We have just two tennis bets for tonight - Here is one for free————Ashleigh Barty beat Alize Cornet in yesterdays match, but she didn’t cover the h’cap and nor did she impress. Yes Barty has improved a little from match to match, but her form doesn’t compare to that of Kiki Bertens. Afterall the Dutch girl defied the odds to beat both Karolina Pliskova and Petra Kvitova in straight sets, and she never let either of those players off the hook. Furthermore, we have to recognise that both those players are top ten players, and they have been ranked at a lofty one + two in the past. We’ve been with Bertens all week, so why stop now!!
Starting pitchers are Jordan Zimmermann for the hosts and Ervin Santana for the visitors. Fair play to Jordan Zimmermann for resurrecting his career when he appeared finished last season but the 32 year old appears to be running out of steam as he's lost 3 straight since returning from the DL with 11 runs allowed over 14.1 IP. Zimmermann did fare better last time out against the A's in a losing effort as he held the powerful Oakland offense to just 2 runs in 6.1 IP but he has been prone to the long ball of late, allowing 6 home runs over his last 3 starts and 9 home runs over his last 5 starts going back to before he hit the DL. The Twins have lost some pop as they were sellers at the trade deadline but they still have some hitters and can stack their lineup with left handed bats which Zimmermann has struggled against at home with a 4.75 xFIP in that situation. On the other side, Ervin Santana has been anything but convincing since returning from his long layoff and his last start against the Royals was particularly troubling as he struggled to hit 90 on the gun and labored through 4.1 innings allowing 3 runs on 7 hits against a dreadful hitting Royals team. The Tigers are as dreadful if not moreso than the Royals against right handers but we're of the belief that the 35 year old simply doesn't have it anymore and is a ticking time bomb at this point. The Twins despite trading away some of their relievers still have a good enough bullpen but it's the Tigers' relievers that rank among the worst in the league and in any case we see both starters struggling early. Runs for both sides!
Starting pitchers are Marco Estrada for the hosts and Blake Snell for the visitors. We have to give some credit to Marco Estrada for turning around what appeared to be a lost season and while we still believe he doesn't belong on a major league roster, he does get a somewhat favourable matchup tonight. Being a fly ball pitcher, Estrada has been extremely prone to the long ball at this stage of his career as his HR/9 of 1.43 is the 24th highest mark in the league among qualified pitchers and would be even higher if not for a modest 9.2% HR/FB ratio. Nevertheless, Estrada has found the formula for pitching at home where his xFIP is significantly lower than on the road and against left handed batters at home, it's a reasonable 4.32. This is crucial against a left handed heavy Rays lineup that's also been gutted since midseason as the Rays traded away their top talents. On the other side, the Rays send out their ace Blake Snell and while his home and away splits are nearly the same, he is significantly worse against right handed batters which the Blue Jays will likely have from 1-9 in their lineup tonight. Snell is also more of a groundball pitcher which isn't ideal on turf especially with a mediocre defense behind him. We would rate the bullpens about even but the Jays' offense a bit better and with home field advantage, we don't believe they should be outsiders even with the difference in starting pitching!
We sent out four PREMIUM FOOTBALL bets today, and this is one of them. Why not make this bet to gain some cash and join our PREMIUM service for a full month. Then you can really cash-in on our football syndicate bets ——— email@example.com ———— Just 450Km separate between these two clubs, so travelling isn’t going to be an issue. Hapoel Beer Sheeva won last seasons domestic campaign for the third year in succession. However, the Israeli club were knocked out of the Champions league qualifications by Dinamo Zagreb, and one of those games ended in a 5-0 defeat. We could also add that the hosts lost the recent Super cup, and they might have their backs up against the wall against a useful APOEL. The visitors won their own league for the past six seasons, and they are by far the most successful team to come out of Cyrpus. Like their opponents Apoel have already been knocked out of the Champions league, but since then they have beaten Flora to progress in this competition. If we go back to the last campaign APOEL made it into the group stages of the Champions league, and they even managed to draw in Dortmund. Visitors look to have the same quality of players has last term, that should be enough to get something here.
