Ivana Jorovic won 7 from 8 of her exhibition matches, albeit the players she beat amounted to very little. However, the 23 year old did at least make the semi final of the Prague challenger, and in the first round of last years French open she took Jennifer Brady to 3 sets! Lara Arruabarrena used to be ranked 52, now she’s 100 places lower (152). Traditionally speaking the 28 year old Spaniard is at her best on clay, but her past performances in Paris have never been good! Go with Jorovic!
These two teams got promoted at the end of the 2018/19 season. Sheffield United then finished 2nd to Norwich, with Villa making it through the back door in the play-offs. At the end of that season, the difference in points was 13, and in the last season's premiership, that number had increased to 19. The Blades had a great first season (9th) in the top league, and at one stage they appeared to be heading towards a European league place. At the bottom end of the table, 8 points from the last 4 games saved the Villains from relegation. In the opening round, United was beaten at home by Wolves (0-2). The two goals came in the 3rd and 6th minute, with new goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale not looking particularly good for either. With regards to the rest of the match, the Blades were poor in the 1st half but showed a higher level in the 2nd. Since then Chris Wilder’s team was knocked out of the EFL Cup by Burnley, albeit on penalties and with 10 of the team changed! Villa hasn’t played a league game to date, but they did beat Burton in the EFL. It will be interesting to see how much of that team is used tonight because Dean Smith has been given some good acquisitions. I fact, to date Villa has a negative tasing balance of around €85M! New goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez could make his Aston Villa debut against Sheffield United on Monday after his £20m move from Arsenal. Martinez is set to deputize for the injured Tom Heaton, who is not expected to be available for at least a month. Matty Cash and Ollie Watkins could make their Premier League debuts after big-money summer moves to Villa Park. Striker Wesley remains out with his own long-term knee injury. We like the new look of Villa, and the draw no bet is logical!
Two nice winners from our three bets yesterday (1 non runner), and at least the FREE PICK won! The other was SHESADABBER (11/2), so here’s hoping we can follow up with todays 4. The jump season is always the best time for us, and today all 4 bets are NHF. Here is one for free users, good luck if participating ————OZZIES WAY (2/29), THE ABBEY (1/20), and SOMETHING SWEET (2/32) all find it hard to win! MEMORY TREE might improve a little, but the one which stands-out is Paul Townend’s mount APRIL’S JOY. The 5 year old wasn’t to blame for last times bought down, and she can certainly jump a fence. This looks winnable, and these odds are fair enough!
Romeo Langford and Vincent Poirier remain out for the Celtics. Gabe Vincent and Chris Silva are out for the Heat. The Celtics finally made some adjustments in Game 3 and with the return of Gordon Hayward, prevented the Heat from getting a 3-0 series lead. We like the new lineups and assignments that coach Brad Stevens is utilizing and the Heat for all their intensity and effort just don't have the talent to keep up in our opinion. As we said before, the balance tilts in the Celtics' favour as the series wears on as the Heat are overly reliant on the outside shot which gets harder and harder to maintain as fatigue sets in. We expect the Celtics to take this one and even the series up but we believe the total is the stronger bet here as we expect the Heat to start running out of ideas on the offensive end and keep this a low scoring game.
Dion Waiters is doubtful for the Lakers. LeBron James and Rajon Rondo are listed as probable. Will Barton remains out for the Nuggets. We were a bit surprised this number moved up just 3 points after both teams combined for 240 points in Game 1. We do expect a match that's a bit more tightly contested but the Nuggets simply look fatigued after 2 series comebacks down 3-1 and their defense has suffered the most. Once the Lakers mount a large lead, it becomes mostly a free for all with teams trading baskets and we expect something similar to Game 1.
For the Patriots, LB Josh Uche has been ruled out for this game. DL Adam Butler, LB Brandon Copeland, WR Julian Edelman, WR N'Keal Harry, TE Dalton Keene and WR Matthew Slater are all listed as questionable. For the Seahawks, OT Cedric Ogbuehi and DE Rasheem Green are listed as doubtful. WR Phillip Dorsett is questionable. It's incredibly rare to see the Patriots as an underdog at any time and we have to go back almost 2 years to do so when then QB Tom Brady was serving a suspension. Nevertheless, times have changed and with Brady now a Buccaneer, former Panthers' QB Cam Newton is the man under center. We were impressed with Newton last week and his surgically repaired shoulder appeared to be fine in addition to his ability to run and take contact. Seattle has opened things up on offense by going to a more pass heavy scheme but the Patriots' secondary is still one of the best defensive units in the league and with no fans allowed to be in attendance, the Seahawks' strong home advantage is heavily muted. 4 is too much!
For the Texans, LB Peter Kalambayi, WR Brandin Cooks, OT Tytus Howard and RB Duke Johnson are all questionable. For the Ravens, DT Justin Madubuike and WR Chris Moore have been ruled out for this game. CB Jimmy Smith, OT Ronnie Stanley and RB Justice Hill are all listed as questionable. We expect a pared down gameplan from the Ravens as they face a team that's been utterly dreadful on both sides of the ball. Losing WR DeAndre Hopkins has taken away the Texans' most consistent wide receiver and we just don't see much offensive success against the Ravens' secondary. Baltimore's rush defense has vastly improved this year as well. The Chiefs more or less kept it simple last week against Houston with short passes and clock killing runs. The Ravens have the Chiefs on deck so they should be incentivized to do the same!
