KuPS vs HJK: BETTING PREVIEW

KuPS vs HJK: Betting Preview. This match is in the Finland Veikkausliiga, and it’s the first day of the new season. If you are learning how to bet, take note of the stats we are considering! For those that don’t understand Asian handicap betting (+0.25), check out our tutorial!

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KuPS vs HJK: BETTING PREVIEW

KuPS vs HJK: BETTING PREVIEW

FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA: FIRST DAY OF THE SEASON

Today marks the beginning of a new season in the Finland Veikkausliiga! While casual fans may not be naturally drawn to this league, we love it. Despite its reputation for low-scoring matches, it remains one of our preferred leagues for live betting!

Based on data from the 2023 main season, the average number of goals per game stood at 2.49. Among these, home teams netted 173 goals while away teams scored 156. This translates to an average of 1.31 goals per game for home teams and 1.18 goals per-game for away teams, resulting in a marginal home advantage of only 0.13 goals per game. To put this into perspective, the MLS boasts a home advantage of 0.56 goals per game, while many top European leagues hover around 0.25.

Interestingly, home teams emerged victorious in 40.9% of matches, while the away teams secured wins in 33.3% of encounters. Surprisingly, draws accounted for 25.8% of the outcomes, a lower figure than anticipated in a league with low average goals. Converting these percentages into odds, we’d get 2.44 for home wins, 3.88 for away wins, and 3.00 for draws, which would complete the 100% book price.

The upcoming match features last season’s top two teams, KuPs and HJK. After the main season, the two clubs were separated by just one point, and even after competing in the Championship Group, they remained tied on 53 points each! Ultimately, HJK claimed the title on goal difference, which stood at 3 goals better than their opponents.

There haven’t been many alterations over at KuPS. Jane Honkavaara continues to lead the Canaries, and they kick off the season with a 25-man squad. While a few adjustments have been made, resulting in the average player age dropping to 22.6, it’s largely business as usual!

As for HJK, the Helsinki-based club made a notable sale, transferring their striker Bojan Radulovic to Huddersfield for €1.4M. Apart from that, there have been player movements through free transfers, except for the acquisition of striker Luke Plange. HJK secured the 21-year-old from Crystal Palace on a season-long loan!

Here’s an intriguing fact: during the main campaign, 8 out of the last ten league encounters between these two clubs concluded in draws. The only exceptions were a victory for HJK in this stadium back in 2020 and KuPs’ win in last season’s home fixture with a scoreline of 2-1. Additionally, in the final game of last season, KuPs emerged victorious with a 1-2 scoreline.

In summary, the betting odds should be more evenly matched, but that’s not the case. Despite the minimal advantage of playing at home, we prefer the idea of having a quarter-ball head start!

BET: KuPS +0.25 (asian handicap)

Odds: 1.85

Another tip? – Winterthur vs Luganohere.

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