In the last round, Twente should have beaten Venlo by a higher scoreline than the 1-2. However, the Tukker’s missed a bunch of opportunities, and they will need to do better than that in the future. With that said, the hosts have had a fantastic start to the season, and coach Ron Jans is clearly getting the best out of a very young and limited squad. We have to say one stand out point for the Enschede club is they have had it good with missing players, and on that score, only Leeuwen is out of this one! Sparta Rotterdam was a little naive in the weekend defeat to Groningen (2-3). After having most of the ball, it was the then visitors who carved out the better chances. Despite that setback, we have to say Henk Fraser’s team is massively improved. Winning 4 from the last 6 against Willem II (1-3), Emmen (2-1), Den Haag (6-0), and Waalwijk (0-2) have all been great results and the way this team play means results are always going to be hit and miss! The visitors have just one player out, and he’s a 3rd choice goalkeeper. The Castle Lords are just as good as the host, and traveling to an empty stadium isn’t a problem. The draw is an extra asset, and these odds are better than we had anticipated!
In the weekend match between Basle and St Gallen, the two teams had 34 goal attempts between them. Of those 14 were on target, but none finished in the back of the net. The draw was a fair reflection of how the game played out, the scoreline probably not! For the past two seasons, the Espen has been doing much better. In fact, rather than fighting against relegation, the club coached by Peter Zeidler is challenging for the top places. As it stands, St Gallen is 2nd in the table, and they are unbeaten in the last 6 games. One of those was the 0-0 draw at today's opponent Young Boys, and on that occasion goal attempts were a staggering 39!! Zeidler could start with the same team again. Victor Ruiz and Stergiou are the two players missing who started this season. Gonzalez, Ajeti, Luchsinger, and Alves are still sidelined. In the last round we anticipated Young Boys would have it hard against Lugano, the part we didn’t pick up on was the scoreline (2-2). To be frank, we thought Lugano would simply sit deep and frustrate YBB. However, the opposite was true, but from a betting perspective, we got through! The champions are certainly stoppable, and Nsame could be missing for the visitors this evening. Either way, he won’t be fully fit, and the Young Boys coach will need him for the future. At the end of the day, YBB is big favs to win the league again, but they will drop points on the way. In the reverse match, they were just 1.35 to win that game but were stopped. The Espen will be happy to go toe for toe, and playing on this home surface will suit the hosts better. Getting a goal head start feels like a big insurance gift! Asian handicap explained — If Young Boys win by exactly one goal this bet is void! If they win by two or more we lose, but if its a draw or win for St Gallen we win!
For the Saints, DT Malcolm Brown, OL Nick Easton and WR Michael Thomas have all been ruled out for this game. WR Deonte Harris is listed as questionable. QB Drew Brees is expected to start after missing the last few games with a rib injury. For the Chiefs, LB Damien Wilson and RB Darwin Thompson have both been ruled out. OL Mike Remmers is listed as doubtful and OT Eric Fisher is questionable. It was a bit surprising to see Brees get the nod for this game so soon after suffering broken ribs but this tells us that he must be rather healthy given that Taysom Hill had played well in his place. Furthermore, Hill's rushing ability creates a favourable matchup against the Chiefs' poor rush defense. So for this reason, we have to believe Brees is about as close to 100% here and if that's the case, it's hard to justify the hosts being an underdog in their home stadium. While the Chiefs are rightfully seen as the best team in the league, taking the field goal head start is an easy decision for us!
For the Cardinals, DE Jordan Phillips, S Jalen Thompson, PK Zane Gonzalez and LB Kylie Fitts have all been ruled out for this game. OL Justin Pugh, RB Chase Edmonds and CB Dre Kirkpatrick are all listed as questionable. For the Eagles, OT Jack Driscoll, RB Jason Huntley, DB Grayland Arnold and CB Avonte Maddox have been ruled out. CB Darius Slay and DT Malik Jackson are listed as questionable. The Eagles picked up a surprise win last week against one of the top teams in the league in the Saints all the while starting their rookie quarterback Jalen Hurts in place of the benched Carson Wentz. While the Saints clearly didn't focus completely on their opponent at hand, we have to give credit to Hurts as he ran the offense well and efficiently and added a new dimension with his running ability. The Cardinals' defense isn't anything special in our opinion and they frequently struggle against other mobile quarterbacks. The Cardinals in their home environment in a closed stadium are always at their best offensively and coupled with the Eagles' injuries in the secondary, we can only see this game going one way!
