Belinda Bencic vs Sorana Cirstea – Tip. We are adding two WTA betting picks for free users. Your job is to find the best odds you can get!
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BELINDA BENCIC vs SORANA CIRSTEA – TIP
At a recent tournament in Cincinnati, Sorana Cirstea beat Belinda Bencic 6/2 6/7 6/4. Their only other meeting was at last year’s Melbourne when Cirstea won 7/5 6/2. Incidentally, both those matches were played on a hard court!
Bencic is 32/15 YTD and ranked at 13 which compares to a career-high of 4. She was a semi-finalist at this tournament in 2019, and a quarter-finalist last year. PS, these are the reasons she’s been made a short-odds favourite for this match.
However, in spite of winning Charleston (clay) and making the semi-final of Miami the Swiss player is missing something. For example, in the first round, she needed the 3rd set to land odds of 1.17 against Andrea Petkovic. In Toronto, she won the first set against Haddad Maia before losing the next two!
Furthermore, if we delve into the data, we see Bencic was turned over at odds of 1.18 against Cirstea and 1.17 Wang (Wimbledon). Those matches were played at big tournaments, meaning she should have peaked.
Meanwhile, Cirstea made the third round of New York on 3 occasions. She’s also been a quarter-finalist at the French Open and made the 4th round of Australia in 2017 & 2022.
As it stands, the Romanian is ranked at 37 which compares to her career-high of 21. She is 22-19 this year and reached the semi-finals of Lyon, Istanbul and Birmingham. Those tournaments were played on three different surfaces, thus proving she’s comfortable on all types of court.
Cirstea comes into this having beaten Laura Siegemund 6/4 6/4. From our data, that scoreline would be in-line with expectations!
In summary, Bencic is below her best. The 25-year-old didn’t do enough in the first round to suggest these odds are justified. Also, she trails Cirstea on the head-to-heads, and one of those meetings was just three weeks ago. Finally, when Bencic did well at this tournament in the past, she kept her opponents at two sets. While those reasons are anti-opponent, that is often the case in the best of two matches
BET: SORANA CIRSTEA +3.5 games