FRENCH OPEN: SEMI-FINAL BETTING PREVIEW & PICK

French Open: Semi-Final Betting Preview & Pick. Not many expected this semi-final, with both players having to defy big odds to win their last matches. We are betting on both of today’s WTA matches. Following on is the Grass season, you might want;

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FRENCH OPEN: SEMI-FINAL BETTING PREVIEW & PICK

FRENCH OPEN: SEMI-FINAL BETTING PREVIEW & PICK

JASMINE PAOLINI vs MIRRA ANDREEVA

Mirra Andreeva won her only previous encounter against Jasmine Paolini in the fourth round of this year’s Madrid Open, securing a victory with a score of 7/6, 6/4. That match was quite a roller-coaster, with both players struggling to maintain their leads. Notably, Paolini squandered a 5-2 lead in the first set, ultimately losing it 7/6.

Following her five wins in Paris, Andreeva has climbed to a career-high ranking of 23. A victory in this match would propel the 17-year-old Russian to number 16 in the rankings. 

Andreeva’s five wins came against Emina Bektas, Victoria Azarenka, Peyton Stearns, Varvara Gracheva, and Aryna Sabalenka. Two of these matches went over the distance, including yesterday’s win over Sabalenka. After losing a first-set tiebreak to the world number 2, Andreeva rallied to win the next two sets 6/4, 6/4. However, it’s worth noting that Sabalenka’s game fell apart in the final set, making 15 unforced errors and turning a final-set 2-0 lead into a 4/6 defeat.

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LATE DEVELOPING 28-YEAR-OLD

Jasmine Paolini, meanwhile, reached the semi-final by defeating Daria Saville, Hailey Baptiste, Bianca Andreescu, Elina Avanesyan, and Elena Rybakina. Her last three matches went the distance, though she finished strongly against Avanesyan and Andreescu with final sets of 6/0 and 6/1, respectively. 

In the quarter-final, the 28-year-old Italian outlasted the in-form Rybakina, taking the first set but losing the second despite being a break-up. Nevertheless, she regrouped to close the match in 2 hours and 5 minutes. 

The key to Paolini’s win was finding the right balance. For example, despite Rybakina hitting 10 aces to Paolini’s three, her second-serve win rate was 64% compared to Rybakina’s 38%. We could also point to a 22/22 winner/unforced error stat, which was more consistent than her opponent’s 35/48.

Paolini’s efforts over the past fortnight have earned her a career-high ranking of 10, and a win today would elevate her to rank 7. It is worth noting, that in Madrid, Paolini was the betting favourite, and although she lost, the match was tightly contested. Given that the courts in Paris suit her better, we expect Paolini to exact revenge and reach the final.

BET: JASMINE PAOLINI 

Odds: 2.30 (2.34 Betfair)

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