Huge game between the Horizon League's #1 and #2 teams as 12-2 Northern Kentucky takes on 11-3 Wright St. I expected Northern Kentucky to be in this spot as I have rated them as the best Horizon League school since the season started. Wright St surprised me a bit but I think they've gotten a little lucky with favorable situations and I think they showed some chinks in the armor these last few games, losing to Cleveland St outright and covering in just 1 out of their last 4 games. The Raiders have a highly rated defense but the Norse are much more balanced and the Raiders' home court advantage appears to be average at best this year. Norse haven't lost on the road yet in conference play and that includes wins at Oakland and Milwaukee. I think Norse show their dominance here.
Illinois Chicago saw their 7 game winning streak come to a screeching halt last weekend as they lost outright to dreadful Cleveland St 86-78 on the Flames' home court. Still, the Flames are within 2 games of Northern Kentucky for the top spot in the Horizon League sandwiched around Wright St at 11-3. Green Bay is at 5-10 in conference play which is tied for 2nd to last with Cleveland St but the Phoenix have covered in 4 out of their last 5 and have shown to be a dangerous team at home. Illinois Chicago brings a top 115 defense to this game but they play a bit recklessly at times and the fast tempo could benefit the Phoenix, who capitalize on turnovers while limiting their own.
Milwaukee's been on a good run with wins in 5 out of their last 7 and are coming off a 74-73 upset win over Wright St last weekend. IUPUI has been slumping with just 1 win in their last 7 but the Jaguars showed some promise early on and even won the first meeting 72-71 at Indiana. Milwaukee's shown to be a strong home team but with nothing to play for either team except perhaps seeding and the Panthers' deliberate style of play, I don't see a double digit win too likely.
I've tried to find reasons to back Detroit this year but all in all, they've been a big disappointment. To be fair, they've been hit with player issues, ranging from injuries to academic suspensions to even a temporary exile for their coach but it's clear the Titans just aren't very good and rarely motivated. Granted, Youngstown St isn't much better but they've shown marked improvement this year and show consistent effort even in losses. The Penguins are coming off back to back wins over IUPUI and Oakland and I doubt they have any kind of letdown. If anything, I think they'll be even more motivated to avenge their earlier season loss at Detroit and possibly finish at .500 in conference play. Titans are at 3-11 against Horizon League opponents and it's possible they've already packed it in.
It's getting into crunch time in the MAAC with only a handful of games remaining and any of the top 4 teams have a legitimate shot to win the regular season title. Niagara sits in 3rd at 10-4, a half game up on their opponent today Iona at 10-5, both trailing leader Rider at 13-2. Niagara is coming off 3 consecutive wins over Monmouth, Quinnipiac and Fairfield and bring one of the more potent offenses in the MAAC. Iona, has been shaky with losses in 2 of their last 3 and still might feel the sting of the 72-50 blowout loss to Monmouth last week. BetOnline's early opener had a ridiculous 6.5 pt spread and Pinnacle and Bookmaker opened theirs a bit more sensibly at 5. Still, we feel there's value at the current number given the Gaels' shaky form and the Purple Eagles ability to play on the road.
OTHERS SITES/FANTASY FOOTBALL DREAMERS COPY OUR BETS / INFO, BUT THAT'S BECAUSE THEY COME UP SHORT ON THEIR OWN. COME ON GUYS, DO YOUR OWN THING IF YOU CAN! - These short odds about Nice are hard to justify. Afterall, they come into this having lost their last three league fixtures. Furthermore, they were to lower table teams and one of them was at home to poor traveller Toulouse. We should also add that Les Aiglons were unimpressive in qualifying for this phase when finishing second in Group E, and even last year when they had a stronger team they didn’t perform in this competition. Before the break things couldn’t have been going much better for Lokomotiv Moscow, because they won Group F and they topped the Russian league. And, while it’s fair to point out that the Russian visitors have been out of season and not performing well in friendlies, the chances are they were keeping the powder dry for this competition. Double chance is the bet.
