Paris Longchamp – Best Bets. We have a runner in the handicap today, so I won’t be sharing anything on that race. As for the rest, here are some ideas to brighten your day!
PARIS LONGCHAMP – BEST BETS
R1. PRINCE DE MONTFORT 9/1
I’m tempted by the bigger odds of PRINCE DE MONTFORT. The 5 year old was progressive last year, and he needed his first run of the season. However, the basis for making this bet is ‘’heavy ground’’ on which he’s 3-1-1. Moving back up in distance is another positive factor, and so is having a dodgy favourite PRETTY TIGER. While a case could be made for both CENTRICAL and MACHETE, the ground is a concern for both!
R2. WHITE LAVANDER 6/4
In a listed race at Bath, 2nd placed PERDIKA had WHITE LAVANDER 4 lengths behind. The filly was receiving 8 pounds that day, and she’s getting 9 pounds today. In her next race, George Boughey’s 3 year old was 3rd of 10 over 6F at Newmarket. While she should run well, I would expect WHITE LAVENDER to turn the form. After all, Karl Burke’s 5 year old ran her best race at that track when finishing a neck 2nd in last seasons’ Prix de L’Abbaye. On his seasonal debut, VICIOUS HARRY was beaten a fair way behind another Karl Burke runner.
R5. ISAAC SHELBY – Better on PMU
AMERICAN FLAG ticks the course and distance box, and the ground isn’t a deal breaker. However, while he’s won his races easily, this is a tougher task and he’s short odds. Despite being lit up by a loose horse, ISAAC SHELBY ran his opponents into the ground in the Greenham. While that race was over 7F, he’s almost certainly going to be better at the mile. I like the idea of sticking with Sean Levey, and he’s the one to beat! PS – I’m convinced that we will get better odds on the PMU, so figure it out!
R6. LINDY 15/2
NEVER ENDING STORY made light work of winning on her seasonal debut. Aiden O’Brien’s 3 year old should be even sharper today, but she does have something to find with the favourite. In fact, if we go back to the end of the last season, the DUBAWI daughter finished 5.25L behind BLUE ROSE CEN. With all that said, I’m going to take a chance on LINDY to reverse recent form with the jolly. Cristian Demuro’s mount stayed-on-well to take 2nd in that CD distance race, and she will be primed for today. The testing ground could suit her better again, and getting the pace to chase is a good thing!
R7. CRACKSMANIA 28/1
There is more to come from JANNAH ROSE, and no doubt she will be bet accordingly. With all due respect to the favourite, she’s over bet! I can’t have BOOGIE WOOGIE, she should be double the current odds. ELUSIVE PRINCESS was given a terrible ride by Gerald Mosse before finishing fast to take 2nd at St Cloud. However, everyone saw that and as a result they are making her shorter than true odds. You know act, at massive odds I’m going to take a punt on CRACKSMANIA. Her form is solid and 28/1 is an insult!