Gold Cup & One More Pick. We bet a 22/1 shot in the main race, and we added a clear pick for the first race. Since we are playing with the bookie’s money, all in today!
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GOLD CUP & ONE MORE PICK
CHELTENHAM 3:30 AHOY SENOR 22/1
GALOPIN DES CHAMPS just needed to jump the last to win last year’s, Golden Miller. Unfortunately, at that stage, he was too exuberant and fell. As recompense, Willie Mullins’ charge won his next three races, albeit at (30/100 to 2/9) short odds.
Incidentally, the 7-year-old was odds on for all of his six chase races. Since he won the other five easily, the market was correct. Furthermore, the distance won’t be an issue, and nor will the ground. He’s won a hurdle at the track, so the only question remaining is will he win the Gold cup?
To tell the truth, my reason for wanting to find an alternative is the odds. While he’s the rightful favourite, 22 fences,13 runners and the quality of opposition suggest 13/8 is short.
If A PLUS TARD is back to his best, last year’s winner will take a lot of stopping. Nonetheless, following a poor run, he’s got something to prove and the search continues.
BRAVEMANSGAME was an easy winner of the King George chase. For the most part, Paul Nicholls’s runner is progressive and he could take a hand in the finish.
Last year’s Grand National winner NOBLE YEATS is an interesting contender. Sean Bowen’s mount is versatile with the distance, and he’s won another two races since his big day. All the same, last time out he was beaten by AHOY SENOR, and I want to change Lucinda Russell’s 8-year-old.
In fact, I took the ante-post 40/1 about the son of Dylan Thomas. Consequently, my main reason is he’s the right type for Cheltenham.
While Derek Fox’s mount tends to make the occasional jumping error, he’s much more focused at HQ. Also, I’m buoyed by stable form, and especially since they supplied my biggest (CORACH RAMBLER) bet of the meeting!
Profitable Betting is all about getting favourable odds, and these are just great!
GOLD CUP & ONE MORE PICK
CHELTENHAM 1:30 LOSSIESMOUTH 13/8
LOSSIESMOUTH should be odds-on for the Triumph! While the grey filly lost her unbeaten record at Leopardstown, circumstances played a role.
Despite Willie Mullins’ utilising a pacemaker, both the selection and GALA MARCEAU raced freely. However, the turning point came when JOUDDEFETE made a bad mistake and caused interference on LOSSIESMOUTH.
After dropping to last, Paul Townend was forced to switch his mount to the outside. Turning into the straight, Rachael Blackmore-ridden ASCENDING baulked the favourite. In the meantime, Danny Mullins had seized the initiative on GALA MARCEAU. Getting first-run and a good jump at the last proved to be the winning formula.
To cut a long story short, if that race was run 10 times I believe LOSSIESMOUTH would win it on nine occasions.
Meanwhile, another of the Mullins’ runners BLOOD DESTINY is unbeaten in two hurdles. Nevertheless, this will be his toughest assignment to date, and giving away the 7-pounds sex allowance is a formidable task.