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SPORTING CP vs ARSENAL – BETTING PICK
EUROPA LEAGUE
At the weekend, Arsenal needed to come from two goals down to beat (3-2) Bournemouth. In the 7th minute of injury time, Reiss Nelson scored the winner! As it stands, the Gunners maintained a 5-point lead at the top of the Premier League Table.
However, despite having 81% possession in that match, Mikel Arteta’s men made heavy weather of beating the bottom club. In fact, Goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale kept them in the game with a fine save, while at the other end, the strikers were wasteful!
In this competition, Arsenal topped group A ahead of PSV, Bodo/Glimt, and FC Zurich. While the Gunners won five of those matches, they lost (2-0) an away game in PSV. Also, three of the wins were by a single goal, and we couldn’t say they impressed.
With full focus on the League title, getting a bye into the 2nd round of the play-offs was a relief to Arteta. On that note, expect the coach to make changes for today’s trip to Sporting CP.
Generally speaking, in the Europa League the Gunners have made 4-5 changes per game. That scenario will continue tonight, and one of the changes will be Matt Turner wearing the gloves. Rob Holding is another player likely to benefit from the switch in competitions, while Tierney and White are others. All of Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Tossard, and Mohamed Elneny are injured, whereas Edward Nketiah is a doubt!
Meanwhile, Sporting CP won their two-legged play-off against Midtjylland by an aggregate of 4-1. Despite having full dominance in the home fixture, the match ended in an unlikely (xG 2.88 – 0.27) 1-1 draw. To cut a long story short, the Green and Whites won the reverse fixture 0-4 and the rest is history.
The Lions finished 3rd in their Champions League group, with Tottenham and Frankfurt finishing ahead. Nevertheless, they did beat Spurs (2-0) in this stadium, and Ruben Amorim’s team come into this on the back of four consecutive wins!
Manuel Ugarte is suspended for Sporting, but other than that Amorim will have his best XI on the field.
In summary, the Gunners have prioritised the league. No doubt Arteta will hold players back for the up-and-coming game against Fulham. Another factor is Arsenal have been tame in knockout competitions, and they are playing a team who will want it! Finally, CP is in fantastic physical shape, and home advantage is a bonus.
BET: SPORTING CP +0.5 (double chance)
Odds: 1.82