New Orleans enters this game at 3-1 with wins in each of their last 3 games after a poor opening week loss to the Buccaneers. However, one area of concern for the Saints has been their defense which made tremendous improvements a year ago but look to have firmly regressed as they entered Week 5 ranked in the bottom 5 by efficiency metrics. Nevertheless, we feel that the Redskins with Alex Smith at the helm and back to being a game manager isn't the type to stretch the field and really test the young corners. And in fact, the Saints have been markedly better defending the run and we believe Alex Smith is at his worst when he is forced to be one dimensional and win games with his arm. The Saints will miss WR Tedd Ginn who is out with a knee injury and CB Patrick Robinson's absence continues to be an issue with 2017 standouts Marshon Lattimore and Ken Crawley regressing to two of the worst defensive backs in the league. Still, as we said, we don't think the vertical passing game will be much of a factor here for Washington and an aging Adrian Peterson and Chris Thompson who is used more as a receiver out of the backfield poses much of a threat. The Redskins are coming off a bye week but their starting G Shawn Lauvao remains out and starting T Trent Williams is questionable. WR Josh Doctson is also questionable and while TE Jordan Reed is a weapon, the Saints have done reasonably well defending tight ends, allowing just 39.8 receiving yards per game. The Redskins do bring an underrated defense to this game in our opinion but the Saints at home are difficult to stop and their ground game has improved after lacking the 1st two weeks of the season. A record setting night is likely in store for Saints QB Drew Brees who just need 201 more yards to break Peyton Manning's NFL career record and we see a relatively comfortable win for the hosts!
Have this PREMIUM bet on us, we have 8 for today. If you would like to get all our FOOTBALL bets, the price is €250 per month. We are also offering a season deal to end of May for a special price of €990. Let our experts find the best bets, and your job is to find the best odds - email@example.com ——————We accept that Sevilla have a reputation of being a very hard team to beat at home. However, so far this season Pablo Machin’s side are just 1-1-1 at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Furthermore, they failed to land short odds against both Getafe (0-2) and Villarreal (0-0). Sevilla are third in the league table, and they did beat Real Madrid (3-0) in their last home match. However, in this weeks Europa league, todays host let a lead slip against Krasnador (1-2). The other thing is Amadou, Gonalons, Escudero and Mercado are still missing, and they are quality players who Machin would prefer to have. We remain of the theory that Celta are best playing away matches, and that’s because they like teams coming at them. And, while they did lose one match in Girona, it was simply a wrong result. Drawing in Valencia and beating Atletico (2-0) are other ticks in the right box. And, if we think back to last season, they were unfortunate to be touched off (2-1) in this fixture. During the same campaign Celta won the reverse game 4-0, and overall they have a good record against todays opponent. With regards to team news, just the once played Jensen is missing for the visitors! We would take this bet (+1) everyday, and we are particularly keen in going in bigger today. Afterall, the Sevilla players had a long flight back from Russia, and they had little time to recover and prepare. Odds are excellent, because Sevilla would need to win by two for this bet to go down!
This is not a big priced tip, but we still see plenty of value in taking the ‘’bottle’’ (2/1) about the selection! We have 4 racing tips today, and this is one we are giving for free! ————Not convinced LE RICHERBOURG will get the trip, and he only beat a 120 horse on his chase debut. Paul Townend has chosen to ride ROBIN DES FORET in preference to CAMELIA DE COTTE, and that’s a tip in itself. The 8 year old looked really good when winning last time out, and he’s got an excellent win record. Despite conceding weight to the others, he’s the Mullins horse we want to be on!
Starting pitchers are Sean Newcomb for the hosts and Walker Buehler for the visitors. It appears all but a foregone conclusion now with the Dodgers taking a 2-0 series lead behind 8 shutout innings from Clayton Kershaw in Game 2. The Braves have managed exactly 0 runs against Dodgers pitching this series and are sizable underdogs at home here in Game 3. Nevertheless, we believe there are some factors that favour the hosts here as Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler, while enjoying a breakout rookie season, is still a rookie and we wonder if pitching in a hostile environment in his first postseason game might be slightly unfavourable. Buehler is also right handed and we believe this can only benefit the Braves who were completey stymied by 2 southpaws in Games 1 and 2. Furthermore, SunTrust Park tends to favour left handed batters and the Braves should be able to stack their lineup with mostly left handed or switch hitters. On the other side, it's interesting to note that Kevin Gausman was originally slated to start Game 3 but Braves manager Brian Snitker made the change to Newcomb instead. Whatever his motivations were for deciding on the switch, we believe it's the right one for a few reasons. Newcomb being a southpaw, should match up better against the Dodgers who hit right handers better thoughout the season and if anything, Newcomb should provide a change of pace. Newcomb could also force the Dodgers to put out a lineup geared towards southpaws which would put them at a slight disadvantage with respect to the ballpark's bias towards left handers. Finally, Newcomb also came within 1 strike of recording a no hitter against these same Dodgers back on July 29th at this same ballpark. Being an elimination game for the Braves, all hands should be on deck, including Gausman who would likely be the first reliever in should Newcomb struggle and it's worth pointing out that Gausman improved dramatically under the Braves since coming over from the Orioles midseason. The Dodgers clearly look to be the superior team but it would also be accurate to say the Braves haven't played up to their abilities. Perhaps playing in front of their home fans will take some of the pressure off as well as knowing they weren't even supposed to make the playoffs with this roster this year. In any event, we believe these odds are worth taking!