Have this one on us———— Big hitting Petra Kvitova got the better of Anett Kontaveit in straight sets, albeit it was a closer match than the result implied. What we can say is the 28 year old is 39/9 on the season, and she’s already won five tournaments in 2018. However, that doesn’t mean the 1.83M Petra is invincible, and she is likely to have a match on her hands against the very decent Kiki Bertens. While it’s fair to point out that Kvitova leads head to heads 2-0, the one this year (Madrid) ended in a very close 7-6 4-6 6-3. Furthermore, the Dutch girl has looked super sharp this week, and she absolutely thrashed former number one Karolina Pliskova in her last match. Lets take Kiki with a start!
Have this one on us - You won’t get a free racing tip everyday. If you are serious about betting we can offer two more places at 100 per month — firstname.lastname@example.org ————Trainers are clearly not happy with the road like ground at Yarmouth, so hopefully their will be no withdrawals here. CAPTAIN SEDGEWICK won such a poor race that he can’t be taken seriously. KING OSWALD is running consistently well, but he really is limited in ability. Despite not being anything special, it’s got to be lightly raced OAKLEY MIMOSA. It really comes down to this being a crap race, and she’s got a bit of scope.
Starting pitchers are Andrew Suarez for the hosts and Ivan Nova for the visitors. Andrew Suarez is going through a rough stretch as he's allowed 19 ER in his last 4 starts over 21.2 innings of work. Nevertheless, Suarez's 3.55 xFIP belies his 4.60 ERA as he's been victimized by a high .324 BABIP and 17.0% HR/FB ratio. It's no surprise that Suarez's home numbers are better than his road numbers given AT&T Park being one of the more pitcher-friendly venues in baseball and his HR/FB ratio is significantly lower as well at 7.1% compared to 18.9% on the road. Consequently, his HR/9 is a more reasonable 1.16 HR/9 and he faces a Pirates team that doesn't really hit for much power anyway and field a worse lineup against southpaws as more than a few key players such as Corey Dickerson and Colin Moran hit from the left side. Ivan Nova hasn't been in the best of form either with 10 runs allowed over his last 3 starts in 15.2 innings of work but he too should benefit from the pitcher-friendly venue given his ugly looking 1.52 HR/9 mark on the year. Nova still has shown good control, allowing just 1.90 BB/9 and he faces a Giants lineup that's mired in a slump with just 11 runs scored over their last 5 games. Bullpens are more than adequate for both sides and we believe both starters should put in quality efforts as well. We believe 8 is a tick too high!
Starting pitchers are Corey Kluber for the hosts and Jose Berrios for the visitors. Jose Berrios is having a fine season for the Twins as he enters this game with an 11-8 record and 3.51 ERA. Berrios' xFIP isn't much worse at 3.74 but one area he has struggled is pitching away from home where his xFIP balloons to 4.66 and if we look at his xFIP against left handed batters on the road, it's an even worse 5.26. This is rather significant against the Indians who should be able to have at least 6 left handed or switch hitters in the lineup and in a ballpark that favours them as well. On the other side, Corey Kluber is having another Cy Young calibre season but we believe the humid weather conditions aren't ideal for him and he too will have to face a left handed heavy Twins lineup though his platoon splits aren't nearly as bad as Berrios'. The Twins bullpen is still one of the best in the AL but that hasn't been the case in recent weeks and the Indians' relievers despite getting some reinforcements in Brad Hand and Adam Cimber, still haven't found consistency in high leverage situations. We believe the ballpark and conditions are enough of a factor here to warrant a slightly higher total!
We seem to get more interest in tennis from Twitter, thus we prefer to add another rather than give away our valuable football info ————We have a lot of respect for Shuai Zhang, because she must have clocked up more air miles than most other players over the past few years. Nevertheless, she’s not at the same level that she was, and now she’s up against the super consistent Elise Mertens. The 22 year old is at a career high rank of 15, and you have to believe she’s ready for the top ten. While Mertens is not what you would call spectacular, the fact is she’s on the ball and her intelligent play makes her a formidable opponent. Straight sets!
