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AYR RACING BEST BET
1:45 OMAR MARETTI 4/1
This is just a 4-runner race, but it’s an interesting one!
The bottom weight YOUR OWN STORY is receiving early support. On the testing ground, receiving 13 and 19 pounds from the other contenders will help his cause.
Lucinda Russell’s 7-year-old has the stamp of a chaser, but he will need to improve on his two runs over fences. I expect Derek Fox to make the running on the son of SHANTARAM, it’s just that I will be surprised if he wins.
As for Irish invader GOLD CUP BAILLY, he’s progressed since switching to fences. In fact, he’s 2 from 2 in this sphere, and his most recent win was at this track.
While Daryl Jacob’s mount will handle the testing ground, the handicapper raised him 6 pounds for winning a 5-runner race. Furthermore, the 7-year-old is stepping back up to three miles, and the last time he attempted the longer distance he was beaten at odds of 4/11. To cut a long story short, he’s got a chance but he should be bigger odds.
Despite MAROWN being raised by two pounds for finishing 2nd to ELVIS MAIL, the 9-year-old remains on a fair handicap mark.
For the record, following some modest runs last season, Nicky Richard’s 9-year-old is 10-pounds lower than he was 5 races back. Stepping back up in distance is positive, and so is getting Brian Hughes to ride.
However, I am recommending a good bet on OMAR MARETTI. Alex Hale’s gelding doesn’t take much to get ready, and he comes from a stable in good form.
Despite being a 9-year-old, the son of FAME AND GLORY is lightly raced and open to improvement. Moreover, this fella won 4 of his 6 rules races, and his handicap mark of 136 isn’t a deterrent.
In summary, I would price the market very differently. If I was betting to 100%, I would have the selection at around 5/2. In my opinion, he’s the best runner in the race by a fair margin!