Starting pitchers are Tyler Glasnow for the hosts and Alex Cobb for the visitors. Glasnow was recently acquired by the Rays from the Pirates in the Chris Archer trade and he made his first start for his new club against the Angels, throwing 3 innings allowing 1 run with 5 strikeouts to 1 walk. Glasnow was on a pitch limit but he is expected to be stretched into a starter so we expect a longer outing this time, especially with a bullpen day for the Rays tomorrow. Against the Angels, Glasnow showed his electric stuff that's garnered him a 11.75 K/9 strikeout rate this season. Glasnow's main issue has been his sky high walk rate of 5.34 but he gets a depleted Orioles team that isn't too disciplined to begin with and traded away most of their offensive stars in the past few weeks. On the other side, it's been a nightmare season for Alex Cobb but his xFIP is still within the realm of respectability at 4.55 compared to his 5.83 ERA. Cobb doesn't strike out too many batters but he does show good control and his problem with the long ball is mitigated by pitching in one of the more pitcher-friendly stadiums in the AL. In addition, Cobb has been victimized by a high BABIP this season at .332 comapred to a career mark of .294 and part of the blame lies on the poor defense but it bears mentioning that with the trades of Manny Machado and Jonathan Schoop, the Orioles' infield defense has improved with Renato Nunez and Jonathan Villar taking over 2 spots. The outfield defense is still poor but we see the infield defense as more important for Cobb who relies on a 50.0% groundball rate. Bullpens are poor for both sides but we believe the offenses don't present too much of a challenge either and we see both starters putting in quality efforts. We believe this total is a tick too high!

Starting pitchers are Madison Bumgarner for the hosts and Dallas Keuchel for the visitors. Madison Bumgarner continues to put up good numbers across the board as would be expected for a pitcher of his reputation but as we've said in the past, there is no denying that his fastball has lost velocity and has been very hittable in the last 2 seasons. Bumgarner's 2.97 ERA belies his pedestrian 4.32 xFIP and while the pitcher friendly venue can explain his low HR rate, his strikeout rate has declined at an alarming rate from 9.97 K/9 in 2016 to 8.19 K/9 in 2017 to 7.56 K/9 in 2018. In addition, Bumgarner's walk rate of 3.65 BB/9 is the highest of his career by quite a bit in comparison to 2.77 BB/9 in 2013 which was his previous highest. The Astros are still depleted with Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and now George Springer on the shelf but facing the southpaw Bumgarner should be to their advantage with their right handed heavy lineup. On the other side, Dallas Keuchel's strikeout rate is down as well but we believe this to be of lesser importance as Keuchel is more reliant on his sinker that generates one of the highest groundball rates in the league. The Giants struggle against southpaws and will likely be forced to sit some key players such as Brandon Crawford, Joe Panik and up and coming rookie Steven Duggar in favour of lesser players. The Giants have some quality in the back end of their bullpen but we would still rate the Astros' relievers a class above and with all things considered, this is a bargain price for the defending World Series champs in large part due to the injuries and the name recognition of the hosts' starter!

We only have two bets for todays tennis, rest of the matches look messy or no value. Here is one we sent out earlier to subscribers —————Head to heads are 1-1. Julia Goerges won their last meeting on clay, while Timea Babos won when they played indoor. We should also add that the Hungarian’s win came in her own country, and on her favourite playing surface. What happened to Babos at last weeks san Jose is a great question. By that we mean how could she beat Kristina Mladenovic in straight sets and then lose to Maria Sakkari 0-6 1-6. That scoreline is simply horrible and hard to understand. Julia Goerges played her last match in Moscow, and that too was a tad disappointing. Afterall, she had beaten Vikhlyantseva and Kuzmova in straight sets, before surprisingly losing to Olga Danilovic in two. Other than that Goerges, has been a much improved player over the past two years, and she’s now winning tournaments and ranked number ten. All in all, the German in straight sets!

Two from three winners yesterday, lets build on that! ———— It’s the lowest price of the three we have, but still plenty of value in this free PREMIUM bet———— Handicap my arse, this is a two horse race betaeen FEELING THE LOVE and DUE REWARD. The latter is an improver alright, but the h’capper has taken a real nibble in raising him 8 pounds for a ridden out win. In fact, on paper he’s got a bit to find with STORM RISING, and we don’t give that one much of a chance. Jessica Harrington’s FEELING THE LOVE is likely to make short work of being raised ten pounds. Afterall, he was a very easy winner last time out, and their is clearly a lot more left in the tank.

