Clonmel – Value Racing Pick. Just for info, this is the ideal bet for each-way thieves. My advice, compare the place odds with those on the betting exchanges for such possibilities. In my experience, there are 1-5 races every day that offer favorable opportunities – even for the brain dead!
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CLONMEL – VALUE RACING PICK
12:50 CIRCUS ACT 6/1 (7/1 Exchanges)
It is easy to understand why NIGHT AND DAY is the short-priced favourite. In short, she comes from the all-powerful Willie Mullins stable, and she started her hurdling career in Grade one. However, let’s stick with the facts, with the first being she was beaten 96 lengths!
Furthermore, she wasn’t that good on the flat, and she’s returning from a 275 days absence. To cut a long story short, she might be the type who flatters on the gallops but not the track. In Ireland, a Novice hurdle penalty is given for winning a bumper.
While CHAUTAUQUA was thought good enough to run a listed at Cheltenham, her hurdles form hasn’t been at the same level. Also, she’s set to give weight to the other principals, and on this testing ground that will be an even bigger burden. Nevertheless, she should be shopping for a place, and any improvement would give her a chance.
Following three runs in bumpers, ONE COOL LADY is making the switch to hurdling. On her debut for Gavin Cromwell, the 7-year-old ran a fair sort of race to finish an 8.5L fourth. Also, she’s yet to prove her jumping skills, and she waited a long time before making the transition.
Despite being the youngest in the field, CIRCUS ACT has plenty of experience. In fact, she raced five times on the flat before changing codes! For the record, the 4-year-old filly started at odds of between 125/1 to 250/1 for her first eight races and in the first seven, she ran accordingly.
Subsequently, the BURATINO daughter showed signs of ability with a 6th of 11 (beaten 9L) at Punchestown, and she followed up with an even better 3rd/14 in Galway. On that occasion, Gavin Boulder’s mount stayed on well for pressure. Moreover, she was only beaten 4L and the runner behind her was rated 116.
For the most part, the Nash filly is progressing, and in today’s race, she’s going to benefit from the double allowance. For the record, her weight allowance is 13 pounds and on top of that, her jockey takes off another 5 pounds.
To summarise, we have a battle-hardened filly who is proven in the conditions. She’s improving for racing, and receives a load of weight!