australia. Five recent friendlies ended with one win, a draw and defeats to Switzerland (2-0), Ghana (0-2) and Ukraine (1-2). Columbia won four matches at the last world cup, and we expect number one here. However, we prefer to take the straight win rather than get clever, so slightly shorter odds!
Starting pitchers are Vince Velasquez for the hosts and Luke Weaver for the visitors. Vince Velasquez is a pitcher we've been hard on this year as we don't expect him to continue even his modest success but one area he excels at is pitching at home against right handed batters where he owns a 2.48 xFIP in that situation. This is important against the Cardinals as they lack versatility in the lineup and as their left handed starter Kolten Wong and switch hitter Dexter Fowler have been struggling, have been forced to field 8 out of 9 hitters from the right side. Velasquez struggles with home runs and walks but the Cardinals walk only 8.0% of the time against right handed pitchers, 9th lowest rate in the league, and perhaps the wind blowing in in the forecast should mitigate his propensity to give up the long ball. On the other side, Luke Weaver hasn't been in the best of form with 2 consecutive starts allowing 4 runs in 5+ innings of work and he is noticeably worse against left handed batters of which the Phillies should exploit by stacking their lineup with lefties. Bullpen advantage is firmly in favour of the hosts so on that note, we'll gladly take them as a small favourite!
We have all three matches covered, and continue to recommend half stakes until the first round is over and we can apply better Sports modelling ! — England have mainly bottled these major tournaments in the past, so that’s one worry. With that said, the pressure and expectancy on the Three Lions is less than it’s been in previous tournaments! To be fair, this is a young and exciting squad they qualified for the tournament in good style. The likes of Harry Kane and Dele Ali have already proved their class, and they would be on most top clubs shopping list. In fact, with five players drawn from the Tottenham squad, we can see investment in youth programs does work for breeding good home grown players. The other thing that should help Gareth Southgate is having a solid choice of goalkeepers, especially since it’s difficult to choose between Pickford and Butland. At the back England have experience and it’s not has though Tunisia have much threat going forward. The North Africans are sure to defend deep and make life difficult for their opponents. And, to be fair they do arrive here in decent form. Nevertheless, you would have to fancy Kane and co to break what amounts to a static defence, and we shouldn’t pay to much attention to recent friendly results (1-0 loss to Spain). England have too much quality, so despite their youth they appear a team to have the cards here. THIS IS ASIAN H'CAP - If England win by exactly one the bet is void and stakes returned!!
We plan on stopping Racing free bets with our next winner. You can sign up to our full paid service here firstname.lastname@example.org - CD winner RACQUET would go close on his best form, and so would GRANDAD WORLD. However, both ran poorly last time out, so they are worth taking on. BERLIOS has a clear chance, but he was a beaten favourite last time out and he’s short at 2/1. SMUGGLERS COVE will have the assistance of Emma Sayer, a very good booking. Iain Jardine’s four year old appears to be on a nice mark, and best of all he’s dropping back in trip and running on a track he likes.
Must admit we thought about adding nothing to the free section today, but we have things ready so here’s hoping that you use some of the profits to purchase a proper subscription! Take betting serious email@example.com. The odds of this match dropped to 1.93 with Pinnacle, but you can still get 2.05 with 5dimes! We have always maintained that Dominika Cibulkova carries a lot of condition, and her level has dropped off since getting married. With that in mind, she’s going to be vulnerable on her first appearance in four weeks. It’s fair to point out that Cibulkova beat Daria Gavrilova at Wimbledon (2016). However, the Aussie gained revenge when they last played in New Haven, and she’s usually focused for the early rounds. You wouldn’t want to put life savings on Dasha, but she’s got the game to make this interesting. Best of all her matches tend to get drawn out, thus a prospective three setter would help get within the spread!