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NOTTS 3:50  SHAHBAZ 11/2

If we go back two races, VENETIAN was a comfortable winner of a Hamilton maiden. Subsequently, Johnson’s colt was raised 5 pounds to a handicap debut mark of 80. However, he was beaten into 3rd at Kempton, and since then was dropped 2 pounds.

The son of ATWAAD won’t have any issues with the extra two furlongs, it’s just that he is on a high enough mark.

Richard Fahey had 5 winners from his last 50 runners, and over the course of the season, his strike rate is 12%. For the record, betting all the stables 708 runners with a one-point flat stake gives a -119.3 loss.

Based on that fact alone, I wouldn’t be keen on betting the trainers HAVE SECRET. Also, the bookmaker’s favourite was raised two pounds for his recent 3/11 at Ayr. Finally, according to his breeding, the extra two furlongs could prove beyond him!

Meanwhile, Jane Chapple-Hyam’s runner OPERA GHOST is being well supported by the betting public. In his last race, the son of CAMELOT improved dramatically to finish a 125/1 2nd in a Sandown Novice. To make a long story short, the form is decent and he clearly appreciates the easy ground. Nevertheless, he’s much shorter odds today, and I prefer SHAHBAZ.

Charlie Fellowes’ colt was given a poor ride to finish 4th in his last race! He’s clearly better than the bare form suggests and being dropped a pound is a bonus. From a breeding stance, this extra 2 furlongs is a bonus, and Jamie Spencer should suit him best! These odds are decent, and the Charlie Fellowes stable is going great guns!