We have six racing bets today, here is one of them for free ————Does an Irish hurdle h’cap mark of 87 really mean 100 in the UK?. looks a bit high for me, and that’s why we won’t have AYELYA. Not buying into KIRUNA PARK going up in the weights, and DARLYN doesn’t look very well treated. Go with this seasons leading jockey Harry Skelton and the family trained PRETTY RECKLESS. The mare is ten pounds lower over hurdles and conditions look ideal today!
Starting pitchers are Kyle Freeland for the hosts and Sean Manaea for the visitors. Kyle Freeland has been a nice surprise for the Rockies as he enters this game with an 8-6 record and 3.28 ERA over 20 starts. Nevertheless, his 4.36 xFIP tells a different story and Freeland hasn't had the same success pitching at home as last season. Of chief concern is Freeland's lower groundball rate and elevated fly ball rate which doesn't bode well at elevation nor against an Athletics team that can hit for power and looks to put the ball in the air. On the other side, Sean Manaea is a similar story as he enters this game with a 3.38 ERA but a noticeably higher xFIP at 4.27. Manaea too faces a dangerous Rockies lineup that hits southpaws extremely well at home and Manaea's fly ball rate and hard contact rate are not too encouraging given the situation. Bullpens are mediocre at best for both sides and while the Rockies' relievers have pitched better of late and while the Athletics' recent acquisition of Jeurys Familia has bolstered their backend with a terrific 1-2-3 combo of Trivino, Familia and Treinen, we see both starters struggling early and requiring the poor middle relief for both sides forced into action. We see plenty of fireworks for both sides!
Starting pitchers are Ivan Nova for the hosts and Jason Vargas for the visitors. Jason Vargas is making his 1st start since missing a month with a strained calf and while his 8.60 ERA on the season is anything but encouraging, Vargas hasn't had the best of luck with batted balls (.367 BABIP) nor home runs (21.2% HR/FB ratio) and we are cautiously optimistic we see the better side of him after 2 terrific minor league rehab starts. Despite yesterday's scoring fest, PNC Park is still a ballpark that favours pitchers and it's fly ball pitchers like Vargas that benefit the most. On the other side, Ivan Nova should do much better than Nick Kingham yesterday as the veteran Nova has thrived pitching in his home ballpark and his command and control are his strengths which is what Kingham struggled with yesterday. Despite the 12 run outburst from the Mets, they are still one of the worst hitting teams in the league and we see a much different story against Nova. The Mets bullpen is among the worst in the league but we believe they and Vargas can do enough here against a Pirates lineup that's noticeably weaker against southpaws.
We have four bets lined up for today, and with the leagues returning plenty for the weekend. If you want to join our football service the price is €250 per month (Paypal only) for around 120-160 tips/previews! email@example.com ———— Cska Sofia haven’t won the Bulgarian league title for eleven years, but they did at least get within three points of last seasons champion Ludogorets. Pre season friendlies suggested Nestor El Maestro’s side were good to go, albeit they really struggled past first round opponent Riga. In fact, tonights host could only win the home leg 1-0, and they actually lost the reverse game by the same score. However, penalties got them through, so they will need to do better going forwards! On a more positive note, The Reds won their opening league match of the campaign, and there new coach (British citizen) has only been in the job 26 days. Todays opponents are Austrian team Admira Wacker, a club that could only finish a distant fifth in last seasons league table. From what we see, the visitors haven’t invested any money in new players during the summer. On that note we are not surprised, because they appear to be surviving on the bare minimum. We should also add that Admira have one of the youngest squads in Europe (22.3 years average), and they lost their last two pre season friendlies. Furthermore, they even lost their most recent Austrian cup game to a regional side Neusiedl, and to put that into perspective their odds where just 1.25. For us CSKA should be much shorter in the betting!
We don’t have much time for adding freebies today - but you can have this racing pick ———POINT OF WOODS escapes a five pound rise in the weights. The same jockey who won on him last time can take 7 pounds off today, that compares to 3 she claimed last time. The race should be run to suit, and stepping up in trip will suit even more. Granted luck in running Tina Jackson’s gelding should be very tough to stop.
