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HEXHAM 2:53 TRESHNISH 4/1
GRAYSTOWN won 5/46 of his races, and of those 5/35 were over fences. For the record, he’s 4/14 at Hexham, and two of those wins came at this distance. Other positives include being 5 pounds below his last winning mark, and the forecast good-soft ground. However, in his last race, the 10-year-old was beaten 12 lengths, and he’s not won for over a year!
With just 2 wins from 31 races, the FOURTH OF JULY is hardly prolific. With that said, he’s relatively consistent and should place. While this isn’t the best of races, it is hard to imagine any of the rags (outsiders) winning.
One with a bit of scope is 10 times raced FOLLOW YOUR ARROW. Incidentally, George Bewley’s gelding ran in 3 chasers at this track, and the 2nd of them ended with him winning. Nevertheless, that was over further (2M4F), and since then he disappointed.
My other concerns with the joint-favorite are the ground, and dropping back in distance. Also, he’s not the sharpest tool, and racing in this bigger field will put pressure on his jumping.
The one that stands out from the crowd is TRESHNISH. Sue Smith’s 9-year-old won 6 of his 35 races, and he’s 3/3 over course and distance when completing. Also, the forecast rain will suit him more than the others, and he’s only one pound from his last winning mark.
The selection wasn’t beaten far on his return from a break, and he’s going to strip fitter today. To make a long story short, the GOLD AWAY son ticks all the right boxes!