Connecticut has been the worst Division I team this season by virtually all metrics, both offensive and defensive, and enter this game with a 1-8 record, the lone win coming against FCS Rhode Island. On the other side, SMU has fared surprisingly well under first year coach Sonny Dykes as they enter this matchup at 4-5, fighting for bowl eligibility, and coming off a huge 45-31 upset over Houston last week. The Mustangs have been highly inconsistent however, and an area they have really struggled at this season is running the ball, combining for just 142 yards on the ground in the 3 games prior to a woefully unprepared Houston team where they had a 196 yard outburst. Nevertheless, blustery conditions are in the forecast, making the Mustangs passing game much less potent and this will be the coldest conditions the Texas team will have played in this year. We believe the Mustangs will be forced to run the ball more which they haven't done with much success and the Huskies should have a situational edge with their dual-threat QB David Pindell who leads all FBS quarterbacks in rushing yards and is third overall in the AAC with 934 yards on the ground. The Mustangs could have a bit of a letdown as well following their upset win as 2 touchdown underdogs last week and if their focus isn't all there, they could be ripe for the same this week though for the purposes of this bet, we'll take the points!
Florida is facing a quarterback controversy as it heads into its final SEC game of the season today against South Carolina. Starter Feleipe Franks was benched in the second half during another rocky performance as Missouri spoilled Florida's homecoming with a 38-17 win last week. Franks completed just 9 of 22 passes for 84 yards before givinng way to redshirt sophomore Kyle Trask, who completed 10 of 18 passes for 126 yards and one TD. Who starts is not too important in our opinion and head coach Dan Mullen has indicated that we could see both Franks and Trask at some point and even true freshman dual-threat Emory Jones could be in the mix as well. Where the Gators haven't struggled is in running the ball with Lamical Perine and Jordan Scarlett in the backfield and the two have headed a rushing attack that ranks 13th in rushing marginal efficiency out of 130 teams. This bodes well against a Gamecocks defense that's been gashed on the ground of late and allowed 237 rushing yards on 50 carries to Ole Miss last week. However, senior QB Jake Bentley has been fantastic of late as well and he should be able to duplicate what Drew Lock did last week against the Florida pass defense that we feel is a bit overrated. Number is on the wrong side of 55 in our opinion!
At 8-1 on the season, the Ohio St Buckeyes are still very much in the hunt for a playoff spot despite the 49-20 drubbing they received at the hands of Purdue two games ago. The Buckeyes did manage to bounce back last week against Nebraska albeit in throughly unconvincing fashion as they turned the ball over 3 times and allowed the Cornhuskers 450 yards of total offense. On the other side, the Spartans have no playoff aspirations at 6-3 and a division title is unrealistic as well but we've never known a Mark Dantonio team to just mail it in and revenge should be a motivation for last year's blowout loss to their rival Buckeyes. Perhaps it's the off field issues with Buckeyes head coach Urban Meyer who might be gone at season's end but this team doesn't seem properly motivated in our opinion and they've failed to cover their last 5 games. This team has struggled when unable to establish the run and faces a Spartans defense that's ranked #1 against the run by efficiency metrics. Hosts should be able to keep this within a field goal.
We have some big football bets today - Here is a PREMIUM bet for Freemium site visitors - Fifth placed St Etienne won four from their last seven matches, albeit three of those against Caen (2-1), Toulouse (2-3) and Angers (3-2) were by a single goal. Furthermore, those teams occupy 14th/15th and 16th in the table, and todays opposition is eight placed Reims. The visitors won last seasons second league by a whopping 15 points. Another thing that stands out about that season, they took 50% of their points on the road (44). The Champagne club won their last league match against a demised Monaco (1-0), and they had a player less than their opponent for over 20 minutes. Draws in Nantes and Nimes are decent, but better than that was the 0-2 in Rennes and the 0-1 in Nice. The visitors will be without the now suspended Romao, but other than that David Guion has no worries. Les Verts are expecting to have a fully clean squad! Visitors to point!
Here you go - one at better odds for FREEMIUM users! ——— If a football manager gets bad results, he’s fired. With that in mind, we find it a loyalty wonder that the Ruckers send such expensive horses to Evan Williams. We couldn’t bet €180k debutant QUOI DE NEUF on those grounds alone! CAPTAIN DRAKE is potentially decent, and while REDZOR cost half of the favourite he’s with the right stable. However, Nick Williams did me a big favour in France yesterday with 14/1 winner FOX PRO, and runners from his stable should be noted. Chester Williams taking 7 pounds off ONE FOR THE TEAM is interesting, and he did nothing wrong when winning his bumper race. It’s an odds play, and knowing this trainer is very good!!
Have this one on us - When two year olds are debuting at this time of the year, you know it’s just for experience. Other trainers will be out to get a h’cap mark for next season, while others just don’t know what they are doing. The fact is DAZZLING DAN is rated a useful 86, so proximity to him will set the h’cappers mind. Suffice to say, despite being 15 runners we are confident that the Pam Sly runner will get off the mark.
