This is not a premium bet has Sachia Vickery must give a big handicap start in the betting. Nevertheless, under normal circumstances the American should win this easy, thus if she stays focused and goes out to finish the job it’s going to be a tap-in. Nevertheless, we prefer to take the more conservative -4.5 games, and that’s despite Vickery blowing both her opponents away in previous rounds. Hibi has done a good job to come through qualifying and then beat another two opponents, but this is her hardest challenge to date and fatigue could be another issue!
CARP KID has been in the best recent form, but on official figures he’s got a bit to find with BUNGEE JUMP. Kevin Ryan’s charge is officially 6 pounds well in on official figures, and he’s got the services of a decent five pound claimer. Dropping back in trip is another positive, and running in a small field shouldn’t be an hinderance.
Get all four Premium bets by subscribing to our paid service. We are proven profitable longer than most, and we give you an honest service with odds that are easy to obtain. Want the best bets daily, then join our reasonably priced high value service! You don’t send a horse chasing after just four runs if he can’t jump. Nicky Richards is an excellent trainer and knows what he’s doing. Yes BLAKERIGG didn’t jump particularly well on his chasing debut, but we are prepared to put that down to experience and the track. You see, Kelso is sharp and undulating and some of the fences come at you quickly. 76 days to get these issues ironed out and a switch to a more galloping fair track should do the trick. And, a four pound discount (100 to 96) for that first try is also a bonus!
It’s interesting to note that Eintracht Frankfurt have been more effective on the road than at home. In fact, Niko Kovac’s men are the second best travellers in the league, but only the 16th best host. We believe the reason for that is Frankfurt are better when opposing teams come at them, and that is more likely to happen when they play away. Becoming the aggressor clearly doesn’t suit a team like Frankfurt, so crowd demands can often count against them. Gladbach lost their last three road games to Köln, Freiburg and Wolfsburg, but in the last round they bounced back to beat Augsburg (2-0). Interestingly, Dieter Hecking’s side had the most possession and opportunities in the games against Köln and Wolfsburg, but they still came away empty handed. We should also add that they lost the reverse fixture to Frankfurt (0-1), and again it was a question of the then visitors picking them off at the right time. Team news is a little inconclusive, but we don’t see it being a game changer! PREDICTION Under normal circumstances we would worry about the stats of the host at home. However, Gladbach play every game on the front foot and that’s unlikely to change here. We believe Eintracht will do what they do best, play the role of the Hyena and get a result!
The Fighting Hawks have been in good form, winning 3 of their last 4 and are coming off a narrow 94-91 loss to Northern Colorado on Saturday. Eastern Washington has struggled a bit of late losing 2 of their last 3 but are still in decent shape at 4-3 in conference play. Both teams are coming off extended rest and the visitors have been shooting extremely well of late. Look for the Fighting Hawks to push the pace and the Eagles to get their shooting back on track against a team that's very poor defending the perimeter.
Ohio St has been in terrific form winning 8 in a row and 13 of their last 14. However, we believe they've overachieved a bit and a key player Keita Bates-Diop is currently questionable with an illness for tonight. Even were he to suit up, we believe he will likely be less than 100% and this Penn St team is one of their best teams in quite some time despite struggling in conference play. As the Lions are underdogs, we believe they won't be feel too much pressure and will make this a competitive game.
Delaware has struggled the last 2 games losing 63-90 and 64-76 but they get a bit more favorable match up against a Charleston team that prefers to play at a very slow pace much like the Blue Hens. The Cougars are 5-3 in conference play but haven't been particularly convincing of late, barely getting by a very poor UNC-Wilmington team and getting a completely undeserved win and cover against Hofstra. They should get Delaware's best here!
In the first round Nicole Gibbs came from a set down to beat Julia Boserup, and on a point of note she won the third set by a one-sided 6-0. We are actually finding it hard to put in words how that match played out has Boserup seemed to suffer a bout of stage fright. In concluding, we will simply say Gibbs is playing below her best and this is likely to be tougher. Anna Schmiedlova lost the first set to Francesca Schiavove, but she had no problems winning the second and third by an easy 6-2 6-1. If we had one critic about that match it would be directed at the serve of Schmiedlova (broken 5 times), something she will need to clean up here. Nevertheless, it was nice to see the 23 year old Slovakian hitting the ball well, and it should at least give confidence going forwards. We like these odds!
The difference between our paid picks and these free bets is value. Some of these are too short to make them a big bet, and that applies to this fella. With that said, NIGHT OF GLORY would have killed this lot on the flat, and his first effort over hurdles was in better company than this. Add to that, he’s lightly raced and comes from a stable who do well with limited runners in national hunt. FALCON SUN doesn’t come from the flat, and he certainly improved from race one to two. Nevertheless, the well bred selection should handle the ground and that could be enough!
It’s difficult to see beyond the two at the head of the market. Afterall, VENGEUR DE GUYE has a big weight and is more prone to finishing second, while TRUST THOMAS hasn’t run well enough in his last two races and his regular jockey chose to ride UNE VALOROSO. The latter beat WHITSUNDAYS at Bangor a couple of races back, but the McCain runner has a 3 pound pull for two lengths. That suggests it should be close, but we believe WHITSUNDAYS will run out a comfortable winner. We say that because his opponent has been poor on his last four visits here, while WHITSUNDAYS ran his best race at this track.
Don’t think you should be betting anything at 2/1 in these ‘’dash for the cash’’ races at Southwell. SOMETHING LUCKY might be 2 pounds good in the h’cap, but that means little in sprints. In a fine game of margins i’m expecting seven times course winner CROSS FIRE to get one on the board. Scott Dixon has his team in cracking form and being drawn in the middle gives Kieran O’Neill all the options.
In a battle of two dregs of the CAA, we have 6-14 UNC-Wilmington hosting 6-15 James Madison. At 3-5 and 2-6 respectively, the Seahawks and Dukes occupy the 8th and 9th position in the CAA with only Drexel below them. The Dukes have been doing better of late, picking up their 2 wins in their last 2 games against Elon and Drexel though the Seahawks just picked up an upset win over Towson as well, winning 73-71 in overtime. The Seahawks have also covered in 4 straight but I can't accept them as favorites here given how poorly they defend. There's one player of note to watch for the Dukes and it's again Joey McLean as he is questionable for tonight but James Madison has played well without him and have generally done well on the road, even suffering hard luck overtime losses to William & Mary and Hofstra. I think they have good chance to win outright.