Starting pitchers are Bartolo Colon for the hosts and Trevor Cahill for the visitors. The ageless Bartolo Colon enters this game on the backs of 3 straight losses and a dismal 4.85 ERA but there are still some positives in his 22nd season in the majors. Colon has still managed to keep the walks to a minimum and has been relatively durable, averaging a shade under 6 innings per start. Colon has faced the A's twice this season already and has put up respectable numbers, allowing 3 runs over 11 innings combined though his K/BB ratio of 5/3 isn't ideal. Nevertheless, we believe Colon matches up well against an A's team that prefers to see heat and pitches without as much movement as Colon's. On the other side, Trevor Cahill is making his 3rd start since coming off the DL and despite a near quality outing last time out against the Giants, we're not convinced of his health and at the very least, don't believe he can last too deep into the game, even disregarding the sweltering heat in the forecast again, which paradoxically, hasn't bothered the heavyset Colon in the past. Cahill also gets a tough matchup against a left handed heavy Rangers lineup of which he has poor splits against throughout his career. Bullpens are still in favour of the visitors, and not solely based on this series as the Rangers relievers have completely let them down, blowing the game again last night with 2 runs in the 9th to follow up their meltdown on Tuesday allowing the A's to come back after leading 10-2 going into the 7th inning (much to our displeasure). Perhaps the Rangers aren't meant to win a game this series but nevertheless, we see enough of an edge in the early game to justify taking them at these odds.
Starting pitchers are Nick Kingham for the hosts and Steven Matz for the visitors. Nick Kingham began his professional career flirting with a perfect game and despite a few rough patches, has shown more or less that he belongs in the majors. Kingham has all the tools to succeed with a live fastball and a deep arsenal of pitches and it's thus far translated into a respectable 4.11 ERA and 4.05 xFIP. Kingham's only major issue has been the long ball as he enters this game with a HR/9 of 1.74 but this should be mitigated by the fact that he faces the Mets, a team ravaged by injuries and one of the poorest hitting teams in the league with the 7th fewest home runs hit of 30 teams. On the other side, Steven Matz has had an up and down season but he faces a Pirates team that doesn't have the ideal lineup against a southpaw as they're forced to rest their clean up man Colin Moran along with 2/3 of their starting outfield in all likelihood. Matz had one of his best starts of the season earlier in the season against these same Pirates and the change in venue shouldn't bother him too much as PNC Park plays well to pitchers. On that note, this will obviously benefit Kingham as well as it's not an ideal park for home runs and this is already evident in Kingham's favourable home and away splits in relation to his home run rate, HR/FB ratio and overall xFIP. The Mets bullpen is a bit of an issue but we see Matz and Kingham both doing well against 2 relatively anemic offenses. The Pirates recently played a very good series against the Indians and we believe there could be a bit of a letdown hosting the dreadful Mets and after getting shut down by Trevor Bauer yesterday. All things considered, this total looks a tick too high!
Its a very poor race, but appears to be just between three runners - Take this one for free ———According to official ratings GO ANNIE GO has a bit to find. However, she needs respecting after winning last time, albeit at 7/4 she’s worth punting against. BANDOLA would have a good chance at his best, but she’s not been running well in recent races. Lets go with SMASHING LASS, with our main argument being she should be suited by the extra furlong. Last time out’s effort would give her a leading chance on the book, and at least the trainer has his horses in good knick.
We have six tennis bets for today, and this is the one we are giving for free. If you would like all our info, then you need to sign up and join our paid service - For firstname.lastname@example.org …………… Fortunately our bet came in on Sabine Lisicki against Shuai Zhang, because she only lost by four games. However, following a close first set (6-7) and 3-0 lead for Lisicki in the second, the German girl died a death and Zhang took over. All the same, we thought the Chinese girl struggled while her opponents energy was still functioning, and in our opinion the wild card is certainly beatable. Margarita Gasparyan looked like she was going to be a big player, but some tough injuries meant she never went on. Nevertheless, she is a decent 14/6 on the year, and in may she made the final of Les Franqueses. An easy win in the first round suggests the Russian could have a big chance if she doesn’t feel any recurrence of her injury. If Gasparyan does start having trouble she’s likely to retire, thus we go with an headstart and have a little insurance on the side.