Starting pitchers are German Marquez for the hosts and Wade Miley for the visitors. Wade Miley has had a nice turnaround this season as he maanged a 2.57 ERA over 80.2 innings. Nevertheless, this is stil a pitcher we have very little faith in at the moment and doubly so at elevation. Miley has always had a good groundball rate but that hardly prevented the home runs the last few seasons in the AL and while the ballparks in the AL East aren't too forgiving, Coors Field is even moreso the home run paradise due to its elevation. Miley has benefited from a miniscule 5.2% HR/FB ratio and this is certainly a number that's a prime candidate for regression, especially a mile above sea level. Miley's 4.30 xFIP shows a more realistic representation of his abilities and even that is a bit generous in our opinion given his ultra low strikeout rate and pedestrian walk rate of 3.01 BB/9. The Rockies have really struggled at the plate this series, getting shut out in Game 2 and managing just 2 runs in Game 1 to follow up a narrow 2-1 win over the Cubs in the Wild Card Play-in Game. Nevertheless, they are a completely different team at home and against southpaws where they own an .898 OPS and wRC+ of 109, 6th highest mark in that situation. On the other side, German Marquez has been positively brilliant down the stretch and pitched extremely well in the divisional tiebreaker against the Dodgers though in a losing cause. However, it's the effort he put forth in that game that worries us as he was noticeably faster with his velocity and we have to wonder if he overexerted himself. Marquez has pitched well at home but he does fare noticeably worse against left handers and the Brewers should have more than a few that can hit from power from that side in the lineup tonight. Bullpens have been fantastic for the Brewers all season but pitching at elevation can be a different story. All things considered, we believe there's some value in any number below 10!
The injury riddled Seahawks host the Super Bowl favourite Rams in an NFC West showdown. The Rams are one of two undefeated teams left as they have excelled on both sides of the ball with QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley producing the 2nd highest scoring offense in the league after the Chiefs. The Seahawks have struggled to a 2-2 start but are coming off back to back wins over the Cowboys and Cardinals. Seattle continues to shuffle players in and out as Earl Thomas was the latest victim last week, suffering a broken leg and finished for the season. LB KJ Wright remains out and LB Mychal Kendricks was suspended earlier in the week after his appeal failed. CB Aqib Talib remains out for the visitors. Despite being a divisional matchup, we believe the Rams will simply want to make it out of this game injury free and won't have put forth the extra preparation and gameplanning as they frequently did in this matchup under previous head coach Jeff Fisher. There is no question the Rams are the new kings of the NFC West, especially after their 42-7 throttling of theses Seahawks in Week 15 of last season and we believe they don't really feel there's much to prove, other than winning the game of course. Furthermore, The Seahawks have made a concerted effort to running the ball more with 39 and 34 carries the last 2 weeks and as both were wins, we can't see them straying too far from this gameplan. It would only make sense here as the Seahawks offensive line has struggled mightily and establishing a ground game would take the pressure off of Russell Wilson who's been sacked at an incredibly high rate over the last few seasons. There are weaknesses in both secondaries but with the expected pace of play, we believe this total is a tick too high.
Two struggling teams meet aiming to start their respective turnarounds. The Steelers are 1-2-1 and tied for last place in the AFC North after dropping last Sunday Night's game to the Ravens 26-14, in the process scoring 0 points in the 2nd half. The Falcons are in last place in the NFC South at 1-3 and have dropped their last 2 games despite scoring at least 36 points in both contests. The Falcons have been hit hard by injuries with their best defender, LB Deion Jones, remaining out with a foot injury and both their starting safeties lost for the season. DE Derrick Shelby and run stopping specialist DT Grady Jarrett are also both out after missing practice all week. The injuries have clearly affected the Falcons as they've now allowed 104 points over their last 3 games and haven't shown the ability to stop the pass or the run. The Pittsburgh locker room is in shambles with an apathetic coach at the helm but there is no shortage of talent at least in the passing game. Coach Tomlin has stressed the need to start the game better as the Steelers have been outscored 42-6 in the first quarter this season. Whether this is actually implemented, planned and coached is another story but at least, the message is out there showing awareness of the issue. At any rate, the Falcons defense shouldn't be any match, especially in the secondary, for Antonio Brown who should be extra motivated facing off against Julio Jones, one of the few other receivers who can claim the title of best WR in the league. Likewise, Jones should have a field day against a Steelers defense that's been extremely poor against the pass and is dead last in the league in penalties. It might sound like we're making a case for the over but 58 is incredibly high for an NFL total and as we see neither side being able to stop the other, we believe this turns into a shootout where effectively the last team to have the ball wins. Home field is lessened in our opinion when high powered offenses face off against defenses unable to put up much resistance so we believe getting 3.5 points is the proper way to bet this! We also believe the visitors will have the coaching edge and at least the Falcons have solved their red zone woes whereas the Steelers internal drama continues!
