Everton will be without several big names for Sunday's Merseyside derby with Yerry Mina and Fabian Delph joining Jean-Philippe Gbamin and Theo Walcott on the sidelines. Gbamin was close to a return from long-term injury before suffering an Achilles problem which will rule him out for a further four to five months, while Walcott is out for around four weeks after surgery on an abdominal problem. Mina and Delph have both suffered injuries since the return to training to rule them out of the first game back. Jurgen Klopp has not ruled out Mohamed Salah or Andrew Robertson despite neither playing in a behind-closed-doors friendly last week. Robertson has at least been pictured in training this week but Salah was not present in any of the images published by the club, although Klopp insists no one is yet unavailable for the game. Alisson Becker will return in goal having been out with a hip injury immediately prior to the suspension of the season. The best way to stop Liverpool is to park the bus. Italian coach Ancelotti is a man with a plan, and we trust he will at least stop the Reds for most of the game!
No doubt Midtjylland are going to win the title, but in this match they are up against a much improved Aarhus. While the visitors are just third in the table, they have already won in this stadium during the current season. In fact, that match ended 1-3, and to win they came from a goal down. In their last match the Wolves failed to beat Brondby (0-0). Prior to that Brian Priske´s team had won back to back, albeit that followed a defeat at home to Horsens (0-0). Influential midfielders Anderson and Ogochukwa are suspended for the hosts, while Evander and Isaksen are out with injuries! The Whites lost just one of their last 14 league matches. Confidence is at a club high, and team news hasn’t changed for this one. We believe Aarhus are worth a decent bet with the draw included at positive odds!
Alaves have a 7 point cushion over expensively assembled Celta Vigo, and they have another point over the relegation zone. Nevertheless, with 9 matches remaining the Babazorros need to continue pointing!. The visitors come into this on the back of a surprising 2-0 win over Real Sociedad, and to be fair they where good value for all three points. If there was a downside to that win in the Basque derby it was getting Tomas Pina sent off, up until that second yellow he was the best player on the field. Another suspension for this game is defender Ruben Duarte, then comes injured missing in Vidal and Rodrigo! Celta need to get their act together, and that applies especially to Aspas who missed a penalty in that last time out 0-0 with Valladolid. Celta dominated that game, but other than the penalty it wasn’t very inspiring. With that said, they defended well and getting to play this match at home against a depleted team should give the hosts a big chance!
These two teams have been a surprise package in this seasons Italian Serie A. As it stands, Verona occupy 7th place in the table, and they have 3 points more than the 12th placed visitor. Prior to the break the hosts lost 2-1 in Sampdoria, it was their first defeat in 9 matches. During that time Ivan Juric´s men had even beaten Juventus, while at home they won three straight! Cagliari had a fantastic start to the season, then followed 10 games without a win. In fact, the Islanders lost 6 of those matches, and that includes the last three. Suffice to say, having a time out might be a good thing, albeit to be fair the last two defeats where against Roma (3-4) and Napoli (0-1). Earlier on in the season these sides played out a 1-1 draw, a fair result from what we witnessed. We can imagine this match being another draw, so with that included we want to take Cagliari +0.5!
West Ham have an almost fully fit squad for the visit of Wolves. There were some doubts surrounding defender Angelo Ogbonna but he has resumed training and could be available. Long-term absentees Jack Wilshere, Ryan Fredericks and Andriy Yarmolenko are also in contention. Wolves have no fitness concerns, with Jonny available after an ankle injury. The wing-back was injured before the season was halted in March but will make the trip to London. Forward Adama Traore has also used the break to strengthen his shoulder having dislocated it several times this season and is fit. The Hammers seem to feel pressured playing before their own crowd, without that expectancy they should find this a bit easier. One thing is certain, Moyes has inherited a rich squad, and they are capable of better. While Wolves have been doing great, this will be a real test for the visiting team! Draw included!
Have one on us --------Aarhus have been particularly effective at controlling matches and finding late winners. In the last round they could only draw in Brondby, but again they never looked like loosing that match. The whites will no doubt return to the grind in their normal fashion this evening, it’s just now they are facing an in form opponent! At the weekend, Nordsjaelland where all over FC Copenhagen. And, while the result was just a 1-1 draw, Pedersen Flemming´s side showed a real hunger to come from a goal down. Kudus picked up a yellow card in that latest game, that means he’s suspended for having one too many this evening. On a big positive note, Jensen returns from his recent suspension. With his long runs forward, the left wing back will certainly make life harder for the hosts! While Aarhus won both season fixtures, visually the visitors are looking much sharper now. Playing this one away isn’t a bad thing, and neither is team news and the half goal headstart! Draw included!