Starting pitchers are Danny Duffy for the hosts and Matt Boyd for the visitors. As well as Matt Boyd did filling in for injured Jordan Zimmermann and Francisco Liriano, there is a reason that he has been a bullpen arm for much of his career. Boyd just can't consistently get out right handers and as is usual for relievers, suffers terribly once the lineup turns over. Boyd surprised many with terrific numbers early in the season but we've begun to see regression hit as he's really struggled the last month and enters this game with a fairly pedestrian 4.62 ERA and an xFIP showing no improvement at 4.75. Much of this was due to batted ball luck as he carried a low BABIP for much of the season and we've seen it steadily increase but at .261, we still believe there's room for negative regression. The Royals are the worst hitting team in the league along with the Orioles depending on the metric but one thing they do well is make contact and put the ball into play as it has essentially become their organizational philosophy. The Royals are also 5th best in the league in making hard contact at 37.7% and we believe this presents a good opportunity against Boyd who has seen his hard contact rate rise along with his other numbers. On the other side, Danny Duffy has been in blistering form for the Royals with just 1 run allowed in his last 3 starts over 20 innings of work. While this is still impressive, Duffy has benefited from an extremely low BABIP during that span and has still shown some control issues with 8 walks though he has balanced it out with good strikeout numbers as well. Still, the Tigers are very much night and day when it comes to the handedness of the pitcher as while they're among the worst against right handers, they actually have the 13th best wRC+ against southpaws and have hit Duffy extremely well in the past, with 4 runs or more scored against him in 4 out of the last 5 matchups. Bullpens for both sides have by and large pitched well in this series but they still rank among the worst in the league for both sides and we believe it's a much different story when pressed into action early as we foresee here tonight. We were surprised to see 8.5 here as we expected at least 9!
Here is one from our two PREMIUM BETS for this evening --------We are not going to add much football for free this season. The reason for that is it costs us money to gather all information, pay for tools and build sports modelling programs. The alternative is to pay like we do, albeit your share for football is just €300 per month. To become members drop us a line at email@example.com ——— It’s never ideal starting your Champions league campaign out of season, and that’s what PAOK will have to do this evening. Still, that’s nothing new for the Greek Super league runners-up, and it wasn’t a problem last season when they sent Olimpik Donetsk packing from the Europa league. Traditionally speaking, Greek clubs are very difficult to beat at home. That comment also applies to when they play league matches, and on that note the hosts ended last season with a impressive 13-0-2. We should also add that while Greece is bankrupt, their football clubs still manage to bring in the right players. And, on that note, 19 year old Brazilian Leo Jaba is a very exciting acquisition. We can’t begin to tell you how bad Basle were at the weekend. Bare in mind that this club have been the champions for 8 of the last 9 years. However, they lost an eight season championship run during the last campaign, and at the weekend they sank to a new low in losing 1-2 to St Gallen. Furthermore, the only goal Basle scored was a gift from there opponents (own goal), and they only created half the shots on goals. Football isn’t always straightforward, but this match should be!
This is the latest starting WTA Premium bet that we have, thus this is the FREE PREMIUM bet. If you want to get the other six, our WTA service is just €125 per month- firstname.lastname@example.org ———— If we are looking at it analytically, Viktoria Kuzmova is not at the same level has Julia Goerges. While the 20 year old is 45/18 on the year, you can’t really suggest their are big players amongst those defeated. Furthermore, the tournaments she won were ITF, and that includes the recent win in Budapest. Julia Goerges ticks all the right boxes, and she comes here having made the semi final at Wimbledon. We believe the 29 year olds rank of 10 fits well, and she seems to like it in Moscow. Afterall, she won last years indoor here, and we could also add clay isn’t off putting. Sorry but prefer -3 to -3.5, it’s a strong number.