Heather Watson lost the first set to Jamie Loeb, but she bounced back to win the next two 6-1 6-1. Maybe the Brit needed to get a feel of the court, so we will put the first set down to experience. Reka-Luca Jani had a similar experience in the first round of qualification, in that after losing the first set to Alexa Guarachi she won the next two 6-0 6-0. In the next round she was beaten by Whitney Osuigwe, but was promoted into the main draw has a lucky loser. At that stage, she beat the badly out of form Louisa Chirico. 27 year old Jani will try, but she’s likely to be outclassed here!
We often get asked why we don't add Brazil, Argentina, Turkey and so on more consistently. The simple reason is we need to keep Freemium use limited, and Premium users are better with high liquidity leagues. Nevertheless, on a quiet day we have one here, and we hope it's beneficial. Did you know that from the games played so far, we have a balance of 173 - 97 - 60. That equates to home wins 52.4% - draw 29.4% - away 18.2%). In odds terms 1.91 - 3.40 - 5.50. As you can see from these numbers, their is a massive home biased in this league, and that's supported by referee stats. Without showing all our data, did you know that in all the matches played their was 28 red cards to the home side, and 54 to away teams? Vasco are just 15th in the league compared to Atletico-PR 7th. However, the hosts are 8-4-4 at home, while PR are 0-6-10 away. In fact, the visitors scored just five in 16 away games, and they took 40 of their 46 points at home. A look at team news shows several missing players for each team, but to be fair it appears balanced. Based on all the factors, we don't understand how you can get such decent odds on the host.
Hopefully you benefitted again from our PREMIUM (free) Tennis picks yesterday. ………. We also sent out more winners to anyone who had been a previous subscriber and asked - If you are subscribing to one of our other services, you can have todays tennis picks for free firstname.lastname@example.org ———Varvara Lepchenko is double the age of Whitney Osuigwe, and when they met 3 weeks ago it was the older girl who won 6-4 6-0. Nevertheless, despite the scoreline we can imagine Osuigwe getting much closer today. A couple of grounds for this optimism, and the first is she had the same amount of break chances (5) in the first set. The other thing which went against Osuigwe was seven double faults to zero. Since then the younger american went on to win Tyler, and players she beat included Belinda Bencic, Beatriz Haddad Maia, and Kurumi Nara. After a week off the 16 year old sailed through three rounds here, and from that she will gain confidence. Lepchenko also won a tournament since (Macon), but since then she’s been sent packing by Bencic (Tyler), Nara (Las Vegas), and she struggled past Michaela Haet in the first round here.
Another nice winner yesterday with TOUCH KICK (6/1 SP). We are ticking along nicely, and all we need now is the big jackpot before the end of the year. We are really going for it with five selections today, if you want to join PREMIUM until the end of 2018 (6+ weeks) then you can for just €150 - This is the last chance unless we have a big change of heart with RACING for next year - email@example.com ——— We want to take MONBEG WORLDWIDE to beat the Mullins pair. Gordon Elliott’s runner recorded better numbers in bumpers, he’s a CD winner and the ground is immaterial. Four year old MY SISTER SARAH appears to be the stables choice ahead of STAY HUMBLE, because it’s fair to assume Ruby Walsh would have been given the choice. Maybe the sex and age allowance made the jockey go this way, but we wouldn’t be convinced of him finishing in front of his stable companion. All the same, none of that matters has we are firmly with Davy Russell’s mount, and we are grateful that the other pair will help us get fair odds.
Here is the other we promised - At their respective best, Lauren Davis was ranked 26 and Kristina Kucova 71. The pair start this week at 241 and 264 respectively. Davis has become particularly disappointing, because she was expected to be a regular in the top thirty. Their is an argument to suggest Kucova never had that much potential, and ITF is her level. On a positive note, the 28 year old won ten ITF finals and she made the final in another 12. However, only one of Kucova’s wins was on hard court, and her best surface is clearly clay. Davis has the game, so it’s down to confidence now!
We had a nice easy winner with YOUNEVERCALL yesterday. Five mins before the race he drifted to odds of 11.00 on betfair before being strongly supported to close at 11/2. Just think, you could have had him and loads more by subscribing to premium. The last 7 weeks leading up to 2019 are available for just €150, that’s a little over €20 per week. Get you Xmas expenses now firstname.lastname@example.org ———— Interesting that the racing post is pointing to the owner and trainer of JURBY being known for chasing types. We don’t disagree, and making the switch following 8 runs suggests the Sherwood runner is good to go. However, from a breeding perspective, this fella is flat bred and he did fall in a hurdle at this track. Furthermore, he’s an 8 year old, thus the trainers hand might have been forced! We prefer going with IRISH PROPHECY as Emma Lavelle’s five year old as bags of scope and he should be even better at this game. Racing right handed on good ground should be perfect, and going from the front would make life easier!
A good start to Houston, we have 4 today and we are giving two for free (one at biggish odds) . If you have even been a member of our ''paid''Tennis service, or you have even paid us for a different service you can have the other two for free, just ask email@example.com ———— With all due respect, if Heather Watson can’t win matches like this she needs to call it a day. At her best the now 26 year old was ranked 38 (Sept 2015), so it’s disappointing to see her at a lowly 98. Nevertherless, even a number like that would make the Brit a big player at a tournament like this. The biggest issue for Watson is finding consistency, and having the nerve to see it through. Still, back in september she made the semi final of Quebec, and that was an higher level tournament than this. Jamie Loeb is one of those girls who can make a living on the ITF tour, but Houston is slightly better than that!
