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In the middle of May, the reverse match ended in a 1-1 draw. On that occasion, Goteborg had more possession (55%), goal attempts (16-12) and shots on target (7-3). Nevertheless, while our xG (expected goals) was 2.10 to 1.43, we thought the visitors were good value for a point!!

The Blue-White arrive here on the back of winning two successive games against Norrkoping. Interestingly, both matches ended 2-0, albeit the away win was fortunate. In fact, according to our data, Norkopping had the better chances (xG 2.38 to 1.31) but they failed to convert chances.

As it stands, Michael Stahre’s team are 7th in what can be called a compact top half of the table. Moreover, winning this game in hand would put them within 6 points of league leaders Djurgardens. 

However, while the visitors are doing better than expected, there are still 13 games left. In short, Goteborg won’t always be lucky, and we are expecting a balancing act sooner rather than later.

Meanwhile, Varberg head coach Joakim Persson is in his fifth season at the club. During that time, he’s saved them from 2nd league relegation to being promoted. Since playing in the Allsvenskan, the hosts ended in 11th and 10th. 

Varbergs have a young (average age 23.4) and big (33-man) squad. They come into this on the back of a 1-3 win in Sundsvall, and for the most part, they are still improving. Also, team news is positive, and they have already had a good result against this opponent!

BET: VARBERG +/-0 (Draw no bet)

Odds: 2.12