This is our shortest odds racing bets today - but who cares if it wins like we expect ————It’s weird that this novice hurdle is framed like a h’cap. Nevertheless, one stands out from the crowd and that’s LORD ESKINE. While the Roger’s gelding took a while to get his act together over hurdles, he’s certainly done that now. Afterall, he’s won back to back, and more than that he’s been really impressing. According to his flat rating he’s got the potential to be much better than his current mark, and we are very happy to have Rachael Blackmore on our side.
Starting pitchers are Burch Smith for the hosts and Jordan Zimmermann for the visitors. Jordan Zimmermann appears to revived his career as he enters this game with more than respectable numbers at 4-1 and a 3.71 ERA. However, beyond the surface stats, Zimmermann's strikeout numbers of 8.71 K/9 is impressive given that it's the highest it's been since his rookie season and he has done extremely well to limit the wlaks as well at 1.57 BB/9. Zimmermann had a poor outing last time out against the Rays but had given up just 5 ER over his last 6 starts prior to that over 37 innings of work with an excellent 34/5 K/BB ratio during that span. Zimmermann gets a relatively easy assignment against one of the worst hitting teams in the league in the Royals that despite winning 3 in a row against the Twins over the weekend, are still dreadful at the plate since June with a collective BA under .200 and OBP under .300. On the other side, Burch Smith gets the start in principle but this is simply another bullpen day for the Royals so Smith isn't expected to last more than a few innings. The Royals' bullpen is the league's worst staff but they do get to face a Tigers team that's the worst in the league against right handed pitching. The Royals will likely look to send out as many serviceably right handers as possible to exploit this matchup and we believe they can do enough here on this rather high total. The Tigers' bullpen is about as bad as the Royals' but we believe Zimmermann and the poor hitting from both sides is enough to keep this under!
Starting pitchers are Mike Minor for the hosts and Frankie Montas for the visitors. Mike Minor was roughed up in his last start against the Orioles but he has been in much better form of late with 3 or fewer ER allowed in 6 consecutive starts prior to that. Minor gets a red hot Athletics team that's won 24 of its last 30 games and put up 15 runs yesterday but we believe Minor is better equipped to deal with them than Hamels was yesterday with his deep pitch repertoire and a fastball that's at its fastest it's been all season. On the other side, Frankie Montas is one of the hardest throwers in the league but his poor strikeout numbers are a testament to his lack of movement on his fastball and this is simply not a good matchup against this Rangers team. We give the edge to the bullpen to the visitors but see enough of an advantage in the starters that we have to take the hosts at anything above 1.9!
Starting pitchers are Aaron Nola for the hosts and Kenta Maeda for the visitors. Aaron Nola is enjoying a breakout season as he enters this game at 12-3 with a 2.30 ERA and fresh off his first All-Star appearance of his career. Nola is in fine form with just 6 runs allowed over his last 5 starts over 33.2 innings of work but faces a Dodgers team that's 3rd in the league in wRC+ against right handers at 111. Nola shut down the Dodgers for just 1 run on 2 hits over 7 innings back in late May but we feel this is a different Dodgers team that's hitting much better of late with some new faces in the lineup that Nola didn't see the first time around such as Max Muncy and Manny Machado. On the other side, Kenta Maeda is enjoying a breakout season of sorts as well as he enters this game with a 3.12 ERA and has upped his strikeout numbers immensely this year. However, Maeda hasn't shown to be very durable, rarely lasting past the 6th inning and has shown control issues as well, which doesn't match up too well against a very patient Phillies team. We don't have too much faith in either bullpen and with a park that tends to favour hitters, we feel this total is a bit on the low side!
Starting pitchers are Wei-Yin Chen for the hosts and Julio Teheran for the visitors. Wei-Yin Chen has done well to recover from a disastrous start to the season and despite a still bloated 5.75 ERA, Chen has found some form of late, allowing just 1 run in 3 of his last 4 starts. This is largely due to Chen's newfound velocity that's gone up a tick, averaging 92-93 mph on his fastball up from the low 90's early in the season. Despite a very good hitting Braves team, we see this as a decent matchup for the Chinese national pitching at home against a left handed heavy lineup. On the other side, Julio Teheran should benefit from the pitcher's park as well being a fly ball pitcher and the spacious dimensions of the ballpark should be ideal for him. Bullpens are the issue as is usually the case for these teams but we feel there's enough of an edge in the starting pitching to go with the under!