For the Patriots, RB Damien Harris and WR Donte Moncrief have been ruled out for this game. RB James White and OL Jermaine Eluemunor are listed as questionable. WR Julian Edelman is expected to return after missing the last 7 games. For the Dolphins, LB Jerome Baker, RB Salvon Ahmed, OG Ereck Flowers, TE Mike Gesicki, WR Jakeem Grant, S Bobby McCain, WR DeVante Parker, LB Elandon Roberts and LB Kyle Van Noy are all listed as questionable. This bet is rather simple for us. Patriots' head coach Bill Belichick always looks to exploit the opponents' weaknesses and in this case, the Dolphins have struggled to defend the run. We expect the Patriots to utilize a heavy dose of the ground game which is efficient but not overly explosive. We see a lot of slow and methodical drives as Belichick looks to shorten the game against a team that's shown tremendous offensive potential this year. Only one way to bet this!
For the Vikings, LB Eric Kendricks and TE Kyle Rudolph have both been ruled out for this game. RB Alexander Mattison is listed as questionable. For the Bears, CB Jaylon Johnson, S Deon Bush and CB Buster Skrine have all been ruled out. TE Jimmy Graham, LB Khalil Mack and LB James Vaughters are listed as questionable. The Bears finally ended their 6 game losing skid last week as they demolished the Texans 36-7. While we're never fans of whoever the quarterback is in Chicago be it Mitchell Trubiskey or Nick Foles, the real improvement is on the offensive line that's looked much better since the reshuffling of players last week. A consistent ground game gives the Bears a much needed balance that enables their play action game to get going. While the Vikings' defense should provide a stiffer challenge than the Texans, we believe the Bears have the much deeper talent at the skill positions aside from the Vikings' talented RB Dalvin Cook. These teams know each other well and the Bears typically get the better of it in this matchup!
For the Ravens, CB Jimmy Smith and LB Kristian Welch have both been ruled out for this game. CB Marcus Peters, CB Anthony Averett, DE Calais Campbell, CB Davontae Harris, DB Anthony Levine, CB Tramon Wiliams, DT Broderick Washington and DE Derek Wolfe are all listed as questionable. For the Jaguars, CB Sidney Jones has been ruled out for this game. PK Logan Cooke is questionable. QB Gardner Minshew is expected to start again after being benched the last few weeks. The Ravens are a bit nicked up on both sides of the ball but they face an opponent that's clearly thrown in the towel on the season as they enter this matchup sporting a 1-12 record. The Jaguars don't do much of anything well but in particular, they struggle against the run which is the Ravens' bread and butter. This should be a bit personal for the hosts as well as they were walloped in London the last time these teams faced each other and the Ravens' DL boasts two former Jaguars players who didn't leave on the best of terms. Hosts to win this one going away!
In the last round, Lausanne returned to winning ways with a 0-2 victory over Vaduz. That was the 2nd time in the last four games that Giorgio Contini’s team had beaten that opponent. Other than that today's host hasn’t beaten any other team in the last ten league matches, albeit they did draw the reverse game against Luzern with just 10 men from 23 minutes onwards. In our opinion, Luzern is better on the road than at home. During the week the Shiners could only play a 0-0 draw with FCZ, and more concerning is they couldn’t convert any of the 29 goal attempts in that game. With that said, the visitors have been creating opportunities, and not every goalkeeper will be keeping out the likes of Dejan Sorgic. We should also add Fabio Celestini’s team won three from the last five, and the only team to beat them during that stage was league leaders and reigning champions Young Boys! The Shiners playing away is enough for us!