Starting pitchers are Dereck Rodriguez for the hosts and Charlie Morton for the visitors. Dereck Rodriguez didn't have much of a prospect profile (aside from being the son of legend Ivan "Pudge" Rodriguez) but he is garnering attention as he's began a promising rookie campaign at 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA after 10 starts. Rodriguez's xFIP is a bit higher at 4.17 largely due to a miniscule HR rate and HR/FB ratio but we believe pitching at AT&T has much to do with it and furthermore, he has shown a deep arsenal of quality secondary pitches. Rodriguez faces the defending World Series champions so it's by no means an easy task but there are a few things that work in his favour here in our opinion. First, the Astros just finished a high profile 3 game set in a World Series rematch against the Dodgers over the weekend so we believe it's possible their focus isn't quite all there tonight. Furthermore, the Astros are still missing Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and likely George Springer who is day-to-day after injuring his hand yesterday although x-rays were negative. On the other side, Charlie Morton has had a resurgence with the Astros as he's throwing harder than ever before but Morton has been noticeably worse away from home with an xFIP of 3.66 compared to 2.76 at Minute Maid Park. The Astros also own the advantage in the bullpen but we believe the Giants have enough quality in the backend of theirs to make this game much closer to even. We believe 2 bets are in order for this game!

Starting pitchers are Dereck Rodriguez for the hosts and Charlie Morton for the visitors. Dereck Rodriguez didn't have much of a prospect profile (aside from being the son of legend Ivan "Pudge" Rodriguez) but he is garnering attention as he's began a promising rookie campaign at 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA after 10 starts. Rodriguez's xFIP is a bit higher at 4.17 largely due to a miniscule HR rate and HR/FB ratio but we believe pitching at AT&T has much to do with it and furthermore, he has shown a deep arsenal of quality secondary pitches. Rodriguez faces the defending World Series champions so it's by no means an easy task but there are a few things that work in his favour here in our opinion. First, the Astros just finished a high profile 3 game set in a World Series rematch against the Dodgers over the weekend so we believe it's possible their focus isn't quite all there tonight. Furthermore, the Astros are still missing Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and likely George Springer who is day-to-day after injuring his hand yesterday although x-rays were negative. On the other side, Charlie Morton has had a resurgence with the Astros as he's throwing harder than ever before but Morton has been noticeably worse away from home with an xFIP of 3.66 compared to 2.76 at Minute Maid Park. The Astros also own the advantage in the bullpen but we believe the Giants have enough quality in the backend of theirs to make this game much closer to even. We believe 2 bets are in order for this game!

Starting pitchers are Noah Syndergaard for the hosts and Homer Bailey for the visitors. Noah Syndergaard is well on his way to another terrific season for the Mets as he enters this game at 6-2 with a 2.98 ERA. Nevertheless, the knock against Syndergaard has always been his health and durability being one of the hardest throwers in the game and he has averaged under 6 IP per start this season. We believe this is a significant factor given the dreadful Mets bullpen and after all, the Reds aren't pushovers at the plate either with a wOBA of .320, 11th highest mark in the league and 4th highest among NL teams. On the other side, Homer Bailey is coming off back to back quality starts since returning from injury albeit without a win to show for it, and even threw a complete game (8 innings) against the Tigers, allowing 2 runs on 3 hits last time out in a losing effort. However, Bailey has thrown a combined 226 pitches over these last 2 efforts so fatigue could be an issue and it bears mentioning that his hard contact rate hasn't been too encouraging despite excellent surface numbers. Still, Bailey does face a dreadful Mets offense so we believe the visitors should be bet at anything 2.45 and above! Regarding bullpens, both rank near the bottom of the league but we would say the Reds' relievers are marginally better and have had well-defined roles throughout the season whereas the Mets traded away their closer, recently placed their new closer Anthony Swarzak on the DL, and have had a lot of reshuffling in the back end of their bullpen with former starters. We like 2 bets for this game!