BET IS VOID DUE TO GAME BEING CALLED EARLY. HOPEFULLY SOME WERE BRAVE ENOUGH TO BET THE PIRATES OUTRIGHT! Starting pitchers are Corey Kluber for the hosts and Trevor Williams for the visitors. These two pitchers are on opposite ends of the spectrum as Williams despite his respectable looking 4.36 ERA is actually one of the worst pitchers in the league by the SIERA metric. Kluber, of course, is the 2 time Cy Young Award winner and his 3.18 SIERA is the 9th best in the league. However, there are some factors in play that favour the visitors in our opinion at least at these odds as the Pirates have won nine in a row and 11 of their last 12, coming off a 3 game sweep of division rival Reds over the weekend. The Indians have won 3 of their last 4 but dropped their game yesterday against Yovani Gallardo and the Rangers and struggled to win the 1st game of the series, needing 11 innings to win 9-8. The Indians are still very much talented but we've found them to be highly inconsistent and underperformed overall this year. In particular, their normally reliable bullpen has been horrid at times and mediocre at best as far as the season long numbers are concerned. We're tempted to go with the visitors outright but we believe there will be enough runs for both sides to go with the safer over in this case. Progressive Field is known to favour left handed hitters and both sides have no shortage of good hitting lefties with the Indians sporting just 2 right handed batters in the lineup yesterday. There is some rain in the forecast and while it should clear up by game time, we don't believe these humid conditions are ideal for Kluber who has had some issues with the long ball. Williams actually has a lower HR rate than Kluber this season but he has been dreadful against lefties and we believe he will certainly have his work cut out for him. We would say the Pirates bullpen is a bit more reliable right now but all things considered, these are fine odds at 8.5
To be fair, Viktoria Tomova hasn’t done anything wrong. Her three recent defeats to Serena Williams, Ekaterina Alexandrova and Irina Maria Bara were all to be expected. We should also add that the Bulgarian made it through three rounds of qualifiers at Wimbledon, and followed up with a first round win over Smitkova. The 23 year old wins her fair share on clay, so seventeen year old opponent Anastasia Potopova will need to be on the money. With that said, the young Russian is a real exciting player, and we should forgive her recent defeat by Di Giuseppe. Afterall, that came a few days after playing the final of Rome, and she probably wanted to be ready for this tournament. Go with the youth!
WE got a push (void) on our early bet, so we are going to give another freebie. Don’t forget you can sign up to our full package for Moscow and Nanchang for just €25 (full week) - Tomorrows bets will be going out later today firstname.lastname@example.org ———Still not buying into Anastasija Sevastova being at her best, especially since their was something wrong with her retiring opponent Polona Hercog in yesterdays match. Losing sets to Cirstea and Jakupovic support our theory that Sevastova has diddled her way into the final. Petra Martic didn’t impress us in her win against Claire Lui, and it was more a case of a digging deep against Lara Siegemund. However, her last round win over the very much improved Mihaela Buzarnescu was compelling, and a similar performance here could suffice. Go with Martic to build on her 1-0 head to head.
Picking out a Free Premium bet is not easy, and it’s probably our nature to take the big match. However, the biggest is not always the best, and it’s that which cost Free followers Xamax yesterday. For those wanting consistent profits, why not take advantage of our Football/tennis package up to 12 August (3 weeks for just £60 or €69) - Normal price would be around €300 and this offer won’t be repeated after 16:00 today - email@example.com ———— While it wasn’t the case last season, Thun are well known for being strong at home and taking most of their points at the Stockhorn arena. It will be interesting to see what Marc Schneider’s team do this season, but we are not expecting that much. The reason we say that is lack of ambitious signings, and a squad with just one national player. Unless players such has Marvin Spielmann and Matteo Tosetti can up their game, Thun could be one of the struggles. FC Zurich spent a season in the second league, and it appears to have done them good. Afterall, they came back into the top category last season and ended the campaign fourth. The club have been investing in new players, and we don’t believe recent friendly results should be taken so serious. With players such has Kevin Rüegg, Michael Frey, Benjamin Kololli, Raphael Dwamena and Hekuran Kryeziu this team should be ultra competitive. Zurich won four of their five meetings with thin last season, and they should be even better now!
JUST ONE PLACE OPEN - ONE WEEK RACING TIPS FOR €30 - WE DON’T OFFER THIS SURFACE VERY OFTEN, BUT IF YOU WANT IN FOR A FULL WEEK FOR JUST €30 DO IT NOW - WE HAVE FIVE BETS FOR TODAY AND THIS IS ONE OF THEM FOR FREE ——— TO JOIN ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM ————. I don’t know about the horses needing blinkers, but i’ll need some to watch a race like this. With that said, our biggest profits come from novice chasers and that’s what it says in the title. If JAMIE SOMMERS was a human female you would call her a bitch, because she’s a professional loser who costs followers money. If she wins it will be most likely by default. MRS LOVETT ran well enough on her Irish debut, and she has decent figures in her native France. She’s one consideration, but we are with COTTON JENNY. Her form of splitting ORNUA and ROCONGA is a standout. Forget her last run, the ground was horrible and she didn’t move on it!
TENNIS OFFER (WTA) - We will give you all our betting tips for Moscow and Nanchang next week for just €25 - Do it now has we send out first round later today firstname.lastname@example.org ————. If you are Both girls done themselves proud to make the final. Alize Cornet has looked solid all week, although has she’s stepped up in grade the results have become tighter. If Cornet wins this match it will be the first trophy since January 2016, albeit to be fair she tends to keep better company than her opponent. Mandy Minella was never a big time player, and her highest rank ever was 66. Starting the week ranked just 226 suggests she wasn’t going to have much chance here, but wins against Martincova, Larsson, Sorribes Tormo and Vondrousova have all been impressive. In fact, we would even suggest that she’s stepped it up match to match, and the same again will give her a good chance here. The other thing that stands out with Minella is she’s won three tournaments this year, and she’s won her last six finals. While this one is stepping up in grade, we can’t imagine nerves being an issue. Lets go with Minella getting a start. Will add pinnacle odds later when they appear!
Interesting to see Saeed bin Suroor return TOP SCORE to handicap class. To elevate the burden of carrying top weight, the trainer has wisely booked 5 pound claimer Jason Watson. We see that has one positive, while the other is stepping back up to seven furlongs. If the pace is a reasonable one (and it should be with LAKE VOLTA in the field), we believe the son of Hard Spun will mow them down in the last furlong. Fast ground and the track are other ticks in the right box.