WTA Indian Wells Qualification. Cristina Bucsa vs Erika Andreeva. We don’t make a habit out of betting in qualification rounds for a number of reasons.
They include higher bookmaker margins & lower betting limits. Other factors are visuals (TV coverage) and lower-grade players are even more inconsistent. Finally, abusing the system, when players know they can lose but still advance as lucky losers.
Nevertheless, we are going to take a punt on some matches at this higher-graded tournament. After all, the qualifications in Indian Wells’s $8.8M are on par with a WTA 250!
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WTA INDIAN WELLS QUALIFICATION
CRISTINA BUCSA vs ERIKA ANDREEVA
Cristina Bucsa might have lost her last three matches, but she is better than that! As a matter of fact, the 25-year-old won five matches at the Australian Open and reached a new career-high rank of 88.
In the 2nd round of Melbourne, Bucsa beat former US Open winner Bianca Vanessa Andreescu. During the same campaign, the Spaniard won 50 of her 81 matches. Players she beat included Tatjana Maria, Alize Cornet, and today’s opponent Erika Andreeva.
For the record, Bucsa was 17/8 on the hard court and her overall win rate on this surface is 67.21%. In comparison, her strike rate on this surface is 67.2%, and 59.9% on clay.
As for Erika Andreeva, the 18-year-old arrives here on the back of a 2nd-round exit in Austin. She’s 9-7 on the year, although five of those wins came in qualifications.
At that most recent tournament, Andreeva won a qualification match against Xiaodi You. However, she lost in the 2nd round to Ashlyn Krueger, but she was given a Lucky loser slot. In the first-round proper, Andreea won a third-set tiebreak against Harriet Dart. Unfortunately for her, she then lost by the same method to Anna-Lena Friedsam!
An interesting fazit about her four matches in Austin was they all went the distance. Also, three of them needed a final-set tiebreak. In her last match against Friedsam, Andreeva led the 3rd set 5/2, and at 5/3 she was 30-0 up. With this in mind, by not closing out, she must have been disappointed with herself.
In conclusion, Andreeva is far from the finished article. The way she let a winning position slip in Austin wouldn’t have done much for her confidence. Consequently, Bucsa has better credentials, and she is known to raise her game at big tournaments.
BET: CRISTINA BUCSA
Odds: 1.83