Improving Mare: Big Betting Value. There’s no need for concern if there’s an early drift in the betting market, especially when the reasons behind it are unclear! While opinions can evolve, initial impressions often prove to be the most reliable!
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IMPROVING MARE: BIG BETTING VALUE
WINCANTON 1:50 MARSH WREN 9/2
This is a competitive race, with notable contenders MOVIDDY and GAME ON FOR GLORY meriting their spots in the lineup. However, both would have a better chance if this race was a handicap.
For the record, both trailed in behind MARSH WREN at Warwick and are now 3 & 4 pounds worse off. Notably, MARSH WREN secured victory in her seasonal debut, while MOVIDDY and GAME ON FOR GLORY had previous runs.
Nicky Henderson quickly transitioned ARCLIGHT to fences, and that move proved to be successful. Unlike with many ex-flat runners, the filly adapted well to chasing. The four-year-old is 2 from 2 in this sphere, and she’s got the potential to secure more victories in this sphere.
As a four-year-old, the Champs Elyse daughter receives a useful weight allowance, and her best performance is on a right-handed track – just like today. The good-soft ground is favorable and can only enhance her prospects. If she can jump around Exeter, these fences at Wincanton shouldn’t pose a significant challenge. However, it’s important to note that Nico De Boinville’s mount is moving up in distance and facing stiff opposition from the highly capable MARSH WREN.
Trained by Stuart Edmunds, the 7-year-old won 6 of her 10 races. And, on her chasing debut at Warwick, she traveled strongly under Ciaran Gethings to win with a bit in hand. Despite running lazily from the last, the daughter of Schiaparelli impressed in the main and she can only improve for the experience.
A bit of light rain is forecast in Wincanton, thus underfoot conditions should be fine. With everything considered, these odds are more than fair!!
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