Starting pitchers are Noah Syndergaard for the hosts and Homer Bailey for the visitors. Noah Syndergaard is well on his way to another terrific season for the Mets as he enters this game at 6-2 with a 2.98 ERA. Nevertheless, the knock against Syndergaard has always been his health and durability being one of the hardest throwers in the game and he has averaged under 6 IP per start this season. We believe this is a significant factor given the dreadful Mets bullpen and after all, the Reds aren't pushovers at the plate either with a wOBA of .320, 11th highest mark in the league and 4th highest among NL teams. On the other side, Homer Bailey is coming off back to back quality starts since returning from injury albeit without a win to show for it, and even threw a complete game (8 innings) against the Tigers, allowing 2 runs on 3 hits last time out in a losing effort. However, Bailey has thrown a combined 226 pitches over these last 2 efforts so fatigue could be an issue and it bears mentioning that his hard contact rate hasn't been too encouraging despite excellent surface numbers. Still, Bailey does face a dreadful Mets offense so we believe the visitors should be bet at anything 2.45 and above! Regarding bullpens, both rank near the bottom of the league but we would say the Reds' relievers are marginally better and have had well-defined roles throughout the season whereas the Mets traded away their closer, recently placed their new closer Anthony Swarzak on the DL, and have had a lot of reshuffling in the back end of their bullpen with former starters. We like 2 bets for this game!

We have some great bets today - here is one for free ——— Following a disappointing 2017/18 season, Anderlecht have been forced into acquiring new players. From what we see, the hosts acquired ten players for hard cash. While six went the other way, a deficit of around €10 million suggests the Purple/White mean business. Whichever way you look at it, Hein Vanhaezebrouck looks to have the strongest squad in this seasons Jupiler, and winning last weeks match in Kortjik was a great way to start the campaign. We expected better of Oostende in the season opener. And, while they did eventually win that match against Mouscron, the fact is they needed their opponents to be reduced to ten men before getting the winner. We expect Anderlecht to rule the roost here, and giving just a single goal away isn’t a big deal!

If you are betting in Montreal qualifications, watch out for withdrawals effecting the way higher seeds play ————— We have always believed Maria Sakkari had the right type of game to scale the heights, but overall the 23 year old has tended to disappoint. With that said, Maria has taken some decent scalps on hard court, and the way she saw off McHale, Babos and Venus Williams this week was might impressive. And, while we are slightly concerned by her dropping the first set to Danielle Collins in her last match, she was at least well on top at the end. We really believed Mihaela Buzarnescu was beginning to struggle. However, this week the 30 year old proved that all to be wrong with wins over Vickery, Anisimova, Tomljanovic and Mertens. However, she did need to go the distance to beat three of those opponents, and if we are being analytical Sakkari has achieved more. Our only slight reservation here is whether Sakkari has the bottle to win a final. Nevertheless, we would make her slight fav here, thus we have to bet at these odds.

If you want what we consider to be a very safe bet, here you have it. Odds are not great, but to be fair they are still decent value ————— No reason to take on the well treated SUB LIEUTENANT. Henry De Bromhead’s nine year old receives weight from inferior rated runners, and he ran really well over CD just 4 days back. In fact, that 11.5 length fifth in a h’cap was a solid comeback, and he wasn’t given an hard race. Lets not worry about the others, the challenge is simply repeating that form!

Starting pitchers are Wade Miley for the hosts and Jon Gray for the vistors. It appears much of the bad luck Jon Gray suffered early in the season has started to even out for him since being promoted back to the majors in mid-July. In his last 3 starts, Gray has thrown 21.2 innings and allowed just 4 ER on 10 hits and aside from a very slight issue with control, Gray has looked outstanding with a 17/5 K/BB ratio during that span. Gray's BABIP still stands at a high .345 and we believe this should continue to go down and Gray has been remarkable limiting home runs all season with a HR rate of 0.95 HR/9 despite pitching half of his games at elevation. On the other side, Wade Miley currently has a 0.00 HR/9 rate but this is due to the fact that Miley has started just 6 games on the season and while his 1.53 ERA looks pretty, his xFIP of 4.82 tells a completely different story and one that's reminiscent of Miley's 2017 and 2016 campaigns. Needless to say, we're much bigger believers in Gray's home run suppression abilites than Miley's which is key in a ballpark like Miller Park with elevated home runs. The Brewers have a few dangerous left handed bats in the lineup but Gray has actually been more effective against lefties this year with a 2.94/3.00 L/R xFIP split and an even more extreme 3.15/3.65 split on the road. As for Miley, the southpaw will have to contend with a dangerous Rockies lineup that favours hitting against lefties over righties. The hosts do have the advantage in the bullpen but with Gray's starts since being re-promoted averaging a shade over 7 innings and with the Rockies' relievers pitching much better overall, we agree with the early market making the visitors the favourite and in fact, we would make this one a MAX BET!