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SCOTTISH GRAND NATIONAL BEST BET
AYR 3:35 KITTY’S LIGHT 15/2
YOUR OWN STORY represents the Aintree Grand National winning trainer/jockey combination! The lightly raced 7-year-old is proven at the distance, and he will benefit from carrying a low weight.
However, the son of SHANTARAM is 11 pounds higher than he was for that race at Wetherby. For the record, he’s one pound out of the handicap and was raised a further 3 pounds for finishing 2nd at Haydock.
While Linda Russell can be trusted to have the gelding well-prepared, he’s going to find this grade tougher!
As for MONBEG GENIUS, the progressive 7-year-old won 5 of his 9 races. Jonjo O’Neill’s charge comes into this on the back of a Cheltenham 3/23 to CORACH RAMBLER. The winner of that race franked the form by winning the Grand National, albeit he was unpenalized.
On that note, MONBEG GENIUS is set to carry a 5-pound higher mark today. To cut a long story short, the extra weight is a deal breaker and the distance is an unknown factor.
Following a 2nd last time out, the handicapper seems to have caught up with MANOTHEPEOPLE. While ELVIS MAIL won his last race with a bit in hand, the longer distance is a concern.
As for FAMOUS BRIDGE, the races he won don’t about too much. My gut feeling tells me FLASH COLLONGES should be bigger odds than 11/1.
Meanwhile, FLOWER OF SCOTLAND is 6 pounds out of the handicap, and MIGHTY THUNDER is three pounds wrong.
If I had to pick one of the outsiders to outperform his odds it would be CAP DU NORD.
Meanwhile, for the winner, I only have eyes for KITTY’S LIGHT. Christian Williams’ 7-year-old was raised 8 pounds for winning at Newcastle. Nevertheless, he’s still 3 pounds lower than he was when finishing 2/23 in this race last year.
In short, he’s proven himself at a high level, and he’s relatively well-treated. With the ground in his favour, we have to take a chance on Jack Tudor’s mount.