Southampton did manage to win (1-2) their last match, albeit it was a Carabao cup game against Everton. Suffice to say, that doesn’t mean much for the league competition has most clubs use bench players for that tournament. In fact, coach Hughes made seven changes to the team beaten by Wolves (2-0) in the last round of the Premiership. The biggest problem concerning the Saints is lack of goals, and the fact is their strikers failed to score in four of the seven league matches. With regards to the hosts team news, Shane Long, Alex McCarthy, Moi Elyounoussi and Ryan Bertrand are all available to return. Chelsea won their opening five games, but could only draw the last two. However, the Blues did outplay Liverpool for most of last weeks game, and only a fantastic long distance strike from Sturridge allowed their opponents a point. Chelsea did huff and puff a little for this weeks Europa league win over MOL Vidi (1-0), but to be fair the coach made eight changes to his starting line-up. Eden Hazard starts this match has the leagues top scorer, so he will be hoping to add to that. However, Muarizio Sarri will be hoping for more goals from Alvaro Morata, and they might come now that he’s got back on the scoresheet. All of Cesar Azpilicueta, David Luiz, Antonio Rudiger, Marcos Alonso, Olivier Giroud and Jorginho are available to the visitors! Go with Chelsea -1 Asian h’cap. That means if Chelsea win by a single goal bets are void!
Caroline Wozniaki did what we expected of her in the last round. In fact, the Dane annihilated Qiang Wang with a strong display, and their is no reason to think she won't follow up here. Anastasia Sevastova has done well to make it to the final, and to be fair she's been in good form all week! However, she's already played Wozniacki five times, and the latter won on every occasion. Add to that, Caro won four of those matches in straight sets, and the other she covered by five games. The fact is the Latvian has never got within four games of her opponent, so why today!
Stanford took their first loss of the season last week as they fell to Notre Dame 38-17 at South Bend. To make matters worse, star RB Bryce Love injured his ankle again and is questionable for tonight. Whether Love suits up or not, we believe coach David Shaw has no choice but to rely on the pass more as Love is likely to be less than 100% regardless and Utah showed some severe flaws in their secondary allowing nearly 450 passing yards to Washington St last week. Cardinal QB KJ Costello has shown a vertical passing game this year and we believe this can only help his side as the ground game was fairly tame as is despite the Heisman runner up in the backfield. The Utes' offense has been putrid at best this season but we believe this is a good situation for them against a beat up Stanford defense that played a tough physical game against the Irish to follow up their overtime win over Oregon. We believe this total is a tick too low.
Kentucky has been a nice story this season as they enter this game at 5-0 and ranked 13th in the nation. RB Benny Snell is in the midst of another terrific season averaging 127.8 yards on the ground but he will have his work cut out for him against a stingy run defense that's allowed just 403 rushing yards in their first 5 games. Kellen Mond has emerged as the starting quarterback for the Aggies and despite struggling the past 2 weeks, we trust him much more than JuCo transfer Terry Wilson who's made some questionable decisions. The environment is one of the most difficult places in all of college football and we believe it will be up to Wilson to win it with his arm, something we give a very low chance of happening. Aside from the #13 next to their name and a star RB that should be neutralized by a stout defensive line, the Aggies have the advantage in all other areas in our opinion and should win this comfortably!
Despite their lofty #5 ranking, we aren't quite as convinced by LSU and their blowout win over a dreadful Ole Miss team that clearly quit last week doesn't change our minds at all. The fact remains that QB Joe Burrow has been extremely fortunate with turnovers and suffers from poor accuracy on his throws. Against the Gators, Burrow faces a legitimate defense that's ranked 19th in the nation defending the pass by efficiency metrics. Gators QB Feleipe Franks has never been an elite or even an above average QB at the college level but he has made strides this year under new head coach Dan Mullen. Franks is complete 57.1 percent of his passes and is making better decisions with just 3 interceptions to 12 touchdowns. Home field advantage means quite a bit more in this rivalry and we can't accept the hosts as outsiders.