FREE TENNIS PREMIUM BET ——— Even when she was the world number one we often said Karolina Pliskova was there by default. While we have to respect the Czech girl, the fact is she’s a bit of a one trick pony, And, we don’t believe that will work against a very resistant Kiki Bertens. On that note, head to heads have it at 2-2, meaning betting Bertens has paid off in the past. With that said, it’s somewhat ironic Bertens won their last meeting on grass, and Pliskova on clay. Afterall, it should have been the other way around. Take Bertens to defy the odds.
Starting pitchers are Mike Fiers for the hosts and Clayton Kershaw for the visitors. Mike Fiers makes his first start for his new club since coming over from Detroit and the veteran right hander enters this game at 7-6 with a 3.48 ERA. We've been quite hard on Fiers as we believe he's a blatant overachiever and we simply do not believe in his abilities as evidenced by his 4.81 xFIP which is nearly 1.5 runs higher than his ERA. Fiers has decent command but simply doesn't have the live fastball or the offspeed pitches to trouble good hitters and he has largely benefited from a low BABIP and high strand rate this season. Furthermore, Fiers' biggest weakness in our opinion is his propensity to give up the long ball which currently is at 1.51 HR/9 despite a reasonable HR/FB ratio of 11.8%. Oakland Coliseum favours fly ball pitchers such as Fiers with is spacious foul territory but we don't believe that will matter facing the best hitting team in the NL in the Dodgers that's loaded with hitters 1-9 and have clubbed 117 home runs against right handers this year, 5th highest in baseball. On the other side, there isn't too much to say about Clayton Kershaw as he's almost indisputably the greatest pitcher of this generation and hasn't shown any signs of slowing down, at least from a quality perspective. However, Kershaw has shown some durability issues and his recurring back injury has prevented him from logging 200 innings in 3 of his last 4 seasons. Kershaw has again spent time on the DL this season and whether from a health perspective or not, he is averaging fewer innings per start this year and has pitched into the 7th just twice in his last 11 starts. The Dodgers bullpen shouldn't be seen as a liability but they are still a class below Kershaw and the A's lineup are certainly no pushovers as well. In any case, we believe Mike Fiers alone shouldn't warrant a number in the 7's. Total is a tick too low in our opinion!
Starting pitchers are Heath Fillmyer for the hosts and Jose Quintana for the visitors. Heath Fillmyer has a similar profile to Brad Keller, yesterday's pitcher for the Royals, but Fillmyer hasn't quite made as smooth a transition from the bullpen as has Keller. Fillmyer does get his share of groundballs which is to his benefit with the excellent Royals defense behind him but his walk rate is glaring at 4.45 BB/9 and his strikeout rate is also poor at 5.34 K/9. Fillmyer also hasn't shown the ability to work deep into the games as he's lasted an average of 4.75 IP per start over 4 starts. This is significant in our opinion as the Royals bring one the worst bullpen in the league and face one of the best hitting teams in the league in the Cubs who also have their share of left handed batters that Fillmyer has poor platoon splits against. On the other side, Jose Quintana hasn't been excellent as in year's past but the southpaw has still been a reliable arm for the Cubs and hie major issue of allowing too many walks should be mitigated against a team that goes out of its way to not take the free pass. The Royals as is their organizational philosophy walk just 6.9% of the time against southpaws, 2nd lowest rate in the league only ahead of Detroit, and opt to put the ball into play and take their chances from there. This philosophy was used to win a world championship just 2 seasons ago but just does not match up well here as they have been gutted of most of their talent and face an equally excellent Cubs defense. The Cubs bullpen has been mediocre at best this season but we believe even their relievers are an advantage compared to the Royals' bullpen. This one should be a tap-in for the visitors!