These are crazy odds. We get it that Aryna Sabalenka is improving, and the 20 year old just peaked at a career high 32. We understand that Cibulkova hasn't been at the same level has before she got married. However, at her best the Slovakian was ranked number 4, and that was only 18 months ago. Furthermore, the winner of $12.3M in prize money is known to improve during a tournament, and she's just beaten Halep and Kasatkina. With all due respect to her opponent, Cibulkova ticks the been there and done it box. It's an odds call, but it's a nice one!
Guess you all appreciated our winning pair from yesterday. Not only did they win with the h'cap start, they won without it. As followers of our WTA bets should know, one of our winners was Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. Today we want to bet the Russian again, because she's in her best form for some time. Furthermore, she leads Ashleigh Barty (3-1), and if she can stop the power of Kvitova she should be able to block out the Aussie. To be fair the younger girl is playing well, and beating Kerber will give added confidence. Nevertheless, it's Pav's for us!
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FREE PICK (Not premium) - To be honest we were gutted when Atalanta scored an injury time goal against AC Milan to force a draw. With that said, we have to accept that the Goddess deserved a share of the points, and it was an improved effort from Gasperini's men. Traditionally speaking the hosts are particularly good at home, and todays opponent is just an average Torino. Despite having the upper hand with possession, Torino couldn't hold out against Napoli (1-3). To be fair Il Toro have had a rough set of fixtures, so maybe five points from the same amount of games isn't bad. However, Walter Mazzarri's team lack that something, so it's hard to imagine them pointing here!
This is a FREE betting tip, NOT premium bet. GREAT NEWS - We have decided to extend FOOTBALL subscription to the end of the season - You can get FOOTBALL PREMIUM to 31 may for the price of just €990 email@example.com.............. Lets not get too judgemental about Caen, because they have had a tough fixture list. furthermore, they only lost to PSG and the under-rated St Etienne. Draws against Lyon, Nantes and Nice were decent, while the win in Dijon (0-2) was well deserved. Three wins have helped Montpellier scale the table into fourth. However, those games were won by just a single goal, and it's not has though the opposition was hot. Home advantage and favourable odds mean you can have a bit on CAEN with the draw no bet option, albeit they are far from our best bet!
Olympic gold medalist Monica Puig should be up for this. While the Puerto Rican trails her opponent 2-3 on head to heads, she’s really beginning to get it together again. It’s probably fair to say that Puig has taken a couple of years to get over her massive achievement of landing her countries first gold medal. However, she’s heading back up the ranking charts, and she looked ultra smart in the last round in beating Sasnovich. Former number one and still ranked number two Caroline Wozniacki isn’t in the best of form. It goes without saying that the 28 year old could bounce back at any time, and she did beat Rebecca Peterson with ease in the first round. However, recent defeats against Bertens, Giorgi and Tsurenko suggest she’s vulnerable. Puig is tough, so whatever happens she should go close.
Starting pitchers are Felix Hernandez for the hosts and Edwin Jackson for the visitors. Felix Hernandez is clearly past his prime but his 4.62 xFIP at least shows that he hasn't been as bad as his 5.46 ERA would indicate. Hernandez is much more adept at home where he carries a 4.36 xFIP and his home run rate is a somewhat reasonable 1.25 HR/9, at least compared to 1.74 HR/9 away. On the other side, Edwin Jackson has pitched to a 3.18 ERA but his xFIP at 4.68 is actually slightly worse than Hernandez. Jackson has been helped by a world class defense behind him but a .235 BABIP is not sustainable regardless! Jackson shows many of the same struggles as Hernandez with a low strikeout rate and elevated walk and home run rates. Furthermore, Jackson's xFIP against lefties sits at 5.24 and that number on the road balloons to 5.62 which doesn't bode well against a Mariners team with plenty of quality from the left side. The A's do have the edge in defense but bullpens we would rate about even. Motivation should be there for the hosts to play spoiler as the A's are still trying for the 1st wild card spot!
Starting pitchers are Jose Quintana for the hosts and Ivan Nova for the visitors. It's been a disappointing season for Jose Quintana as he's seen declining numbers across the board and while he's cleaned it up a bit over the last month or so, he has had issues with the long ball, especially pitching at home. The winds at Wrigley Field can make this a bit unpredictable but we like the way the Pirates have hit lately and they won for the 8th time in their last 10 last night. On the other side, Ivan Nova has been inconsistent but two areas he's always excelled at is in limiting walks and inducing groundballs at a high rate. Nova has been marvelous against the Cubs this year in 3 starts with 2 wins and a 17/2 K/BB ratio. We believe Nova is better equipped to deal with any adverse conditions and with the superior bullpen behind him as well, we see plenty of value on the visitors to play spoiler and sweep the series!
