FONTWELL: STRONG STAYER & LOW WEIGHT ARE KEY!

Fontwell: Strong Stayer & Low Weight Are Key! We don’t need good races to make it pay, and at odds of 4/1 we have an interesting bet lined-up in the 3.43 Fontwell. If you would like to get our other racing picks, do it now and save 50%.

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FONTWELL: STRONG STAYER & LOW WEIGHT ARE KEY!

FONTWELL: STRONG STAYER & LOW WEIGHT ARE KEY!

3:43 HE IS A CRACKER 4/1

This is an average-quality handicap hurdle, but the odds are intriguing, especially since we can narrow the potential winner down to three runners. Let’s start by ruling out those of no interest:

The bottom four in the betting all pulled up in their last races. While inconsistent types can sometimes return to form, it’s hard to see any of them being involved in the finish.

NO WORRIES, the 10-year-old, doesn’t race like he needs this extra distance. ASTROMAN, despite ticking the course and distance box, has had uninspiring recent efforts. Last time out winner NO MORE NO could be a one-race wonder, and even at double the odds, he’s not appealing.

DEAR RALPHY, while a fair 2nd/7 over the course and distance last time out, has won just one of his 15 races. That win was from a 5-pound lower mark than he’s set to carry today, and Richard Patrick claimed another three pounds on that occasion. In short, Harry Cobden’s mount is carrying a big weight, and we expect him to place but not win.

Currently, at the head of the betting is HE’LLSTOPATTHETOP. The six-time-raced gelding is returning to hurdles after falling at the final fence in a chase last time out. He likely would have won that day, as the handicapper noted that by raising him 4 pounds. 

However, the switch back to hurdles is concerning. Kieran Burke’s decision to switch to fences early suggests he believed the horse would perform better in that sphere. Nevertheless, in a weak race, he should get something (placed) from this confidence booster.

The only runner that interests me for the win is HE IS A CRACKER. Though the Gary Brown-trained 8-year-old has won only one race in a chase, he has performed well in several hurdles. On that note, his 6th/14 finish last time out was a fair effort, and he’s been dropped another three pounds since. 

Furthermore, his regular rider takes off a valuable ten pounds, and he’s set to receive plenty of weight from the other principals. Conditions are fine, and we know he stays this distance and handles an undulating track.

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