Starting pitchers are Chad Kuhl for the hosts and Matt Harvey for the visitors. Matt Harvey enters this game with a bloated 5.97 ERA but it bears mentioning that he has been his worst at home and on the road, his xFIP is a respectable 4.14 and is even below 4.00 if the start at Coors Field is discounted. Harvey also has major issues against left handed batters with an xFIP of 5.47 compared to 3.62 against righties and the Pirates should have some dangerous LHB in the lineup but Harvey should benefit from the pitcher-friendly venue and has done well to reduce the amount of balls in the air on the road where he has been burned by a high HR/FB ratio. On the other side, Chad Kuhl is similar to Harvey in that he has struggled against left handed batters but he hasn't pitched as well at home and his GB/FB ratio is at a disappointing 0.68. The Pirates have the better bullpen on paper but we have very little faith in their relievers at the moment while the Reds' bullpen has been in terrific form and have the better closer of the two in our opinion. In any case, we believe the visitors are a must bet at these odds!
YOU CAN GET ALL WORLD CUP BETS FOR JUST €77 ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM - THIS IS A TASTER TO KICK OFF THE TOURNAMENT - Host nation Russia kick off their World Cup campaign against Saudi Arabia today. However, despite having what amounts to a relatively easy group, our expectancy for the home nation isn’t high. Russia might well be an heavily populated country, but despite the numbers they have failed to deliver on the international football stage. That is just one of the reasons we imagine them being in for a tough ride this evening when they face the Saudi. With regards to the Green Falcons, Valencia and Chile coach Juan Antonio Pizzi had his players well organised for a recent friendly with Germany. While they ended up losing that match (2-1), a late penalty miss cost them a well deserved draw. We thought the Saudi players linked well in that match, and with all due respect Russia are not at the same level has Germany. Other proof of Saudi being close are a 2-1 defeat in Italy, plus friendly wins over Greece and Algeria. Stanislav Cherchesov has been entrusted with managing Russia, but the question is for how long. The host of these Championships didn’t have to qualify for this tournament, so they have had to rely on playing friendlies. Despite playing better teams, just one win in ten matches is hardly inspiring. And, their latest 1-1 with turkey suggests they will need to find a lot of improvement. Take the visitors +1 goal (Asian h’cap)
Four winners from our 5 bets yesterday at 7/1, 4/1, 11/4 + 5/2 - 4 bets today, and this is the shortest price of them all. However, should win easy and we are confident! Please note we won’t be adding racing for free during the WC, but subscribers will be getting more than ever. You have the option to sign up firstname.lastname@example.org —————GIVING GLANCES deserves a change of luck and she could well get it here. She and the winner pulled clear of the pack when she finished second to Maid Up at Doncaster, thus a five pound rise is fair enough. Trainer is in good form and all the boxes are ticked from optimum conditions. Furthermore, many of the others appear exposed, and it’s not has though she’s conceding weight to the other principals.
We don’t want to give much away for free, but this is on the house and we believe Flipper is a cracking bet. Five bets sent out, you can join our service for a fraction of the price upto the kick off of the WC at 17.00. This is the deal and it won’t be repeated - If you would like to join our WTA service, then we are offering a GREAT DEAL (today only). For just €77 you get all WTA bets until the end of July (including Wimbledon) + WORLD CUP FOOTBALL for free. This package would normally cost over €300!! Kiki Bertens has home advantage, and that must have helped her get past Natalia Vikhlyantseva in the first round. However, that match did show the Dutch girl to be struggling on grass, and she did lose the first set after being a break up. In fact, she only closed out with a 7-5 in a third set tie breaker, so it was nothing special. Now Bertens gets to play her doubles partner Kirsten Flipkens. The 32 year old strolled through her match and her trickery on this surface is a good tool! We should also mention that Flipkens leads head to heads 3-1, and we believe she’s a good thing!
Starting pitchers are Michael Fulmer for the hosts and Lance Lynn for the visitors. If Lance Lynn could just keep the walks down, he would be having a much better year as despite his 5.08 ERA, he has done well to keep home runs down and strikeouts up. Lynn's .337 BABIP is also 38 points higher than his career average which indicates he's had some bad luck with batted balls and despite the 5.81 BB/9, he still has a somewhat respectable 4.41 xFIP. Fortunately for Lynn, he does face a Tigers team that doesn't hit right handers well and in particular, has the lowest walk rate against RHP at 6.9%. On the other side, Michael Fulmer hasn't been quite as effective as the last 2 seasons but his xFIP sits at a very respectable 4.09, largely due to his elevated HR/FB ratio and low strand rate of 69.4%. Fulmer appeared to get it together last start against a dangerous Indians lineup and we feel he will do the same against division rival Twins who he has always pitched well against. Blustery conditions are in the forecast but both pitchers do well to keep the ball on the ground so we feel this actually creates some more value in the total as it's trending higher than we expected. For the visitors, Miguel Cabrera was recently ruled out for the rest of the season with a ruptured biceps tendon and James McCann is day to day with an illness after missing last night's game. For the hosts, Byron Buston, Joe Mauer and Jason Castro all remain out. The Tigers bullpen has reverted back to among the worst in the league after a decent stretch but the Twins' relievers find themselves in the top 9 by the SIERA metric and we believe there are enough pitching advantages elsewhere to back the under at plus odds!
