FREE PREMIUM BET - MONALEE failed to get into a real rhythm at the last meeting here, so it was no surprise when he got the tenth wrong and fell. Prior to that he had looked razor sharp when jumping a decent field into the ground, and he’s clearly capable of much better than he showed last time out. Other positives include Noel Fehily taking over from Davy Russell, and the opposition might not be as good as anticipated. In our opinion both SUTTON PLACE and INVITATION ONLY have a lot to prove, and we are not really seeing much more below that!
It’s a compact table and with 14 matches remaining these teams have plenty to play for. Augsburg will be happy to return home following just one point from away matches in Köln (1-1) and Borussia Monchengladbach (2-0). However, coach Manuel Baum is without two of his best players in Rani Khedira and top scorer Alfred Finnbogason, and now they are playing one of the in form teams in the league. Eintrach totally outplayed Gladbach (2-0) in the last round, and they were also superlative in Wolfsburg (1-3). Hamburg (1-2), Hertha Berlin (1-2), Hannover (1-2), Köln (0-1) and Gladbach are other teams Niko Kovic’c side have beaten on the road, and the fact is they only lost one away match all season (6-3-1). The reason Frankfurt are better on the road is they like picking opponents pocket, and that usually happens when teams are willing to come at them. We believe that will be the case again today for the second best traveler in the division, so lets get on!
At 9-2, Rider is the class of the MAAC and has proven to travel well, covering the spread in 5 out of 6 road games and even notching a massive upset out of conference at Penn St as 15 pt underdogs. Quinnipiac has been in good form, winning 3 out of their last 4 and taking Iona to overtime on Friday but we are not convinced with the Bobcats and believe they will come back down to earth against a Rider team that shoots very well from long range, something the hosts defend extremely poorly, and outrebound their opponent by nearly 4 a game. Hosts are outclassed.
Niagara has made quite the turnaround this season and at 7-4 in conference play, have a legitimate shot to win the MAAC title. It's been a dismal year for Monmouth as they sit at 3-7 and furthermore, key player Micah Seaborn has been ruled out for an indefinite period of time. Seaborn had been in and out of the lineup so the Hawks had managed somewhat without him but his defensive prowess will be missed against a dynamic Purple eagles team that brings with them a top 100 offense in the country. Hawks have covered in 3 out of 5 home games but we feel only 1 of those were deserved and even with a high total expected, we can't justify giving over 3 points to the visitors!
Tulsa sits at 5-5 in the AAC and has played well despite a brutal part of their schedule that saw the Golden Hurricanes favored just once in their last 7 games. Still, Tulsa managed to cover 4 times and is coming off a 76-67 win over SMU on Thursday. After losing their first 7 AAC games, South Florida nearly pulled off the upset over UCF then did pull off an even bigger upset against Tulane as 13 pt underdogs. However, aside from the pair of games, very little has gone right for the Bulls as they sit in last place in the AAC at 1-9 and have lost by 20+, even 30+ points on numerous occasions. The Bulls rank as one of the worst teams in Division I and even their good showing against UCF was directly after the Knights lost a crucial player to injury. The Golden Hurricanes have held opponents to just 39% shooting in their last 5 games despite playing the likes of Temple, SMU and Wichita St twice. The visitors should dominate in all aspects of the game and we can't see anything but another blowout loss for the hosts.
The Tigers have had an incredible season thus far with an 8-1 record in SEC play and 20-2 overall that's propelled them to the #11 ranking in all of college basketball. The Commodores started slowly but have found some traction of late, covering in their last 4 games and winning 2 of them outright. Despite their 8-14 record, the Commodores have the talent to create some match up issues and their preference to keep the game in a half court set should suit them well in regards to the spread.
Saint Louis has started to make some noise in the Atlantic-10 as they've won 4 of their last 5 games and sit at 5-5 in conference play. It hasn't been quite so rosy for Fordham as they got just their 2nd conference win on Tuesday against Massachusetts to end their 6 game losing streak. The Rams really struggle rebounding the ball but it has been an area of improvement in recent weeks and as much as the Billikens have improved ths year, we were a bit surprised to see them favored by double digits. Visitors to keep it respectable!
Xavier is on a roll winning their last 5 games and sits in 2nd place at 8-2 behind Villanova in the highly competitive Big East. Georgetown has struggled to stay afloat at 3-7 in conference play but we like the progress that Patrick Ewing's team has made. One area that Georgetown excels in is rebounding the ball which is a testament to Ewing's positive influence. We like the Hoyas to play their physical style of ball and limit the Musketeers' advantages in other areas. At least, this should be enough to keep this within reason.
New Mexico has steadily improved throughout the course of the season and have done well in conference play at 6-4 and 8-2 ATS. San Jose St is still searching for their first win in the Mountain West and sit at a dismal 3-18 on the year. The Spartans have shown to be competitive at times but the Lobos have too much firepower in our opinion and this was evident in the reverse fixture that was won 80-47 by New Mexico. A few of the bench players are likely out for the Lobos but they do get key contributor Antino Jackson back from suspension and the Spartans' track record following their game against UNLV has generally been poor.
In last seasons Superliga Union Santa Fe beat todays opponent 2-0. However, that match took place in the reverse stadium, and it’s Rosario who are hosts today. Leonardo Fernandez’s side won their last two fixtures at home, but in the last round they were defeated in Gimnasia L.P. (2-1). That was actually their first defeat in six outings and their had been signs of improvement. However, since then the missing list has grown to include German Herrera, and another forward Marco Ruben will miss is second game on the bounce. Washington Camacho, Marcelo Ortiz and Nestor Otigoza are also confirmed absentees, and their are also question marks over Fernando Tobio and Mauricio Martinez. Union Santa Fe are third in the table and they only lost once in their last seven (4-2-1). In the last round they dominated Racing Club and won easier than the scoreline suggests, plus they won 2 from their last three on the road including a visit to Velez. Union have just two players sidelined and they only started 4 games between them this season! Although it’s hard to win on the road in Argentina, that’s what we imagine will happen here. Take draw no bet, odds are still interesting!
Arsenal have been struggling of late, albeit that’s mainly been on the road. Back at the Emirates stadium the hosts are an highly credible 9-2-1, the joint second best home team in the league. We believe the Gunners have made a good signing in Aubameyang although he won’t be able to play today. Nevertheless, we still expect the hosts to be too good for an average Toffee’s and they are likely to push on and with this by more than one!
Jose Mourinho was livid with his team for conceding a goal inside a minute against Tottenham, and he wouldn’t have been happy that they then put another in their own net. Suffice to say it was an off night for the then visitor, and now they are expected to take that annoyance out of a weakening Huddersfield. Four defeats in a row for the Terriers and getting worse by the game. Take United to win by more than 2 goals.