We are now getting a better vision of what to expect from the ‘’no crowd’’ situation in the Bundesliga, and the first word which comes to mind is inconsistency. With that said, we have seen 10 away wins from the 18 games to date, that compares to just three at home and five draws! Team news: Werder: Füllkrug (torn ACL), Möhwald (knee), Pizarro (thigh), Toprak (calf) all out while Vogt (hip) is a doubt. Borussia: Embolo (ankle), Strobl (hamstring), Zakaria (knee) all out, Johnson (muscular) doubtful In the last round the difference between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkuesen was Kai Hevertz. One of the goals was from the penalty spot, the other Yann Sommer let go under him. Other than that it was a really balanced match, and has is often the case in the Bundesliga score lines where wrong! Leonardo Bittencourt gave Werder Bremen some hope of surviving the season when he scored from outside the box to give Werder a 0-1 win over Freiburg. However, the hosts had a late goal ruled out for offside and on any other given day the result would have been different! Werder have tank just 21 points this season, and only five of them where at home. It will be a shock to us if Borussia can’t return to winning ways this evening!
This is just a moderate handicap, and Jane Soubagne has added the magic formula to THE FUNK BIBLE. We believe this fella would have won last time if his then jockey had waited a bit longer, so great to have the champion (Boudot) on board. The winner of that race went up 3.5kg, and he was only just touched off. I won’t be looking further!!
It’s hard to put into words how silly the Cologne boys where in losing a 2-0 lead in last weeks home match against Mainz. No doubt Markus Gisdol will have had a big after the match talk with his supposedly experienced group of players, because at the end of the day What we can say about that match. The Billy Goats appeared to be cruising for the first 60 minutes, but when Awoniya came on for the visitors they couldn’t response. In fact, they let the 22 year old striker get a goal after just a couple of minutes, and the way the defenders stood off him had us believing he had a known contagious disease. In any case, hopefully it’s lesson learnt and this looks a winnable fixture against relegation heading Dusseldorf! At some stage of the season motivated teams tend to raise their game. However, with all due respect, that didn’t appear to be the case with last weeks effort from Dusseldorf against Paderborn. As it stands, Uwe Rosler’s team are 3rd bottom of the table, and more worrying they are the lowest scorers in the Bundesliga. In that last match the then hosts managed just one shot on target against the bottom club, and to make matters worse ever present defender Ayhan picked up another yellow card meaning he’s suspended!
PREMIUM PICK - We’ve been killing them with French and German races, the show continues with 6 bets today. Here is one for free users! ———LA POUTANESCA has the best last time out form, but it was over further and on dirt. While David Smaga’s runner is still fairly treated, i’m expecting her to get tapped for speed. I AM CHARLIE has the right man on board, and she’s got the form to be involved. However, she’s more exposed than most of this field, and that applies to our selection GRACE BERE. The lightly 4 year old won 2 of her 5 races, and last time out she was given too much to do in a h’cap. The extra 100M should help her cause, and jockey Alexis Badel suits these hold up types. While switching to turf is an unknown, chances are she will be just has good on this surface!
Freiburg made the long journey to Leipzig worthwhile. In fact, while they took a credible point (1-1), only a mm and VAR stopped them getting all three. Traditionally speaking SCF have been reliant on taking most of their points at home, so it augers well when they can go to a team who lost just one at home this season and just about nab it! Their was a time when Werder Bremen where challenging for titles, but over the last few seasons they have become an also ran. The visitors are languishing in the relegation zone, and according to last weeks 1-4 home defeat to Bayer Leverkuesen they are going from bad to worse. It’s true to say Werder have taken more points on the road this season, and the reverse match ended 2-2. All the same, confidence is high at one club and dawning at the the other. Unless Werder have found some tactical organisation during the week, they will be for the taking!
