A look at league positions will have you asking how Vitesse can be the favourite. Afterall, John Van’t Schip’s side are three places above Vitesse, and they have 8 more points in the bag. The hosts come into this on the back of a win against Breda (1-0), but before that they were thrashed by Den Haag (4-0). Furthermore, the Blauwvingers struggled against 13th placed Breda, and prior to that they hadn’t won at home in three. Vitesse are better on the road than they are at home, and they are playing better than current results suggest. With no injuries to worry about, we expect the visitors to get an important win on the board. The reason this isn’t a premium bet is we needed 1.80 for the draw no bet!
We thought long and hard about making this a premium bet, but the price dropped and with it our interest diminished. Sassuolo are just 14th in the league table, but they are beginning to play better. In fact, a recent 1-0 win over Inter was their best effort to date, and we thought they deserved a win against Torino in last weekends match. Just before christmas Atalanta knocked todays opponent out of the cup, and earlier in the season they berate them in the league. Both of those matches ended just 2-1, and to be fair the margins were tight. Reversing stadiums should give the Green/black an advantage, and it that’s the case they can win!
You can often make money in Turkey Super Liga by opposing the big favourites, and that’s especially been the case since Istanbul clubs Besiktas, Fenerbahce and Galatasaray have lost dominance. However, it’s hard to get away from the fact that Gala are 8-1-0 at home, and todays opponent Osmanlispor are the worst travellers in the league (0-1-7). The remaining question is can the hosts cover a 1.5 goal spread, and we believe the answer is an affirmative yes. In fact, we are of the opinion that Fatih Terim’s side is fairly priced based on the facts at hand, and that’s despite missing leading scorer Bafetimbi Gomis. Earlier on in the season the Lions won the reverse fixture (1-3), and last season this fixture ended 2-0. If anything the second placed host has improved since then, while their opponents are very close to the relegation places!
Just to reiterate this is a free pick and not premium. Both of these teams love to attack, and neither of them will be wanting a replay. In fact, that probably applies to first division side Peterborough even more, because at least they are chasing promotion. Whether the Posh are good enough for that remains to be seen, but under Grant McCann they are serious contenders for a play-off place. The Foxes have recovered well from a poor start to the campaign, but qualifying for Europe looks very doubtful. With that in mind the FA cup appears to be an interesting target, so here’s hoping Claude Puel sends out his best XI. Whatever the scenario, we expect goals and plenty of them, so Asian h’cap over 3 is best. ps - If it lands on exact 3, the bet is void and stakes returned.
Our France Premium bets are doing well with +44.43%, you have the option to join this service in our buffet section, or by contacting us at firstname.lastname@example.org. We just want to make it clear that this pick is a FREE BET. St Etienne need to wake up has 16th place in the table is less than satisfactory. Nevertheless, the hosts have the players to climb the table, and at least they beat Toulouse 2-0 when last playing at home. Caen appear to be hitting a brick wall at the moment, albeit we prefer to believe it’s just a matter of rebalancing. Afterall, their once fourth place was clearly exaggerated, and their recent 1-1-5 tells us they are going through a confidence crisis.
Köln are playing much better under the guidance of new coach Stefan Ruthenbeck. In fact, the hosts won their last three games and put themselves in touch with the other teams at the bottom. Suffice to say, a win here would give The Billy Goats an extra shot of confidence going forwards. While it’s fair to point out that the hosts are still missing a few players, the fact is they haven’t been in better shape than now all season. From looking at the club report we are now just seeing three names sidelined, and even Risse could make it back. Augsburg are a decent eighth in the league table, and with it just 4 points behind second placed Bayer Leverkuesen. However, this is a tight league, and only the same amount of points separate teams 2 through 10. Furthermore, their are just 11 points separating 2nd to 15th, so plenty left to play for. Augsburg have no players missing, but then again they have been clean most of the season. Urgency inspires efficiency, go with the hosts to continue winning!
Following promotion a season earlier, it’s probably fair to suggest RB shocked most pundits by finishing second in last seasons Bundesliga. That meant the club from east Germany qualified for the Champions league, and it’s that which put an extra burden on resources. Suffice to say Ralph Hassenhutl’s side haven’t been has impressive this time around, but they are still a credible fourth and have the potential to fight for another Champions league slot. We still believe Hamburg are the weakest team in this league, and they have been lucky to survive for a few seasons now. The visitors lost their last 4 games in succession, and that has taken them into the relegation zone. Last weeks defeat at home to bottom of the league Köln showed a team that struggle in front of goal, and it’s hard to imagine things getting better against a team such has Leipzig. Team news wouldn’t be an issue for either team, but quality tells us Leipzig should cover at least -1.
South Carolina came through for us nicely on Wednesday, defeating Florida outright as 10.5 pt underdogs but we are not convinced by this team and believe they face an extremely tough task against one of the best defensive teams in the country. Texas Tech has struggled in the ultra-competitive Big 12 but this is still a team we rate very highly and we believe the Red Raiders have the advantage in nearly all areas aside from home court advantage.
In a battle of 2 ACC heavyweights, we have #4 ranked Duke hosting #2 ranked Virginia. Duke sits at 18-2 on the season with their losses coming against NC State and Boston College, both games the Blue Devils were prohibitive favorites. Virginia is 19-1 and their only loss came against West Virginia, another team ranked in the top 10. What's interesting about this game is that computer models have this as virtually a pick em and when oddsmakers deviate this much, we usually side with the oddsmakers. However, we're not in agreement this time and perhaps the bookmakers just don't want the massive liability one would expect on Duke were they to make this game closer to PK. In any case, Duke has the big name recruits that are nationally recognized but they still lack in many ways, especially defensively. On the other side, Virginia's defense is quite a sight to behold and in fact, we would say is the best in the entire country. We can't see the young and a bit undisciplined Blue Devils playing consistently enough and mistake-free enough to justify this spread. In fact, we believe the moneyline is in play as well but for the purposes of this bet, we'll go with the generous handicap!
Both teams enter this game with identical 11-9 records but Eastern Michigan sits at 2-5 in conference play while Miami (OH) has been a surprise at 4-3 and tied for 2nd place in the MAC East. The Eagles have dropped their last 2 games to Ohio and Buffalo but we were impressed with their play in the 2nd half against the Bulls after an atrocious start that saw the Eagles fall behind 28-4. The RedHawks have shown well at home but we feel they've been a bit lucky catching teams at the right time and face an Eastern Michigan team that shoot the ball very well from inside the arc and matches up well against an undersized Miami (OH) team.
FLorida St is in good form winning 3 out of their last 4 but their 3 wins were against a poor Georgia Tech team, a favorable match up against Virginia Tech and a double overtime winner against Syracuse sandwiched around a loss to Boston College. Despite their talented athletes at every position, the Seminoles have struggled against sound defensive teams such as Louisville and their opponents today, Miami (FL), who they lost to in the reverse fixtures 3 weeks ago. The Hurricanes bring one of the best defenses in the entire country and will also own a sizable coaching advantage with Jim Larranaga. We believe the hosts are on upset alert but for now, the points will suffice!
Eastern Washington had an easy time against North Dakota last game as they cruised to a 95-71 win and in the process, easily landing our bet on the over 151. Nevertheless, the Eagles will have a much tougher challenge in Northern Colorado who already beat them earlier in the season and have proven to be one of the contenders for the Big Sky title. The Bears are high on confidence after dismantling the Vandals at Idaho on Thursday and we believe they should be the favorites in this match up!