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SEVILLA vs ALAVES: BETTING PREVIEW & PREMIUM PICK
SPAIN LA LIGA
As we approach round 20, both teams find themselves perilously close to the relegation zone. Currently sitting in the sixteenth spot with a 3-7-9 record, Sevilla faces a challenging situation in the league table. Alaves, just one position above, hold a slight edge with an additional point on their tally.
Sevilla won just two games at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, securing 10 out of their 18 points (2-4-4) at home. In contrast, Alaves has managed to gather 4 points (0-4-6) on their away fixtures. Under the new leadership of Quique Sánchez Flores, Sevilla clinched victory in one of their three league matches and advanced in the Spanish cup by defeating lower-league Ferrol 1-2. However, the team suffered setbacks in the last two La Liga rounds, losing 0-2 at home to Athletic Bilbao and 1-0 against Atletico Madrid, despite the latter playing with ten men for the majority of the match.
A notable challenge for Sánchez Flores is the team’s difficulty in creating sufficient goal-scoring opportunities, often falling short in the xG (expected goals) despite dominating possession.
In team updates, the departure of Fernando Reges to Vila Nova has paved the way for 23-year-old striker Isaac Romero, who has been promoted from the club’s second team. Despite having a 28-man squad, Sevilla faces injury concerns, with players like Nemanja Gudelj, Dodi Lukebakio, Mariano Diaz, and Alfonso Pastor confirmed absentees. Youssef En-Nesyri is also unavailable due to his participation in the African Cup. Joan Jordan, Marcos Acuna, Jesus Navas, Erik Lamela, and Orjan Nyland’s availability remains uncertain.
Alaves enters this match after a notable 1-0 victory over Betis in the Copa Del Rey, making seven changes from their previous league encounter with Real Sociedad. Impressive performances from goalkeeper Owono and midfielder Benavidez could earn them consideration for today’s match.
Despite missing Jon Guridi and Aleksandar Sedlar due to injuries and Abdel Abqar and En-Nesyri being away on international duty, Alaves receives a boost with Giuliano Simeone overcoming an ankle issue and on-loan Real Madrid center-back Rafa Marin being available for selection.
In summary, Alaves appears to be in better physical condition than Sevilla. Recent positive results, including a draw against Real Sociedad, instill confidence in the Babazorros. Considering their decent away performances, including draws, we predict that the visitors will secure a favorable outcome against an aging opponent, and best of all we have the draw included.
BET: ALAVES +0.5
Odds: 1.92 (1.94 Exchanges)
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