Wolfsburg are without Guilavogui (captain), Gerhardt, William, Camacho and Karamoko. Whereas Reus, Zagadou and Schulz won’t be available to Dortmund! Dortmund are where we would expect them in the league table. With 8 matches remaining Lucien Favre’s team are 2nd to Bayern Muenchen, and two points clear of the third. Considering the visitors have had a bunch of injured players this season, a lot of credit has to be given to the club for having strong back-up. We should also add Haaland, Jadon Sancho and Julien Brandt have been phenomenal, and playing behind closed doors hasn’t hindered performance. On that note, last weeks 4-0 over Schalke was super efficient football, and 4 shots on target ended with 4 in the back of the net! As expected Wolfsburg duly beat Augsburg, and they are undefeated over the last 7 Bundesliga games. The Wolves still have aspirations of qualifying for the Europa league, but the fact is they have 15 points less than todays opponent! BVB won the reverse fixture 3-0, and if anything they have improved since. Last weeks win showed they want it, and they played some fantastic football for 80 of the 90 minutes!
Two goals within the first seven minutes set up Borussia Monchengladbach for last weeks 1-3 win in Frankfurt. The then visitors where in command from then on, and only a slight concentration slip up (at 0-3) allowed their opponent to close the gap to two goals. Bayer Leverkuesen had it relatively easy in beating a tardy Werder Bremen 1-4. That win has taken the team of Peter Bosz to within two places and two points of todays opponent, so the visitors will certainly be feeling confident. However, Borussia won 6 from the last 8 meetings between the clubs, and they where also worthy winners of the reverse match! The hosts manager manager Marco Rose can’t complain about team news. Borussia are just without Zakaria and Johnson, although Bensebaini is on the doubtful list! Bayer are still without skipper Lars Bender, and top scorer Kevin Volland will miss his 8th game in succession!! With the draw no bet option, plenty of value in sticking with the impressive hosts!
Very poor quality race, and a big chance has to be given to MAMOURETTA. If she runs like she did in a decent h’cap last week, she should get the measure of WALDANA and DANKA
Berlin derby! Hertha - Kalou (not selected), Karim Rekik (knee), Marius Wolf (ankle - doubtful) Union - Sheraldo Becker (thigh), Akaki Gogia (match fitness), Kevin Schlotterbeck (suspended) The last five meetings between these two clubs give Union (2-2-1) the slight upper hand. The visitors scored a late penalty to win the reverse match and rightly so! In last weeks round the difference between Hertha Berlin and Hoffenheim was the then visitors converted chances. While Hoffenheim had 21 goal attempts, the team coached by Bruno Labbadia needed just twelve. Five of those where on target, and three found the back of the net. Those three points Hertha took from that win made it a new total of 31, that’s one more than todays city rival Union Berlin! Since these two teams last met Hertha have changed two managers, and last weeks 3-0 win was Labbadia’s first in charge. What we can tell you about that match is it had a really good flow, and the scoreline was badly exaggerated. Nevertheless, wins bring confidence, and those points took some of the pressure away. Union lost 0-2 to the mighty Bayern, and prior to that was a 3-1 defeat in Freiburg. To be fair to the visitors, they haven’t had the rub of the green. And, while last weeks matchh against Bayern showed a lack of imagination, they set-up for damage limitation. The best way to bet this game is over 2.5 goals. Union will need commit more bodies forward and with that in mind chances should be plentiful!!
GAMALINE didn’t progress in here 2nd and 3rd races last season, but she did win her debut in good style. Getting the fillies allowance is one thing, and the other is knowing she comes from a stable in form. However, the most compelling argument is she’s changing codes to fences following just three runs, that’s a good sign!
Henri Pantall could do with a winner, and who better to supply one than P.-C. Boudet. I’m trying to figure out why the h’capper dropped ARUM a kilo for his last run, because he was the only one who gave LA ROSELAIRE a run for his money. The 4 year old has a great record fresh, and her best form is on this type of ground. She’s a CD winner, and some of her efforts last year where simply unfortunate. Most of this field appear exposed, so granted luck in running we should have the right one!
So far this season Hammer-Hanson’s runners are coming up short, that is enough to put us off TRUST AHEAD. BRAVEHEART was caught out by his big weight last week, that won’t be the case here. The 4 year old has improved race to race and that was a strong comeback. Suffice to say, having a race under the belt and returning to a track where he’s 2/2 is helpful!