Starting pitchers are Luke Weaver for the hosts and Eric Lauer for the visitors. It's been a tough season for Eric Lauer as he enters this game with a bloated 6.64 ERA but Lauer has been victimized by one of the highest BABIP in the league at .397 and as a result his xFIP is a more respectable 4.98. There is still much to dislike about Lauer in this matchup though as he walks an incredibly high 5.49 batters per 9 innings and his home run rate of 1.60 HR/9 is high as well. None of these bode well against a Cardinals lineup that hits southpaws well and draws the free pass 11.3% of the time against lefties, 2nd in the league. On the other side, Luke Weaver's ERA of 4.35 is much more respectable and his 4.20 xFIP indicate that this is more or less a true measure of his pitching thus far. However, Weaver's issue is his poor split against left handed bats and the Padres sport a versatile roster that should be able to get the bulk of their lineup to hit from the left side to take advantage of this matchup. Weaver had similar issues against the left handed bats of the Reds in his last outing as he surrendered 4 runs on 7 hits over 5 innings of work with just 3 strikeouts to 5 walks. Make no mistake, Lauer should have his struggles too as outlined above but we believe there is value in the visitors at nearly 2/1 as they hold the clear advantage in the bullpen.
WE have 5 bets lined up for today, and we give this one for free. If it doesn’t win we will add our biggest bet of the day in Ireland this evening. Alternatively, sign up to our racing service email@example.com———Not sure what Luke Morris was trying to do on MAVERICK OFFICER last time out, because he gave the gelding an appalling ride. On a positive note the son of Exceed and Excel has been dropped two pounds for that effort, and he’s stepping back up in trip on a track which should suit. David Simcock should be able to get a bit more out of this likeable sought, and conditions here should be spot on. MONT KINABALU and MAYPOLE are running well, but penalties can slow them down.
ANOTHER +3.69 points from our 4 WTA winners and 1 loser yesterday. The profits continue to grow and we sent out 5 bets for today. Tomorrows bets will also be sent out this afternoon, so here’s hoping. We are giving one for free today, but like you see we are limiting Free access because it doesn’t pay our bills. If you would like to join our service, then we are offering a GREAT DEAL (today only). For just €77 you get all WTA bets until the end of July (including Wimbledon) + WORLD CUP FOOTBALL for free. This package would normally cost over €300!! firstname.lastname@example.org——————— FREE PREMIUM With all due respect this isn’t the favoured surface on Mona Barthel. Afterall, the 27 year old German is more of a slugger from the baseline, so fast surfaces will never be in her favour. And, while she won her first round match against Swan, that was a much easier opponent than she will face here. Magdalena Rybarikova isn’t in the same form has last year, but she’s expected to do much better now that she’s returned to grass. Think back to 2017 when the Slovakian came back from injury to win grass tournaments in Ilkley and Surbiton. The now 29 year old also made the SF here, and best of all she made it all the way to the semi final at Wimbledon. While she lost a little focus and a set in her first round match against Ruse, the other two sets ended in an easy 6-1 6-0.
RICHMOND AVENUE left a solid impression when finishing third on his debut. In fact, he was given a soft ride by Barzalona and their is clearly a lot more to come. Stepping up in trio is a big positive, and the Fabre horses are in great form. Granted a bit of luck in running expect to see a better horse today!
VALMONT ran below par at Chantilly, but we believe he had a valid excuse. The ground that day was brutally fast, and he's clearly much better on an easier surface like he will get here. Guessing odds isn't easy, but this looks an easier race than the one's he's contended.
DING DING - 4 winners/ 1 loser/ 2 void. Winners: KATIE BOULTER Odds: 2.55 FANNY STOLLAR odds: 2.25 Bet365 BELINDA BENCIC -5 Odds: 2.00 Pinnacle KIRSTEN FLIPKENS -4 Odds: 1.89 Pinnacle Time to join the winners? Get started tomorrow email@example.com
We have six racing bets today, with five being at the evening meetings. To get our best service, you can join our subscription service for just €100 per month. For that you will receive 80-150 tips. firstname.lastname@example.org ———— PS , if this one doesn't win we will add a second freebie! - I know we shouldn’t laugh at Raul Da Silva getting a three week ban for smacking fellow jockey Jim Crowley. However, we can imagine many punters wanting to do the same to the 2016 champion. Crowley is riding the well bred WUFUD here, and the two heart old made a favourable debut. Nevertheless, we prefer taking a chance on Hayley Turner’s mount POWER OF DARKNESS. Our best ever female rider had a winner for the trainer yesterday, and the son of Power was a really solid third to two highly rated horses when last seen.