FREE PREMIUM PICK ------ Good to see Joseph O’Brien giving the youngsters a chance, he’s taking 7 pounds off both his runners by using an apprentice. With regards to San Andreas, he’s got a big weight and dropping back in trip wouldn’t be a natural. I would actually prefer his NO NEEDS NEVER to finish in front of his stable mate. Last week that horse finished 8th, with WOODY CREEK just behind in 9th. However, the latter needed the run (like last year), and I’m expecting the filly to come out on top today. This strong traveller ticks all the right boxes, so why not!
Have this one on us ------------ Andalusian derby! Granada can thank the Getafe goalkeeper for allowing them to come from a goal behind to win that most recent match. Both goals where a comedy of errors from Soria, albeit he did get a bit of help from centre back Dakonam for the first goal. To be fair Granada did try hard, and it was persistence which paid off at the end. However, we try and see matches for what they are, and the fact is they where literally given the points. In our opinion, Granada have been over performing for a long time. And, while they have been getting points, the visitors are very beatable! With Betis you are often get a sense of ``what could have been´´, albeit that wasn’t the case against Sevilla. With regards to that match, Los Veriblancos had a lot of ball possession but didn’t really create any outstanding chances. Nevertheless, the hosts have loads of quality, and on a good day they can cope with anyone in this league! Suffice to say, the visitors are in a confident mood. However, if Betis are on song this will be a comfortable win. As the saying goes, urgency inspires efficiency and the Sevilla team need goals and more important three points!
Probable line-ups Mainz: Müller - Baku, St. Juste, Niakhate, Brosinski - Kunde, Latza (c) - Awoniyi, Boetius, Quaison - Onisiwo Out: Zentner (knee) Doubtful: Ji (back) Augsburg: Luthe - Framberger, Jedvaj, Uduokhai, Max - Khedira, Baier (c) - Sarenren Bazee, Richter, Vargas - Niederlechner Out: Moravek (muscular) Doubtful: Cordova (muscular), Giefer (foot), Hahn (tendon), Iago (muscular) In the last round, fair play to Mainz for digging deep to beat local rival Frankfurt. Everything about that effort speaks for a team coming together, since on that day the Nullfunfers stopped Eintracht getting a single shot on target. Suffice to say, a win here would give the hosts a massive chance of league survival. For us, it’s hard to imagine this high work ethic team allowing Augsburg to get one over on them, and we will be backing them accordingly. As it stands, the visitors have a point more than Mainz. Four games back they did manage to win 0-3 in Schalke, but other than that it’s been 1-2-2 for the visitors, We don’t have to point at the fact that Augsburg are not the best of travellers, and the injury list for this game is getting worse by the minute! Trust the Meenzer to benefit from improving numbers, albeit wise to cover with draw no bet!
ON US - If you inspect the form lines of that debut (7/20) run from ALCHMISTA, you will see it’s scattered with indifferences! By that I mean a 68 rated runner finished 3rd, whereas the one who finished just in front is now 87! Better not take that race at face value, and concentrate on the fact that the selection made a pleasing debut. Getting her out late in the season was for racecourse experience, so she should be significantly wiser today. This looks a good starting point, and receiving the fillies allowance from a favourite rated just 70 isn’t a tough target!
PREMIUM PICK - This is one of our 9 tips sent out to subscribers! ------------TOMMY DE VITO had his Newcastle form franked, it will be interesting to see if he can do as well on turf. The favourite is the one to beat, but at odds of 7/4 he’s ready to be taken on with STAR IN THE MAKING. The Clive Cox filly was over the top when she last raced, but based on earlier form she’s got the potential to go on to better things. Interesting that Adam Kirby wanted to come here for this ride, it’s a tip in itself!
Can’t argue with the 4/4 for SISKIN, and he comes from a stable in a bit of form. Fitness shouldn’t be an issue, but I still want to take him on with LOPE Y FERNANDEZ. According to the betting this fella is the Aidan O´Brien´s 2nd choice, but Heffernan being in the saddle suggests different. Either way, we are expecting to see more from this rangy colt, and he seems to be particularly suited by this track.