Curragh Races – Must Bet. In the hope of following up on yesterdays Grand National winner, we are sharing one on the flat today. Please note, we don’t take new Premium subscribers on Sundays! Good luck if you are betting.
CURRAGH RACES – MUST BET
CURRAGH 3:10 SELF BELIEF 100/30
Aidan O’Brien had 8 winners from his last 30 runners. While one of them was odds of 20/1, the others were between 2/7 and 7/2. One thing is certain, you won’t make money betting on his runners blindly.
In this race, Wayne Lordan is riding the stables runner POINT LONSDALE. According to the assessor, he’s the one to beat, albeit he’s only had one race in the past 18 months. While that was in the Newmarket 2000 Guineas, it was a year ago!
While the son of AUSTRALIA should handle the ground, I’m not at all convinced that he needs 10F. After all, on the dam’s side, he’s bred from sprinting, although that is offset by his sire. The heavy ground will make it even more testing, and he’s likely to need his first run of the season. In short, I would want to lay him at current odds!
As for VISUALISATION, the 5-year-old gelding is the winner of 5 from his 15 races. The son of NO NAY NEVER traveled well before winning a listed race on his seasonal debut. For the record, the 3rd in that race was SELF BELIEF, and I expect the McCreery runner to reverse the form!
On this occasion, SELF BELIEF is expected to benefit from a first-time hood. In my opinion, he traveled like the best horse at Naas, and racing freely cost him every chance. Furthermore, he’s 3 pounds better off with the Joseph O’Brien-trained runner.
Meanwhile, PIZ BRODIE is an interesting contender. The UlYSSES colt won both of his races after a break, thus suggesting he will be match ready. Nevertheless, he’s unproven on this type of ground, and he might need further. Finally, stable runners have been struggling, and that’s enough reason to take him on!