Wincanton Winner In The Waiting! We can feel some big bets coming on today, so hopefully we can get all the BLACK FRIDAY shopping costs covered. With that said, I want more and this game is all about having the right ambition!
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WINCANTON WINNER IN THE WAITING!
12:55 SCARFACE 7/2
Ex Flat horses being switched to chasing are usually ‘’lay material’’ for me. And, that is particularly the case when they are trained by Alan King. In this race, the Barbury Castle yard will be debuting TRITONIC over fences!
While the 6-year-old does have the stature to make a chaser, I’m not convinced he’s a natural jumper. Furthermore, the son of SEA THE MOON is fully exposed, and he’s going to need further over fences. Indeed, at this shorter distance, there is more pressure on jumping, and 13 fences are plenty for two miles! Lastly, carrying top weights in a small field is an extra challenge!
As for BEAU BALKO, on his chasing debut, he could only finish 5th of 6 at Ffos Las. Since his jumping wasn’t an issue, the only excuse can be a lack of fitness. Nevertheless, based on that effort he should have bigger odds!
Meanwhile, SOUL ICON won 8/15 races over hurdles, and in doing so progressed from a handicap rating of 73 to 129. Suffice to say, Kieran Burke’s 6-year-old will need to improve again!
I want to take a chance on the outsider of the party, namely SCARFACE. While the Joe Tizzard-trained 6-year-old jumped poorly on his chasing debut, he did have a valid excuse. For the record, he was badly impeded at the 5th and as a result, he lost confidence.
On a positive note, Brendan Powell’s mount was dropped 3 pounds by the handicapper. Racing in a small field should be ideal, and he’s got enough pace to handle the drop back in distance. Finally, he must have schooled well since, and he’s receiving weight from the others!!
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