For the Buccaneers, TE Antony Auclair and WR Chris Godwin have both been ruled out for this game. For the Panthers, OG Dennis Daley, DT Kawann Short and DE Yetur Gross-Matos have all been ruled out for this game. Matt Rhule was a great hire for the Panthers but they are still very much a work in progress. Losing Short for this game takes away their best defender and really opens things up for the Bucs to get things going on the ground. The Bucs looked to be dominated last week against the Saints but the game was very much in the balance in the 2nd half and it was the Bucs' defense that was responsible. Bridgewater is a much different quarterback than Drew Brees but his accuracy is still very much a concern. Despite missing Godwin, the Bucs are still an explosive offensive team and we expect Brady to get his first win in a Bucs uniform with plenty to spare.
For the Lions, WR Kenny Golladay, CB Desmond Trufant, OG Joe Dahl and TE Hunter Bryant have all been ruled out for this game. CB Justin Coleman also remains out. OT Halapoulivaati Vaitai, S CJ Moore, CB Darryl Roberts and DT Nick Williams are all listed as questionable. For the Packers, DL Kenny Clark, LB Randy Ramsey, OG Lane Taylor and WR Equanimeous St. Brown have all been ruled out for this game. TE Josiah Deguara, DL Montravius Adams, S Raven Greene, OL Billy Turner and OG Lucas Patrick are all listed as questionable. Both sides are a bit nicked up at the moment but one thing has been constant over the last few years and it's that the Lions typically play their best game against the Packers, amassing a 7-3 record ATS over the last 5 years including 4-1 ATS at Lambeau Field. Kenny Clark's absence is rather significant here as it allows the Lions to get their ground game going without the massive nose tackle on the other side. A healthy Matt Stafford can be one of the best quarterbacks in the league and we're not overly concerned that he will be without his #1 wideout Golladay against a below average Packers' secondary. We loved the Packers last week but they could be on upset alert here!
For the Colts, TE Jack Doyle has been ruled out for this game. DE Justin Houston, WR Michael Pittman Jr., S Julian Blackmon, WR Zach Pascal and CB Isaiah Rodgers are all questionable. For the Vikings, CB Cameron Dantzler has been ruled out. OG Pat Elflein was placed on IR and will also miss this game. The Vikings are a team built to play indoors on turf so playing at Lucas Oil Field will be just like home given the extremely limited number of fans that will be allowed in attendance. While Colts' QB Philip Rivers can be wild and erratic at times, he has clearly been an upgrade at the quarterback position and his ability to move the ball through the air shouldn't see much resistance from a Vikings' defense that's much worse from a season ago. We have this one in the mid 50's!
WTA Strasbourg OFFER - For just €25 you can get all our WTA picks for this weeks Strasbourg - firstname.lastname@example.org ———— We don’t see anything worth betting in todays 4 Strasbourg matches, that tournament starts tomorrow for us! - We are a bit surprised with the inconsistencies in Rome, because it’s a tournament worth $2M. There is an argument to say Karolina Pliskova hasn’t wavered much this week, and she continues to beat up lower ranked players. Elise Mertens folded badly in the 3rd set to give Pliskova yesterdays 3 set win. However, 6 double faults and just one ace from the Czech are moderate reading. We thought the quality on court lacked a lot of conviction from both girls, so the number 4 must do better! In rounds 1+3, Marketa Vondrousova struggles past Misaki Doi and Polona Hercog. In rounds 2+4, she thrashes Arantxa Rus and Elina Svitolina. That latest win over the Ukrainian looks easy on paper (6/3 6/0), but what about break points. Both girls had 9 chances, Svitolina failed to convert whereas Vondrousova took 4. That was the main difference on the day, the other was the amazing drop shots! Vondrousova secured her first top ten victory in over a year yesterday, if that drop shot is working again it will be a great asset against a static Pliskova. We see possibilities for the younger generation in this one!
Wolfsburg clinched their return to European football last season with a seventh-place finish to earn them a UEFA Europa League qualification spot, spearheaded by the 20-goal campaign of Weghorst. Wolfsburg overcame Regionaliga side Union Fürstenwalde 4-1 in the DFB Cup first round last week, with Joao Victor scoring twice. Weghorst will lead the line for Oliver Glasner's side, who are without right-backs Kevin Mbabu and William due to injury. Felix Klaus, normally a winger, should drop into defense for Leverkusen's visit. The Wolves have bolstered their defense elsewhere, however, and 20-year-old Maxence Lacroix should start alongside John Brooks in the center of defense. Xaver Schlager could accompany vice-captain Maximilian Arnold in midfield, despite Yannick Gerhardt starting the DFB Cup victory. Leverkusen also clinched a European place last term, but not the competition they were hoping for as they finished just two points behind Borussia Mönchengladbach and the final UEFA Champions League place. It's also been a busy summer in the transfer market for Peter Bosz's side, who have seen both Kai Havertz and Kevin Volland depart the club - for Chelsea and Monaco respectively. Schick has signed from Roma having spent last season on loan at RB Leipzig. The Czech could be supported in attack by Moussa Diaby and Florian Wirtz, who is tipped to be the immediate heir to Havertz at the BayArena. The 17-year-old became Die Werkself's youngest ever player and the Bundesliga's youngest scorer during 2019/20. Leon Bailey and Paulinho will miss out, so Bosz is likely to consider Exequiel Palacios and Karim Bellarabi. Levekuesen lost two of their top players during the summer, it will be interesting to see how they start this match. Nevertheless, at these odds, its got to be worth taking the hosts!