Starting pitchers are John Gant for the hosts and Jhoulys Chacin for the visitors. John Gant has a respectable 3.53 ERA on the season but as we've said in the past, he's vastly outperformed his metrics and his 4.62 xFIP is actually among the league's worst. Gant has shown poor control, walking 4.43 batters per 9 innings and he actually got the quick hook last time out, throwing just 2.2 innings with 1 run and 3 walks allowed. Over his last 7 starts, Gant has a K/BB ratio of 28/23 and we believe this is a much better indicator of his abilities than his 3.09 ERA over that span. Gant also faces a Brewers team that can stack the lineup with left handed batters and Gant's xFIP against lefties doesn't breed much confidence at 4.98! On the other side, Jhoulys Chacin is another pitcher that's outperformed his metrics with a 3.61 ERA compared to a 4.43 xFIP. However, Chacin is at least a proven starter in this league and we believe he has the more favourable matchup against a predominantly right handed hitting Cardinals team. Furthermore, Chacin has really cleaned it up the last 7 starts as he's allowed just 3 home runs over 37 innings with a 31/12 K/BB ratio over that span and is inducing groundballs at a higher clip than early in the season! Bullpens are still in favour of the visitors as well so with all things considered, this is an easy bet on them at evens!
Petra Kvitova leads head to heads 7-3, and she’s clearly top calibre. However, four of those wins needed three sets, and three of the others were also close. We could also mention Kvitova was at the top of her game when the last one played, and she’s not really at the same level anymore. Oh, and yes we can read that the Czech girl is ranked number 5 and 47-13 on the year, but recent defeats to Sabalenka, Carla Suarez Navarro, Aliaksandra Sasnovich tell a different story! Pav’s looked really good this week. In fact, she trounced both Bertens and Sevastova, and she’s due a good tournament. We believe the Russian could cause a bit of a shock here, so with added insurance we are happy to take that route!
We sent six bets out to premium subscribers, and here is one for free. If you want all our football bets, the price is €250 per month for private people - And, from €1000 per month for bookmakers/betting syndicates/ Resellers. firstname.lastname@example.org ——— Back in february Monaco travelled to Angers and came back with a 0-4 win, and the reverse match in this stadium ended 1-0 to the hosts. Monaco have won the last four meetings with Angers, albeit three were by a single goal. We won’t revisit criticising the owners of Monaco for their policy of selling their best players. However, this team isn’t at the same level that it’s been for the past few seasons, and they are again worth taking on! At the weekend we bet Nimes to stop Monaco (1-1), and that’s exactly what they did. Leonardo Jardim’s men won just one from six league matches, while at the same time they lost three. Furthermore, the hosts haven’t won at the Stade Louis II this season, and it’s noticeable that the crowds are staying away. In fact, only 6,837 showed up against Nimes, so their you have it! Angers should have beaten Toulouse (0-0) at the weekend, but lack of composure in front of goal meant 0/16 attempts found the net. Prior to that, Stephane Moulin’s players had won back to back against Lille (1-0) and in Dijon (1-3). and, while they lost two other away games, they did at least make PSG (3-1) and Rennes (1-0) fight for the points. Both teams have a long list of missing players, but that’s been the case for a while now. With that in mind, we should judge on what we have been watching! The visitors are an hard working team, and last season they stopped the likes of Marseille and Lyon in both home and away games. Suffice to say, if they can do that to them they can certainly get something here!
If you are genuinely interested in joining our PAID (€150PM) service - you can test the others (today) for free email@example.com . Here is one we sent subscribers earlier. Offer - We can’t argue with FULL BORE being the favourite, because he did look good in bumpers and his first hurdle. However, he needed riding out at Bangor , and he’s often needed a bit of stoking along. The other thing is he’s penalised now, and that means he’s giving 6 pounds to NYLON SPEED. Alan King’s runner won his British debut on the flat, and he’s rated 70 in that sphere. If he can convert that number to hurdles he should be hitting 115 plus, and the chance is he has more scope than that. Doubly penalised WEIGHTFORDAVE is giving 12 pounds, that’s a hard task.