Lazio has been very poor of late. Despite playing against 10 men for 51 minutes, the Eagles were very fortunate to win a final Champions League match against Club Brugge. In fact, that opponent came from a goal down to square the match, and in the 92nd minute, they hit the crossbar. If that final shot was a couple of centimeters lower, it would have meant Lazio were out of that competition! From what we have been watching Inzaghi’s men are lacking confidence. Back in the league Lazio have failed to beat newly-promoted Benevento, and that team had twice as many shots on target. And, prior to that, they had been beaten by Verona, and the result was a correct one! The hosts don’t have any real player issues, because only Silvio Proto and Senad Lulic are absent. Napoli should have never lost last week's game to Inter Milan (1-0), but a 71st-minute penalty and a red card were the nails in the coffin. Prior to that, the Partenopei had won three in succession, and they also qualified for the next round of the Europa league! The visitors do have a few player issues for this game, with one being the suspension of Insigne. Dries Martens was injured in that last match, so he will be out with Victor Osimhen and Elseid Hysaj. Despite those absentee’s we still expect the visitors to outplay a team struggling for consistency! Graham Potter preferred Robert Sanchez to Matt Ryan in goal, and he did make a couple of solid saves. We have no doubt that the 23-year-old Spaniard will be preferred again! With regards to other team news, Tariq Lamptey will be assessed ahead of today's game. According to the Seagull’s coach, he suffered a knock but he’s "recovering well”. Other than that Andone and Izquierdo are struggling with injuries. Despite playing well against Manchester United, Chris Wilder still saw his players lose again. We have to point out that both goalkeepers contributed to the high number of goals, but on the other hand they made a couple of good saves. On an upbeat note Wilder’s team moved the ball well, and at least McGoldrick scored a brace. Both Burke and Fleck looked lively, and expensive summer recruit Rhian Brewster impressed from the bench. That comment also applies to Lys Mousset, based on those performances both must be considerations for today! United are likely to be without midfielder Sander Berge after he picked up an early hamstring injury. Striker Oli McBurnie missed that game with a should injury, he could be ready for today but wouldn’t be guaranteed a start! Bryan and O’Connell are confirmed absentees! These odds look heavily weighted, and we are still expecting the visitors to come good at some stage. We will also bet Sheffield United to win this game at odds of around 6.00, but for the sake of a bet recommendation, let's go with the +0.5 at decent odds.
Premium pick - Brighton is 2-5-6 to date, and in the last round, they drew in Fulham. From what we watched, it was a balanced game and a fair result. The one thing that did stand out was both teams could have done better in front of the goal, so that part was disappointing. Graham Potter preferred Robert Sanchez to Matt Ryan in goal, and he did make a couple of solid saves. We have no doubt that the 23-year-old Spaniard will be preferred again! With regards to other team news, Tariq Lamptey will be assessed ahead of today's game. According to the Seagull’s coach, he suffered a knock but he’s "recovering well”. Other than that Andone and Izquierdo are struggling with injuries. Despite playing well against Manchester United, Chris Wilder still saw his players lose again. We have to point out that both goalkeepers contributed to the high number of goals, but on the other hand they made a couple of good saves. On an upbeat note Wilder’s team moved the ball well, and at least McGoldrick scored a brace. Both Burke and Fleck looked lively, and expensive summer recruit Rhian Brewster impressed from the bench. That comment also applies to Lys Mousset, based on those performances both must be considerations for today! United are likely to be without midfielder Sander Berge after he picked up an early hamstring injury. Striker Oli McBurnie missed that game with a should injury, he could be ready for today but wouldn’t be guaranteed a start! Bryan and O’Connell are confirmed absentees! These odds look heavily weighted, and we are still expecting the visitors to come good at some stage. We will also bet Sheffield United to win this game at odds of around 6.00, but for the sake of a bet recommendation, let's go with the +0.5 at decent odds.
MISS GEMSTONE had jumped stickily before dumping her jockey at Ludlow, she’s one I would want to take on! PRINCESS ROXY is consistent enough, but she was a beaten favorite last time out. I want to try a bit on lightly raced ACHY BREAKY HEART because she’s got the scope to do better over fences. Nice odds, and a good 3-pound claiming jockey reducing the 6-year-olds weight!
This is one of the tightest tracks in the country, and it only suits nippy types. One that is proven at Fakenham is two times bumper winner MARTELLO SKY, albeit she encountered moderate opponents in both those races. SATURN N SILK is rated 119, and she ran well in a potentially better race than this last time. This track should help her settle better, and Tom scud amore is good on such types!