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NOTTINGHAM RACES – BEST BET
2:20 MUDSKIPPER 9/4
One thing is certain, DAWN VEGA will benefit from his recent run. Also, a mile on all-weather would have counted against Alan King’s charge! At the backend of last season, the son of Lope De Vega was unlucky in running 3rd to SHAHBAZ.
In that 1m1F Newmarket race, Rossa Ryan’s mount stayed on well after racing freely. There is no doubt that he would have been closer with a clear run, and he’s better than the bare form. Returning to soft ground and a more suitable distance are positives, and so is getting Hollie Doyle to ride.
However, I have to point out that he’s a tricky customer, and he will need to be more amenable at the start. My other worry with this fella is the small field because he needs to be waited with!
There is some early money for EYETRAP, but I can’t see it happening for Jane Chapple-Hyam’s colt. Despite only racing three times, I’m struggling to get excited about the chance of BOHEMIAN BREEZE.
Charlie Johnston’s grey is on a high enough handicap mark, and he’s already looking exposed. I don’t know whether Rossa Ryan had the choice of riding DAWN VEGA, it’s just that he’s on LATIN VERSE.
On his third attempt, Ralph Beckett’s gelding won a Lingfield maiden. For the most part, he’s a progressive type and he’s sure to win more races. Nevertheless, the handicapper gave the son of POSTPONED a stiff mark (82), and he’s yet to prove himself on turf.
While his odds were clipped overnight, I still see value in betting MUDSKIPPER.
David Menuisier is expecting much better out of his LE HAVRE son, and he’s got ideal conditions. In fact, a mark of 79 could be a gift, and Benoit De La Sayette taking off a further 3 pounds is a bonus.