THIS IS ONE OF FIVE PREMIUM BETS, AND THE SHORTEST ODDS. IF YOU WANT THE OTHERS GET TWO MONTHS FOR THE PRICE OF ONE BETTING.ANALYST@GMAIL:COM - PREVIEW ---- LEICESTER 2.15 CLONDAW WESTIE 4/1 several I would be willing to put a line through CLONDAW WESTIE’S last run, because the ground at Plumpton was atrocious. It speaks positive to see Aidan Coleman being legged up again, and fropping a couple of pounds in the weight could also be a big help. And, best of all, the winning point to pointer is making the transition to fences, and he should do a fair bit better at this game. Leicester 3.55 MISS TONGABEZI 7/2 all MISS TONGABEZI sprung a 40/1 surprise at Towcester, and she didn’t run too badly yin a non handicap last time out. Returning to a track that should suit is a positive, and the trip ticks the right box. We don’t see why she should be the outsider of the party. Afterall, TIMON’S TARA finds winning hard, so despite her receiving weight from the others we would be sceptical about her chance. TWO SMOKIN BARRELS has solid form, albeit she’s got an high mark and might prefer going left handed. TARA MIST to finish last! FONTWELL 2.35 JAISALMER 2/1 most DISTINGO was only rated 32.5 on the flat in France and 57 over hurdles. While the son of Smart Strike did win a couple over there, one was a claimer and the other a modest h’cap. For us, he appeared a bit exposed before debuting for Gary More at Plumpton and winning easily. To be honest, something doesn’t sit right with his mark of 129 and odds of 4/9 are bordering on insult. Despite officially being rated 3 pounds lower we really like the look of second favourite JAISALMER, and we actually believe he’s got more to give! FONTWELL 3.45 TACTICAL MANOEUVRE 9/2 many Both the selection and MINELLATILLMORNING escape a penalty for recent wins. The h’capper will raise Neil Mullholland’s six year old nine pounds for that win in the future, while TACTICAL MANOEUVRE is set to go up by just five. That tells us the favourite has 4 pounds in hand on official figures. However, if we go a bit deeper we see Alexandra Dunn’s mare will have the same jockey Tom Cheeseman, and he can claim 5 pounds today. When winning last time out he wasn’t allowed any weight concession, whereas MINELLATILLMORNING had an 8 pound claim when winning and he gets nothing here. Of course the latter might improve more, but their is no reason he should be 10/11 and the selection 9/2. KELSO 2.25 DAME ROSE 5/1 5/1 about DAME ROSE appears massive. At the weights she’s officially 4 pounds well-in with BETTER GETALONG, and Ryan Day won’t be able to claim his usual 3 pounds on Nicky Richards runner. CYRUS DARIUS will find it hard to give the others weight, while CHTI BALKO will need to improve on his most recent effort. The same probably applies to the selection, but she’s from an in form stable and knows how to win. We also believe she will be best suited by this track and is well equipped to handle a tactical race.
MUNDO CANE comes from a stable that finds winning hard. In fact, Charles Pogson is 230 days without a winner, and jockey son Adam wouldn’t be better than the claiming apprentices in this race. RED TORTUE and BALLY LAGAN will need to improve, while SKIPPING ON appears held by our selection GLANCE BACK. When we consider the opposition, odds of around 7/4 are fine!
WE HAVE 7 PREMIUM WTA BETS TODAY - THIS IS ONE WE ARE GIVING FOR FREE. IT FOU ARE SERIOUS ABOUT BETTING JOIN OUR SUBSCRITION SERVICE, FOR MORE DETAILS BETTING.ANALYST@GMAIL.COM ———— PREVIEW: Johanna Konta will find this a much bigger challenge against former number one Angelique Kerber than in the last round with Bernarda Pera. And, while the Brit is clearly a solid player, she’s probably still a little bit short on maximum fitness. If anyone is going to expose a weakness it’s got to be the back to form German, because she’s looking on the top of her game going into this match. In fact, Kerber has only lost once during the current campaign, and she’s already claimed the scalps of many so called top players!
Charleston leads the CAA at 11-3 and enter this matchup on an 8 game winning streak. James Madison is on the other end of the table at 4-9 but have played reasonably well at 6-1-4 ATS in their last 11. The Dukes seem to especially do well when installed as an underdog as they are 6-1-1 ATS in those situations. Charleston is coming off a blowout win over Drexel but they do have a tendency to start slow and have been fortunate to get covers against Hofstra and Delaware, 2 games they trailed for much of the time. An upset isn't out of the question but we'll go with the head start!
Northeastern sits at 10-4 in conference play and in 2nd place just 1 game behind Charleston in the CAA. Drexel won't win the conference title at 5-9 but the Dragons' play has been encouraging down the stretch as they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games. The Huskies have not covered their last 4 games when installed as a favorite and have in fact lost 2 of them outright with one of them being to Drexel in the first meeting between these teams. With a much more important game against William & Mary coming up for the Huskies, we can't see their full attention tonight and covering 13 points under these circumstances isn't likely!
Idaho St enters this game on a nice run having covered in 5 of their last 7 games with 3 wins in that span. The Bengals sit at a respectable 6-6 in the Big Sky and face off against a Sacramento St team with just 3 wins in conference play with 2 of them being against Portland St, a team that for some reason, the Hornets always do well against. In any case, the Hornets are a bottom 75 team and the Bengals have topped 80 points in their last 3 contests, shooting over 52% during that span. We'll take the better team in better form catching a healthy 3 points.