It’s time for the talented if somewhat erratic Beatriz Haddad Maia to smell the coffee. The 22 year old Brazilian would be capable of going close to winning a tournament like this, especially since these conditions should be spot on. If we go back to 2017 Haddad Maia was making the final of Seoul and beating many top fifty players. Her record this season is a poor one (14/19), albeit she was clearly carrying an injury. A recent final in Tyler suggests she’s over these problems, and last weeks loss in Las Vegas was to a better player than she will meet here! Shuai Peng was once the world number 14, but the 32 year old has had issues which included a 6 month ban for coercing her (doubles) partner. She’s not played since Wimbledon, and her record this year is just 4/11. It takes a lot to bounce back, and Haddad Maia can be very tough.
We had a very good Las Vegas (tennis), and we are going to have a big shot at Houston this week. We will give a few on the website for free, and send out plenty more to tennis subscribers! ------- We know a lot of rich kids, and we have to say most are non achievers. Maybe the reason is having everything easy, and on that note Jessica Pegula must have been spoilt. Afterall, her father is billionaire ‘’gas tycoon’’ Terry Pegula, so it’s fair to say the 24 year old isn’t in this for the money! With that said, Pegula appears focused and kudos to her for putting on a 47/21 in 2018. Coming through qualification to make the final of Quebec showed the American’s desire, because on that occasion she defied the odds to beat the likes of Kenin, Martic, Jabeur, Kristyna Pliskova and Lauren Davies. We should also mention that she made three finals this season, and she’s particularly good at coming through matches in straight sets! 22 year old Jasmine Paolini is just 28/32 this year, and like most Italians she appears to have done most of her playing on clay. The other thing which stands out about the Italian is 80% of her defeats were in straight sets!
We have some decen odds fancies today - have this one on us. Last chance to get racing tips to end of year for just €150 (7 weeks) - if you are wanting to grab a bit for Xmas firstname.lastname@example.org———VERSIFIER looked a strong stayer when winning at Hereford, so he should go well on this stiff track. You couldn’t say TOBOGGAN’S FIRE was badly h’capped, but he needs to find a bit. We are prepared to take a chance with Sue Smith’s runner TROOBLUE, with the main reason being he needed his comeback race. Other positives are being dropped 7 pounds by the h’capper and having 10 pound claimer Kane Yeoman in the saddle. Suffice to say, on a tough uphill track like this weight compensation can count double!
The Heat enter this game at 5-7 and have struggled with losses in 5 of their last 7 games. The Sixers have been in good form with wins in 6 of thier last 9 but were recently involved in a trade that landed Jimmy Butler at the expense of two of their starters leaving their rotation a bit thin. In addition, this will be the Sixers' 3rd game in 4 nights with their last 2 games played into overtime, leaving some of their players with heavy minutes logged over the last few days. The Heat too are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights but we believe their depth and playing all 3 games at home should lessen the fatigue. Butler is not expected to play for the Sixers until Wednesday so the Sixers will again go with a thin rotation and we wonder if Embiid may even get a rest day. At any rate, motivation shouldn't be lacking for the hosts given last season's playoff series that was filled with hard physical play and bad blood from both sides with the Sixers winning rather comfortably 4-1. We expect the Heat to get some measure of revenge tonight against a tired Sixers team that's still figuring out their makeshift rotation without Robert Covington and Dario Saric!
Two of the more disappointing teams in the league face off as the 2-7 49ers host the 1-7 Giants. The Giants are in the midst of a 5 game losing streak but we have to say that their play in the last 2 games haven't been too discouraging as their defense has been stellar in losing efforts and their offense has shown some signs of life. QB Eli Manning has received much of the blame for this poor season and perhaps some of it is deserved but with reports leaking out that this may be his final start in a Giants uniform, and possibly his career, we have to believe we see him at his best tonight, not to mention Manning has historically performed much better on the road in the latter part of his career. The Giants' offensive line has gotten equal share of the blame but they have also improved in recent weeks and coming off the bye week, there really shouldn't be any excuses to have the best performance of the season given the situation. On the other side, the 49ers are coming off a 34-3 blowout win over the Raiders on Thursday night with their 3rd string QB Nick Mullins under center. Head coach Kyle Shanahan has announced that Mullins will start again in place of a now-healthy CJ Beathard and we have to wonder if this decision is the right one, at least if Shanahan is trying to win games. After all, we don't read too much into Mullins' successful debut as it was painfully obvious the Raiders quit during the game, and rather early at that. Coming off the bye week, the Giants got healthy and actually didn't have anyone on the final injury report. For the hosts, WR Pierre Garcon, LB Reuben Foster and S Jaquiski Tartt are all sidelined for this game and RB Matt Breida has been banged up all season though he will be in uniform tonight. Garcon hasn't been too much of a factor this season and Marquise Goodwin and George Kittle are legitimate weapons but the Giants' secondary has been surprisingly stout, even after shipping off one of their top cornerbacks in Eli Apple. We hate to read too much into emotions but the fact remains that despite the Giants' fanbase moving past Manning, he's still had a storied career with 2 Super Bowl titles and we have to believe the enter organization is behind him in sending him out on a high note. A case could even be made for the players wanting revenge for last year's defeat to this same 49ers team. In any event, from a pure talent perspective, we would rate the Giants' skill position players a class above with RB Saquon Barkley and WR Odell Beckham Jr. the best players at their respective positions on the field tonight and Mullins is still yet unproven in our eyes. Visitors to win this outright!