Longchamp Group Races X5 Tips. We are sharing our French Racing bets with everyone, and we also sent out our UK bets to anyone on our database.
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LONGCHAMP GROUP RACES X5 TIPS
RACE 1: COUER DE PIERRE 9/2
I will be surprised if the Aidan O’Brien-trained HISPANIC can win a Group 3. After all, dropping in distance will count against him, and based on his handicap mark he should be double the current odds!
Meanwhile, BERNEUIL won the last two runnings of this race, but at the same time, the 7-year-old is hardly bombproof. I prefer taking him on with last year’s 2nd-placed COUER DE PIERRE. Tony Piccone will be riding the 7-year-old for Mauricio Delcher-Sanchez, and on this occasion, he will have conditions in his favour.
LOOKS TO BE CONCERNING TWO
RACE 3: PLACE DE CARROUSEL 2/1 – Great value
PLEASANT JANE looks outclassed, and the same comment applies to FENELON. As for SAMMARCO, Peter Schiegen’s colt will need to improve on recent efforts. The short odds favourite is going to be IRESINE. Marie Velon’s mount handles all conditions and distances, and he’s the one to beat.
However, the filly PLACE DE CARROUSEL receives a valuable 1.5KG, and on official ratings that puts her in proximity with the jolly. And, while it is true to say she finished behind IRESINE when they last met, she was making her seasonal debut. Finally, I like the idea of her stepping up in distance!
STAND-OUT MUST BET
RACE 5: BLUE ROSE CEM 2/1 (take it)
SILK ROAD could be competitive for a place, but she’s unlikely to win. Despite being the stables 2nd string at York, SEA SILK ROAD battled on well to win the Yorkshire Oaks. For the most part, the Aidan O’Brien-trained filly is progressive, but I think she’s up against it here.
Indeed, while BLUE ROSE CEM was beaten last time out, Christopher Head’s filly is back in familiar territory. The extra distance is positive rather than negative, and the good-soft ground takes away from any stamina issues.
RACE 6: FANTASTIC MOON 5/1
FEED THE FLAME won three of his 4 races, and Pascal Bary can be relied upon to improve him again. Nevertheless, I thought he benefited from an over-paced race when wearing down ADELAIDE RIVER in the Grand Prix De Paris. With all that said, the son of KINGMAN is the one to beat!
The bet I’m going to recommend is FANTASTIC MOON, and the reason for that is the step back up in distance. While the German derby winner travelled well in the Grosser Preis von Bayern, he was never going to pick up 10F specialist NATIONS PRIDE. Sara Steinberg’s SEA THE MOON colt should be better suited by this race, and we trust Rene Piechulek to give him a better ride today.
MASSIVE BETTING VALUE
RACE 7: SIAM PARAGON 9/1
There are no UK or Irish-trained runners in this Group 3. DABAWA should be better suited by the drop in distance to 7F, albeit I can’t imagine anything more than a place for the mount of Stephane Pasquier.
I must admit, I’m very surprised to see FANG at the top of the betting market. Consequently, he’s a good type and 1400M will suit him best, but at the same time, he’s more exposed than many of these!
NATIONAL SERVICE should run better than his odds suggest. On the other hand, I thought Murzabayev out-rode the opposition to win his last race on MAKE ME KING. As a consequence, he’s one I would want to take on!
In all honesty, BREIZH SKY ticks many of the right boxes. According to the assessor, the three-year-old is top-rated and despite a 2KG penalty, he comes out on top. Whatever happens, he’s entitled to run well and odds of 5/2 are fair. Although, I’m convinced SIAM PARAGON is the value pick!
The mount of Gerald Mouse is a CDE winner, and he comes into this on the back of winning his last race comfortably. Coming from a stable in excellent form is a bonus, and being drawn inside is another incentive!