Starting pitchers are Jordan Montgomery for the hosts and Marcus Stroman for the visitors. Marcus Stroman has been the model of consistency the last 2 years but his 2018 campaign has gotten off to a rough start as he enters this matchup at 0-1 with a 7.98 ERA over 3 starts. Stroman has compiled the strikeouts and allowed just 1 home run on the year but he has visibly had control issues as seen by the 10 walks he's allowed on the year. Jordan Montgomery had a quality rookie season and aside from a shaky start at Baltimore, we believe he's progressed nicely and faces a Blue Jays team that's had its struggles against left handed pitching. The Yankees still have Clint Frazier, Greg Bird and Jacoby Ellsbury on the DL but we'll look to take on Stroman until he can prove his command is back. Perhaps the unusally cold weather has something to do with it but in this case, we also believe it's to Montgomery's benefit! The Blue Jays have one of the top closers in the league but the Yankees still have the best bullpen in the majors in our opinion. This should be a routine win for the hosts!
We will give you two from our six for free - Here is one of our early bets - - —— Two short priced winners from his last 25 runners wouldn’t be enough for getting me to want in on the 6/5 about DEFOE. While Roger Varian’s course winner was a big improver last year, we feel like we have seen him peak. Can’t imagine AUTOCRATIC wanting this far, and DANEHILL KODIAC would need to improve significantly . William Haggas should be able to get more out of the impeccably bred CALL TO MIND, and he’s from a family which improve with age. Conditions should be ideal, and he won first time up last season!
WE HAVE BEEN UNBEATABLE IN HUNTER CHASES, SO HERE YOU GO - Can understand were they are coming from in making SHOTOFVODKA favourite. However, he’s hardly prolific, and the ground might be faster than he likes. GALWAY JACK is a horse we like very much, and at the tender age of 13 he’s still going well. With all that said, he’s in the unfortunate position of giving weight to a few of the others, and it’s that which could cost him another win. O MAONLAI shouldn’t be good enough, while ROYALRAISE is better on a right handed track. For us it’s got to be back to back point winner SHIMLA DAWN. The ten year old beat the highly regarded Path to Freedom by a whopping 20 lengths last time. His experienced jockey Emily Todd takes of a useful three pounds, and he’s receiving 8 pounds from GALWAY JACK. Take into consideration he was rated 127 under rules, and he goes best on this type of ground!
HAVE THIS ONE ON THE HOUSE - TOMILY looks a bit high in the weights. GLOBAL APPLAUSE is a class act, but i’m not sure why the trainer would want to take Gerald Mosse for the ride. BLUE DE VEGA should have more to give has a sprinter, while CASPIAN PRINCE will certainly like the ground. However, none of them should be good enough to stop the still progressive A MOMENTOFMADNESS. Charlie Hills gelding won well on the AW at Kempton, and the fact is he’s 4 pounds lower on turf. Baring in mind he only ran in top races last season suggest he’s the one to be on, and of course Buick is the right man to have on board.
ENJOY IT FOR FREE - We always thought Waregem would come good during the Jupiler league - Europa league groups. And, after struggling through much of the campaign Francky Drury’s side have found form to win six from their last eight matches. We believe the Essevee are looking better now than at any time during the main season, and that’s supported by recent big wins against Mouscron (5-1) and Lierse (1-4). The amount of possession and goalscoring opportunities created by the hosts has been impressive indeed, and maybe one of the reasons for that is some of the better players returning to the squad. Their is an argument to suggest Kortrijk are also finishing the season better than they started it. Afterall, De Kerels won three of their four group matches to date, and they only just missed out of the Championship group by one place and two points. The hosts won’t have Doumbia, Hamalainen, Marcq, Bjordal or De Mets available. Nevertheless, none of them are newly missing and they beat Lierse without the same group of players in the last round. Take the rampant Essevee to ram home the goals!
ONE DAY SPECIAL - FOOTBALL TO END OF JUNE + ALL WTA TENNIS TIPS UNTIL END OF JUNE FOR JUST €200. THAT MEANS YOU RECEIVE ACCESS TO OUR PREMIUM BUFFET SECTION OR ARE MAILED ALL BETS DAILY! - GET IN TOUCH WITH US AT BETTING.ANALYSTT@GMAIL.COM - It looked like Levante would drop points against Malaga last night, but a 92nd minute winner gave them the three points. That took the Valencia club seven points clear of the relegation zone and Deportivo La Coruna. Suffice to say, the visitors will need everything to go right for them for the remainder of the campaign to have a chance of escaping the drop, but that result yesterday must have been demotivational. Leganes managed to take 27 points from 16 home games to date. They also won 3 from their last 4 at the Butarque against Celta (1-0), Sevilla (2-1) and Malaga (2-0). we believe it’s fair to say that both Sevilla and Celta are better than todays visitor, and home advantage is clearly a key factor. Rico, Ramos, El Zhar and Amrabat all need to prove their fitness for this match, but we can’t believe it’s going to be an issue!