Kurumi Nara has found a bit of form, and she can be ultra tough. However, she’s up against it here with Veronica Cepede Royg on the other side of the net. The girl from Paraguay has lowered the colours of Beatriz Haddad Maia and Allie Kiick, and the way she’s playing suggests she could go on and claim the whole thing! We have VCR has the clear favourite !
We have three high value bets for tonights games in Las Vegas - You can have them for free by asking email@example.com ————— Hard to argue against head to heads, because Danielle Lao leads 2-0 and both of those matches took place this year. In fact, the last of those meet-ups was just 8 days back, and 6-2 6-3 was rather easy! Lao went on to make the semi final of that tournament, and she’s 11-3 over the last 14 matches. Despite all those positives, we have to think back a little and remember the best of Nicole Gibbs. While the 25 year old has been struggling for a while now, she has had her moments and enjoyed two easy wins here. Beating Grace Min and Maria Sanchez suggests Gibbs is in really good form, and that’s the reason we want to give her the nod!
Big weekend ahead, are you ready to join our highly profitable premium Football service? - Just €250 for a full month, or €990 to the end of the season (end May 2018) firstname.lastname@example.org …….. Levante are a cool 4-1-0 from their last five matches, and amongst those wins was a 1-2 in Real Madrid. However, before we get too excited about the Granotas, we should go a bit deeper into their form. The fact is, the hosts beat Real Madrid with just 2 shots on target. In fact, stats from that game 70-30%, 34-6 goal attempts ,and 12-2 shots on goal suggest the result was ‘’freak’’. Other wins against Alaves (2-1), Getafe (0-1) and Leganes (2-0) could have gone both ways, and last weeks draw in Villarreal was courtesy of an home goal. Don’t get us wrong, Paco Lopez is doing a fantastic job and those 17 points from 11 games are well deserved. Todays visitor is Real Sociedad, a club which used to taking most points at home. However, this season has been very different, and La Real took 10 from there 13 points on the road. Amongst them was back to back wins in Huesca (0-1), Villarreal (1-2) and Athletic Bilbao (1-3), and in the last round they draw at home to Sevilla (0-0). We feel has though the hosts have been in a bit of a bubble, and we expect that to burst this evening!
Just bread and butter stuff today, but quality is not important for winning. Here is one of our three PREMIUM racing bets for today————Got it, INCHCOLM receives plenty of weight and he’s a CD winner. However, no jockey claim here, and he needs to jump better. ATTENTION PLEASE looks like a place horse, but he might find winning hard. Afterall, ARIZONA BOUND is in good form, and he will like conditions here. While he fell last time out, we don’t believe that will happen again. Blair Campbell gets to take off three pounds, and just everything says yes!
The Pistons ended their 5 games losing streak on Wednesday as they downed the Magic 103-96 in a game they trailed by double digits at multiple points. The Hawks fought hard against the Knicks in their last game but would lose for the 6th time in 7 games as they fell 112-107. The Hawks' big men just couldn't defend the Knicks' Enes Kanter and early foul trouble caused Dewayne Dedmon and Alex Len to sit out for much of the game. With John Collins still sidelined, the Hawks get another tough matchup against a Pistons team that should dominate the paint with Blake Griffin who leads the league in touches and sports a 31.5% usage rate, and Andre Drummond who is a rebounding menace inside. The Pistons outside shot should also start falling against a Hawks team that's 4th worst in the league in allowing opponents to shoot 38.1% from 3. On the other side, the Pistons are 6th in the league in that regard holding opponents to just 32.5% from beyond the arc and this matches up well against the Hawks who love to push the pace and shoot the 3 ball, taking over 40% of their shots from 3 point range. Visitors should take this in convincing fashion.
No. 23 Fresno State and Boise State, again the best of the Mountain West Conference, are headed for another showdown after meeting in the conference championship game last season. Fresno State is a perfect 5-0 in conference play and sits at 8-1 overall after winning their last 7 games. The Broncos sit one game behind the Bulldogs and are at 7-2 overall but have struggled to cover the number with a fairly pedestrian 4-5 record ATS compared to Fresno's 8-1. The Bulldogs' success the last 2 seasons has largely been due to graduate transfer QB Marcus McMaryion who compiled 2,726 passing yards with 14 touchdowns to 5 interceptions a season ago and has taken a step forward in 2018, completing over 70% of his passes and an even more impressive 20/3 TD/INT ratio with 3 games remaining. The Bulldogs also bring one of the top defensive units to this game, allowing opponents' success rate of just 32.8%, 7th best mark in the nation. Senior QB for the Broncos, Brett Rypien has put up impressive numbers but this is likely the best defense Rypien will face all season and he has struggled against the likes of Oklahoma St, San Diego St and BYU, all teams with stout defensive lines. The Bulldogs haven't compiled the sack numbers but still generate ample pressure and are ranked 9th against the pass by efficiency metrics and also hold opposing quarterbacks to a completion rate of just 49.0%, 4th best mark in the country. It's not too often we see the Broncos as underdogs on the blue turf but we believe their secondary is suspect, especially with regard to explosive plays and McMaryion should be able to pick them apart once the offense gets settled in. Visitors to make it three in a row after winning both meetings last season!