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4:15 CHAMERON 11/2

While he finished 2nd of 3 on his only run at Hexham, DIAMOND STATE does most of his racing at Musselburgh. For the record, Lucinda Russell’s gelding ran 17 of his 21 races at his local course. With this in mind, he’s clearly a nervous traveler. Making the 3-hour trip to Hexham is a concern, and so is the 2M4F on heavy ground.

Back-to-back winner BIG CHANGES is in the form of his life. However, he’s been raised another 3 pounds for beating ELLEON, and the form of that race is weak. Furthermore. he’s unproven on the testing ground while dropping back in distance on this sharp track are other concerns! 

As for JOKE DANCER, 9 wins from 38 races make him the most prolific runner in the field. In the hope of finding improvement, Sue Smith will be legging up Champion Jockey Brian Hughes. In all honesty, since he lacks stamina, racing over 2M4F is my biggest issue with the 10-year-old. 

Meanwhile, HIGH MOON is 5 pounds lower over fences, thus he’s on a winnable mark. With that said, the 8-year-old was beaten fair & square in his last two races. To cut a long story short, he should go close but he’s of no betting value. 

The one I like is CHAMERON! Patrick Griffin’s charge won 5 point-to-points, and four were on testing ground. Despite taking a tug at Down Royal,  the 10-year-old ran a close 2nd to THE GREEK. The 10-length 3rd in that race was 134 rated hurdler CARRIG SAM, which suggests the form is solid.

When trained by Paul Nicholls the son of LAVERON was rated a lofty 149, whereas today he’s set 122. The turning track should help him settle, and Mark McDonagh’s 5-pound claim is another positive.