How can Lyon be odds of around 1.45 to win this match?. Looking at the maths suggests the bookmakers are clearly factoring-in the visitors are fighting for European places. However, with five matches remaining Dijon too have a small chance of making up the five points needed for Europa league, and they have only lost one of their last eight games. Lyon are joint third in the league table and four points behind second placed Monaco. However, they failed to land odds of 1.33 in the reverse match (3-3), and Dijon won (4-2) this fixture last season. We could also mention that PSG needed a 92nd minute winner to claim three points in this stadium, and the hosts can be a very energetic outfit against the bigger sides. We recognise that Lyon are injury and suspension free, but Dijon have been successfully pointing with their handful of missing players.
Borussia Monchengladbach coach Dieter Hecking told the press in a pre match interview that his team were still hoping to make up six points and claim a European spot. However, with four matches remaining and a 5-1 beating in Bayern that scenario is unlikely. Nevertheless, that doesn’t mean Die Fohlen will take things easy against old adversary Wolfsburg, and from the physical side they appear in much better shape than the visitors. Wolves coach Bruno Labbadia was lamenting the player situation in his pre match interview. He said Felix Uduokhai was now suspended and none of the injured players are ready to return. That means players such has Joshua Guilavogui and Ignacia Camacho won’t be involved. In fact, the list stretches to Gerhardt, Bruma, Itter, Brooks, Jung, Blaszczykowski and Mehmedi. As it stands, Wolfsburg are in a real predicament has they are one of three teams sharing 30 points. Either themselves, Freiburg or Mainz are most likely heading into an end of season relegation play-off. With that said, in their remaining games the visitors get to play bottom two sides Köln and Hamburg at home. In theory, Wolves have a soft run-in and they do have a good record against todays opponent. Wolfsburg won six of their last ten (6-2-2) against Borussia, and that includes a 3-0 earlier this season. Motivation and recent form are other positives which should outweigh the player situation. It should also be noted that the visitors have been better on the road, so take them to claim at least a point!
Starting pitchers are Clayton Kershaw for the hosts and Max Scherzer for the visitors. There isn't much to say regarding the pitchers as we have 2 of the best of their generation going at it for the 3rd times in their careers and the 2nd time during the regular season. Kershaw is just 1-2 on the season but has allowed only 5 runs in 26 innings of work over 4 starts and hasn't walked a batter in his last 2 starts. Scherzer has been even more impressive as aside from a spotty start against the Braves, he enters this game with a 1.33 ERA and has struck out 38 batters over 27 innings of work while walking just 4. The Dodgers just got done beating up on the hapless Padres but we don't see this as the offensive juggernaut of last year and the Nationals are a team we expect to regress in that regard as well after a few players put up career seasons. In any case, we expect both pitchers to be at their best and while we don't believe the bullpens will have much effect in this matchup, they are both among the tops in the league in that regard. We don't have too many ballpark concerns with the game being at night so while this is a very low total, we still like the under!
Starting pitchers are Andrew Heaney for the hosts and Jeff Samardzija for the visitors. Samardzija was one of the more curious cases in 2017 as he was popular among the sabremetrics devotees with his incredibly low walk rate and consequently one of the league's best K/BB ratio but his ERA suffered to the tune of 4.42. Much of it was due to his career-high 1.3 HR/9 rate and all else aside, this is what troubles us most here as this is a figure that's steadily increased the last few seasons and "Shark" as they call him will face one of the better power-hitting teams in the league in the Angels. Heaney's major issue is similar in that he doesn't really throw hard and is an extreme fly ball pitcher that's extremely susceptible to the long ball. Both offenses have been struggling but the Giants do hit southpaws relatively well and the Angels' should pick up sooner rather than later in our opinion! We can't resist these odds on the over!
Starting pitchers are Kendall Graveman for the hosts and Drew Pomeranz for the visitors. Pomeranz is making his first start of the season so perhaps that is why we are getting such nice odds on the visitors but the fact remains that Pomeranz is at worst a league average starter at this point while Graveman has proven to be among the worst. Graveman has shown nothing encouraging this season and enters this matchup with a 9.87 ERA with no quality starts in 4 tries. More importantly, this indicates to us that he is likely not over the recurring shoulder issues that derailed a promising start to 2017. The A's have won 4 in a row but 3 wins against a dreadful White Sox team doesn't really prove much to us and the Red Sox remain one of the hottest teams in the league with wins in 16 of their last 17. Xander Bogaerts and Dustin Pedroia remain out for the visitors but we see Boston with too many advantages and also bring with them one of the better bullpens in the league. Oakland has shown some power numbers but it's worth mentioning that they've done significantly worse against southpaws, despite their recent games against Alex Wood and Marco Gonzales. Red Sox to make it 8 in a row!
Starting pitchers are Matt Koch for the hosts and Tyson Ross for the visitors. While it's still too early to say if Ross has returned to ace status, it does appear he is on the right track after 2 seasons hampered by injuries. Ross is coming off a 0 ER, 7 hits over 6 IP outing against the Giants and before that appeared to be on his way to a quality start against Houston before one bad inning turned it into a still respectable 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H line. Matt Koch is making just his 3rd start of his career and what we can tell you about the young prospect is that he doesn't strike out too many batters but does keep the walk numbers low and does well to supress home runs. In any case, Koch shouldn't have it too difficult against a lineup that would fit right in at the Triple-A level and being backed by one of the best bullpens in the league. The humidor effect appears to be real as well with runs and home runs all down at Chase Field in this young season but at any rate, this total is a half run too high in our estimation!