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HERACLES vs NIJMEGEN – PREMIUM PICK
DUTCH EREDIVISIE
Since 2009, these clubs met on 18 occasions. Both won 7 games each and there were 4 draws, albeit NEC is 3-1-1 over the last five meetings! As a matter of interest, the average number of goals per game was 2.4, with 7 matches ending with 2.5 goals.
Season-promoted Heracles have a 30-man squad with an average age of 23.7. While the hosts made 9 changes to their squad, no cash transactions took place.
It is hardly a surprise to report, Heracles lost their season opener in Ajax (4-1). After taking an early lead through summer signing Mario Engels, the then-visitors conceded on the stroke of halftime.
For the most part, the team of John Lammers defended deep and made it hard for their flamboyant opponent. However, the damage was initiated with three goals from the 75th minute onwards.
If we are being analytical, the three-goal difference was hard on HAFC. The xG for that match was 2.42 to 1.07, thus a 1-2 goal difference would have been a fairer result.
Meanwhile, Jizz Hornkamp was substituted before half-time against Ajax, and it was later revealed that he was injured. He along with Nikolai Laursen and Janis Wieckhoff will be missing tonight.
As for Nijmegen, they too lost (3-4) the season opener against Excelsior. After leading that match 3-2, a 73rd-minute equalizer was the result of some bad defending. And, there was worse to come when Oscar scored a 90+9 minute winner for Excelsior.
NEC finished the last campaign in 12th, but they were the 9th-best away team. In fact, it was the same scenario the previous season with a 15th at home and 9th on the road. To cut a long story short, Rogier Meijer’s team took f3+ 5 points more in away games!
The visitors are without two players, namely Philippe Sandler and Elayis Tavsan. Though, after last week’s poor defending, we expect Meijer to make a few changes at the back.
In conclusion, NEC should be marked up in away games. Despite disappointing in the first round, the visitors have a stronger squad. With the draw no bet available at positive odds, we are going to make a big bet!
BET: NIJMEGEN +/-0 (draw no bet)
Odds: 2.23